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Darussafaka vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 91-83
30-18 19-19 24-20 18-26
Position#9
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.7
Darussafaka 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2016
Meetings · Darussafaka v CSKA Moscow
09 Jan 2019
DAR65
CMO80
16 Nov 2016
DAR91
CMO83
05 Nov 2015
DAR75
CMO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Banvit
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
103avg 103
H20/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
81-56
81
56
+25
no box
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
W
94-87
94
87
+7
114avg 103
A25/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
108avg 103
H27/10
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
104avg 103
A04/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
no box
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
97avg 103
H10/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
14-25
20-18
30-19
23-24
18-22
17-14
22-21
19-9
19-10
26-16
17-21
28-29
18-18
19-12
29-28
20-13
26-22
19-23
14-26
24-16
25-17
17-24
17-14
15-25
11-10
35-21
22-24
22-23
22-21
16-19
18-16
23-17
17-23
20-10
12-20
24-20
18-22
17-18
16-17
159.1Avg total
81.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.278.7158.8+1.567%
Season at home (3)77.078.3155.3-1.333%
Season away (3)83.379.0162.3+4.3100%
Last 10 (10)81.377.8159.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)78.275.4153.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.183.8160.9-6.711%
vs Similar (16)76.272.6148.9+3.656%
vs Weaker (4)80.575.2155.8+5.275%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
A08/10
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#12
W
109-84
109
84
+25
142avg 122
A13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
108avg 122
H21/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
93-87
93
87
+6
126avg 122
A25/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
132avg 122
H27/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
no box
A30/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
109avg 122
A03/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
105-56
105
56
+49
no box
H06/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
118avg 122
H11/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
no box
H13/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-11
33-21
17-23
27-18
30-27
24-26
28-13
22-19
13-11
22-28
24-19
26-23
23-14
20-26
24-24
23-20
24-23
21-12
30-25
21-21
27-26
20-28
23-16
25-21
19-7
22-23
15-24
24-16
33-16
25-16
23-8
17-26
32-12
24-30
18-22
24-22
23-26
34-12
17-14
175.4Avg total
95.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.282.2174.3+10.0100%
Season at home (3)90.082.3172.3+7.7100%
Season away (3)94.382.0176.3+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)95.280.2175.4+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)95.879.6175.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.389.0182.3+4.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.180.2171.3+11.096%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
DarussafakaCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H20/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A25/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.6Avg total
40.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.776.1-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.938.277.2+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.374.9-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.478.6+1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.043.880.8-6.811%-
vs Similar (16)37.136.773.8+0.444%-
vs Weaker (4)40.838.078.8+2.850%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/10
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H21/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A25/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A30/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A03/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H06/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H11/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#13
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/11
VTB United League
85.5Avg total
47.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.239.385.5+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.940.286.1+5.682%-
Last 30 away (13)46.638.184.7+8.585%-
Last 10 (10)47.538.085.5+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.687.6+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.735.083.7+13.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.939.885.7+6.181%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.2
53.5%
50.7%38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.3
36.4%
37.3%28.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.8
80.2%
75.6%12.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.8
54.4%
50.7%45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.09.5
45.2%
37.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.3%
75.6%17.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWLWWLWWLL
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+1.6
Net rating
+12.9
107.1
Offensive rating
118.0
105.6
Defensive rating
105.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
58.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.4%
3-point %
45.2%
53.8%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 118.0Defence105.6 · 105.0Shooting53.9% · 58.9%3-point %36.4% · 45.2%Ball care16.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds22.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Darussafaka   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
2
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
11/12/15CSKA Moscow v Darussafaka94-66
05/11/15Darussafaka v CSKA Moscow75-80
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16ABesiktas75-77
10/11/16HBamberg72-70
07/11/16HFenerbahce78-79
04/11/16AZalgiris Kaunas83-80
30/10/16ATrabzonspor83-71
27/10/16HAnadolu Efes79-84
25/10/16AUnics Kazan94-87
22/10/16HGaziantep81-56
20/10/16HOlimpia Milano80-81
16/10/16ABanvit88-93 OT
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HParma Perm98-74
11/11/16HReal Madrid91-90
06/11/16HZenit Petersburg105-56
03/11/16AOlympiacos81-75
30/10/16ASaratov104-103 OT
27/10/16HUnics Kazan98-80
25/10/16AAnadolu Efes93-87
21/10/16HPanathinaikos81-77
13/10/16AGalatasaray109-84
08/10/16AAstana92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game80.277.083.3
Allowed / game78.778.379.0
Point differential+1.5-1.3+4.3
Avg total158.8155.3162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.290.094.3
Allowed / game82.282.382.0
Point differential+10.0+7.7+12.3
Avg total174.3172.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow660100%92.282.2+10.0
2 Real Madrid64267%90.083.3+6.7
3 Panathinaikos64267%80.277.5+2.7
4 Barcelona64267%75.873.5+2.3
5 Darussafaka64267%80.278.7+1.5
6 Baskonia74357%81.678.1+3.4
7 Olimpia Milano74357%92.391.9+0.4
8 Fenerbahce74357%75.378.1-2.9
9 Olympiacos63350%83.881.7+2.2
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv73443%85.084.7+0.3
11 Crvena zvezda73443%70.672.0-1.4
12 Anadolu Efes73443%86.990.6-3.7
13 Bamberg72529%80.981.1-0.3
14 Unics Kazan72529%80.184.1-4.0
15 Zalgiris Kaunas61517%77.083.5-6.5
16 Galatasaray61517%86.095.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka3019241891
CSKA Moscow1819202683
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