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Levski vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-85
14-20 15-18 22-21 21-26
Position#7
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game68.7
Levski
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game72.3
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Triaditsa Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Levski v CSKA Sofia
20 Mar 2027
LEV v CSKA
upcoming
30 Oct 2023
LEV72
CSKA85
05 May 2023
LEV79
CSKA87
24 Mar 2023
LEV86
CSKA81
21 Nov 2022
LEV95
CSKA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Beroe
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H14/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
H19/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H22/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
no box
A26/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A02/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H05/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 71
A01/10
Super Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
94-66
94
66
+28
94avg 71
A08/10
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
61avg 71
H15/10
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
81avg 71
A23/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
17-24
21-21
26-22
16-19
24-24
26-16
30-29
22-23
19-33
21-12
20-21
29-18
19-18
20-17
18-9
21-22
16-25
17-26
23-21
21-28
12-21
26-17
20-21
12-8
14-17
9-20
22-11
26-10
23-19
23-20
22-17
22-18
13-15
8-14
26-17
31-16
14-24
19-21
22-15
157.5Avg total
80.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.068.7151.7+14.3100%
Season at home (1)69.064.0133.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.577.0157.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.069.8146.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.074.0137.0-11.014%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.275.9142.1-9.612%
vs Weaker (13)82.875.5158.3+7.469%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Levski
#6
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A05/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A12/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A14/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 75
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 75
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 75
H21/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
21-12
17-26
21-20
23-24
19-16
20-9
28-30
16-15
17-28
14-21
24-16
21-27
19-14
16-24
14-20
20-18
27-31
15-17
21-26
23-13
22-17
25-24
18-17
26-17
24-19
20-23
16-13
19-19
18-16
25-10
18-17
18-17
35-13
15-19
19-21
15-23
20-13
23-21
20-28
159.5Avg total
82.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.772.3154.0+9.367%
Season at home (2)79.073.5152.5+5.550%
Season away (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.077.5159.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)83.872.0155.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.279.6161.8+2.767%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.378.8165.1+7.678%
vs Weaker (11)88.778.4167.1+10.473%
This opponent (Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
LevskiCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H14/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H19/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H22/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H05/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A01/10
Super Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A08/10
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/10
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/10
NBL
78.9Avg total
38.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.939.778.5-0.854%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.741.880.5-3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.037.676.6+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.378.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.272.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.842.574.3-10.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.142.180.3-4.043%-
vs Weaker (13)43.038.681.6+4.469%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A05/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/10
NBL
80.4Avg total
43.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.281.8+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.336.279.6+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)43.940.484.4+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.380.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.033.477.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.238.881.0+3.456%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.937.082.9+8.967%-
vs Weaker (11)43.539.482.8+4.173%-
This opponent (Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.8
50.5%
54.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.4
27.8%
31.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
71.1%11.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.323.7
61.7%
54.3%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.77.0
23.6%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.7
84.4%
71.1%12.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Levski
WWWWLLWLWL
CSKA Sofia
LWWWWLLLWW
#7
League position
#5
+1.1
Net rating
+13.3
96.2
Offensive rating
107.9
95.1
Defensive rating
94.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.8%
3-point %
23.6%
70.2%
Assist %
78.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 107.9Defence95.1 · 94.6Shooting46.9% · 50.2%3-point %27.8% · 23.6%Ball care18.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Levski   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Levski wins
4
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
05/05/23Levski v CSKA Sofia79-87
02/05/23CSKA Sofia v Levski94-77
05/04/23CSKA Sofia v Levski77-72
24/03/23Levski v CSKA Sofia86-81
21/01/23CSKA Sofia v Levski78-52
21/11/22Levski v CSKA Sofia95-92 OT
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23ABeroe86-76
15/10/23HBalkan69-64
08/10/23ACherno More94-66
01/10/23ABalkan57-56
05/05/23HCSKA Sofia79-87
02/05/23ACSKA Sofia77-94
26/04/23AShumen86-62
22/04/23HYambol82-89
19/04/23HAcademic Plovdiv96-88
14/04/23HBeroe79-88
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HMinyor78-85
14/10/23AAcademic Plovdiv87-70
07/10/23HYambol80-62
28/05/23HRilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23ARilski Sportist88-71
19/05/23HBalkan83-92
17/05/23HBalkan70-85
14/05/23ABalkan71-80
12/05/23ABalkan90-79
05/05/23ALevski87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.069.090.0
Allowed / game68.764.071.0
Point differential+14.3+5.0+19.0
Avg total151.7133.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game81.779.087.0
Allowed / game72.373.570.0
Point differential+9.3+5.5+17.0
Avg total154.0152.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets440100%84.870.0+14.8
2 Levski330100%83.068.7+14.3
3 Spartak Pleven43175%86.868.8+18.0
4 Balkan43175%79.875.5+4.2
5 CSKA Sofia32167%81.772.3+9.3
6 Beroe42250%85.082.8+2.2
7 Yambol42250%82.587.0-4.5
8 Rilski Sportist41325%76.272.5+3.8
9 Shumen41325%80.883.8-3.0
10 Academic Plovdiv41325%77.589.5-12.0
11 Minyor41325%64.291.5-27.2
12 Cherno More4040%74.088.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Levski1415222172
CSKA Sofia2018212685
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