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CSKA Moscow vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-85
24-19 23-16 21-27 27-23
Position#1
Record19-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#9
Record13-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2016
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Darussafaka
18 Oct 2018
CMO79
DAR75
27 Sep 2017
CMO81
DAR75
22 Mar 2017
CMO95
DAR85
11 Dec 2015
CMO94
DAR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H09/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A16/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H19/02
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H23/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H26/02
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A03/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
101-65
101
65
+36
A05/03
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
99-83
99
83
+16
A12/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
25-20
19-18
25-16
16-23
19-27
17-25
25-15
19-20
19-18
19-13
26-26
26-14
28-34
15-12
24-21
23-19
27-28
21-16
21-25
29-4
19-20
18-23
19-14
26-17
25-21
28-17
22-10
13-17
33-12
19-20
20-20
23-20
31-30
25-10
20-23
14-18
19-16
21-27
24-18
166.8Avg total
89.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.379.1166.4+8.273%
Season at home (13)91.878.7170.5+13.292%
Season away (13)82.779.5162.2+3.254%
Last 10 (10)89.577.3166.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)89.671.4161.0+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)86.675.3161.9+11.276%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#7
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A16/02
Turkish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A24/02
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H03/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#11
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H17/03
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
88-57
88
57
+31
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
27-23
22-19
20-18
13-13
23-22
17-17
18-25
14-30
23-23
23-22
23-26
27-18
22-16
14-26
19-19
17-17
18-16
18-20
24-19
19-15
22-23
16-19
19-22
18-25
15-23
25-21
15-12
24-14
18-16
16-22
13-16
11-13
32-9
10-20
14-14
26-14
26-18
20-12
16-13
153.2Avg total
77.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.478.7157.0-0.350%
Season at home (13)77.874.0151.8+3.869%
Season away (13)79.083.3162.3-4.331%
Last 10 (10)77.775.5153.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)75.068.2143.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.082.7162.7-2.733%
vs Similar (16)74.674.1148.8+0.556%
vs Weaker (10)85.178.0163.1+7.170%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
CSKA MoscowDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H09/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A16/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/02
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H23/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H26/02
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A03/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/03
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A12/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/03
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
46.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.037.982.8+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.736.282.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (15)43.239.582.7+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)46.740.487.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.435.081.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)44.937.482.4+7.579%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/02
Turkish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A24/02
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A10/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H17/03
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.8Avg total
41.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.678.1+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.735.475.1+4.369%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.4-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.378.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.076.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.740.778.3-3.067%-
vs Similar (16)37.137.874.9-0.844%-
vs Weaker (10)44.139.783.8+4.470%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.6
57.0%
50.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.0
38.1%
37.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.317.4
81.7%
75.6%17.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.1
47.2%
50.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
37.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.214.8
73.3%
75.6%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
LWWWWWWWLW
Darussafaka
WWWLLWWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+17.0
Net rating
-0.3
114.8
Offensive rating
108.0
97.9
Defensive rating
108.3
57.0%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.1%
3-point %
34.3%
68.9%
Assist %
51.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 108.0Defence97.9 · 108.3Shooting57.0% · 48.7%3-point %38.1% · 34.3%Ball care18.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 34.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSKA Moscow wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
16/11/16Darussafaka v CSKA Moscow91-83
11/12/15CSKA Moscow v Darussafaka94-66
05/11/15Darussafaka v CSKA Moscow75-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/17ABaskonia78-79
12/03/17AVEF Riga99-83
09/03/17HGalatasaray85-69
05/03/17ANizhny Novgorod101-65
03/03/17ABarcelona85-61
26/02/17HUnics Kazan92-88
23/02/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81
19/02/17HLokomotiv Kuban83-77
16/02/17AZenit Petersburg77-90
09/02/17HCrvena zvezda102-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17AAnkara Kolejliler88-57
17/03/17HBarcelona67-56
13/03/17HBesiktas71-68
10/03/17AOlympiacos73-81
06/03/17AFenerbahce76-79
03/03/17HPanathinaikos77-72
27/02/17HTrabzonspor82-79
24/02/17AReal Madrid83-101
16/02/17AGalatasaray71-77
13/02/17AGaziantep89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%92%54%
Points / game87.391.882.7
Allowed / game79.178.779.5
Point differential+8.2+13.2+3.2
Avg total166.4170.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game78.477.879.0
Allowed / game78.774.083.3
Point differential-0.3+3.8-4.3
Avg total157.0151.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2619773%87.379.1+8.2
2 Real Madrid2619773%87.079.8+7.2
3 Olympiacos2618869%78.673.7+4.9
4 Fenerbahce27171063%77.275.5+1.7
5 Baskonia27161159%81.579.3+2.2
6 Panathinaikos27161159%77.375.2+2.1
7 Crvena zvezda26151158%74.874.2+0.7
8 Anadolu Efes27151256%84.684.0+0.6
9 Darussafaka26131350%78.478.7-0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas27121544%77.479.5-2.1
11 Barcelona26101638%71.775.5-3.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv27101737%79.083.7-4.7
13 Galatasaray2691735%78.482.8-4.4
14 Bamberg2791833%79.180.4-1.3
15 Unics Kazan2671927%77.081.3-4.3
16 Olimpia Milano2772026%81.187.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow2423212795
Darussafaka1916272385
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