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CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-64
20-17 24-16 37-13 18-18
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game88.0
BulgariaNBLRound 5· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Cherno More
24 Oct 2026
CSKA62
CHER95
22 Apr 2024
CSKA105
CHER99
04 Nov 2023
CSKA99
CHER64
12 Dec 2022
CSKA97
CHER84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A12/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A14/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 78
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 78
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 78
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 78
A30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
19-16
20-9
28-30
16-15
17-28
14-21
24-16
21-27
19-14
16-24
14-20
20-18
27-31
15-17
21-26
23-13
22-17
25-24
18-17
26-17
24-19
20-23
16-13
19-19
18-16
25-10
18-17
18-17
35-13
15-19
19-21
15-23
20-13
23-21
20-28
20-14
18-15
21-22
26-21
158.6Avg total
81.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.572.2154.8+10.275%
Season at home (2)79.073.5152.5+5.550%
Season away (2)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.876.8158.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)83.272.2155.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.279.6161.8+2.767%
vs Similar (9)87.181.0168.1+6.178%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.778.4167.1+10.473%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A05/04
NBL
Levski
#6
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
H08/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
76-105
76
105
-29
no box
H14/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
71-114
71
114
-43
no box
A19/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
no box
H23/04
NBL
Beroe
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
no box
A26/04
NBL
Levski
#7
L
66-94
66
94
-28
46avg 64
H08/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 64
A14/10
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
78avg 64
A21/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 64
H28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
16-33
17-20
30-21
19-25
14-17
19-26
21-23
22-20
17-35
17-27
20-23
14-27
18-38
19-25
20-24
24-23
30-17
12-35
18-18
18-26
21-32
19-29
17-17
10-26
19-23
20-23
17-22
23-18
19-19
16-27
23-25
19-26
28-14
19-17
14-29
16-20
15-20
22-24
16-19
172.3Avg total
76.2Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
Season at home (2)67.588.5156.0-21.00%
Season away (2)80.587.5168.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)76.296.1172.3-19.90%
Last 5 (5)74.291.2165.4-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.494.3173.8-14.94%
vs Similar (3)86.788.0174.7-1.367%
vs Weaker (2)89.593.5183.0-4.00%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
CSKA SofiaCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/10
NBL
78.9Avg total
42.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.481.9+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.637.180.7+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.539.783.2+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.978.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.275.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.238.881.0+3.456%-
vs Similar (9)45.837.683.3+8.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.539.482.8+4.173%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A05/04
NBL
Levski
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H08/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H14/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A19/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H23/04
NBL
Beroe
#7
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A26/04
NBL
Levski
#7
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H08/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/10
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H28/10
NBL
87.3Avg total
38.6Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.347.888.0-7.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.348.588.8-8.231%-
Last 30 away (17)40.247.287.5-7.035%-
Last 10 (10)38.648.787.3-10.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.882.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.448.287.5-8.828%-
vs Similar (3)44.344.789.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker (2)45.547.593.0-2.050%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.222.5
60.4%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.57.5
26.3%
31.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.814.0
83.6%
71.1%14.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.0
48.1%
54.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.25.8
28.4%
31.3%17.2
🏀 Free throws26.017.8
68.3%
71.1%17.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
WLWWWWLLLW
Cherno More
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#11
+13.7
Net rating
-18.5
109.2
Offensive rating
96.6
95.4
Defensive rating
115.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
46.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.44
26.3%
3-point %
28.4%
75.8%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 96.6Defence95.4 · 115.1Shooting51.3% · 46.2%3-point %26.3% · 28.4%Ball care18.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 23.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Sofia wins
0
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia84-93
12/02/23Cherno More v CSKA Sofia95-98
12/12/22CSKA Sofia v Cherno More97-84
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23ALevski85-72
21/10/23HMinyor78-85
14/10/23AAcademic Plovdiv87-70
07/10/23HYambol80-62
28/05/23HRilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23ARilski Sportist88-71
19/05/23HBalkan83-92
17/05/23HBalkan70-85
14/05/23ABalkan71-80
12/05/23ABalkan90-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HSpartak Pleven69-83
21/10/23ABalkan80-86
14/10/23AYambol81-89
08/10/23HLevski66-94
26/04/23ABeroe75-104
23/04/23HCSKA Sofia84-93
19/04/23AChernomorets71-114
14/04/23HBalkan76-105
08/04/23HLevski73-91
05/04/23ASpartak Pleven87-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game82.579.086.0
Allowed / game72.273.571.0
Point differential+10.2+5.5+15.0
Avg total154.8152.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cherno More
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.067.580.5
Allowed / game88.088.587.5
Point differential-14.0-21.0-7.0
Avg total162.0156.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets440100%84.870.0+14.8
2 Spartak Pleven43175%86.868.8+18.0
3 CSKA Sofia43175%82.572.2+10.2
4 Levski43175%80.272.8+7.5
5 Balkan43175%79.875.5+4.2
6 Beroe42250%85.082.8+2.2
7 Yambol42250%82.587.0-4.5
8 Rilski Sportist41325%76.272.5+3.8
9 Shumen41325%80.883.8-3.0
10 Academic Plovdiv41325%77.589.5-12.0
11 Minyor41325%64.291.5-27.2
12 Cherno More4040%74.088.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2024371899
Cherno More1716131864
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