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CSKA Sofia vs Minyor Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 93-95
Projected total 188.2
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game98.6
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Vs
43%
57%
■ CSKA 43%■ MINY 57%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Minyor
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game90.8
BulgariaNBLRound 7· Hall Sofia
Other2026-27
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Minyor
21 Nov 2026
CSKA v MINY
upcoming
21 Oct 2023
CSKA78
MINY85
Sections
Game preview & prediction
CSKA Sofia host Minyor in the NBL. Pythia makes Minyor the favourite at 57% and projects 93-95, about 188 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. CSKA Sofia are 1-4 this season (78.4 scored, 98.6 allowed a game), form WLLLL; Minyor are 6-0 this season (106.7 scored, 90.8 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia win
42.6%fair 2.35
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minyor win
57.4%fair 1.74
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
100-95
100
95
+5
42avg 46
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-114
76
114
-38
58avg 46
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
62-95
62
95
-33
35avg 46
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
48avg 46
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
26-16
21-18
21-20
14-23
4-31
24-19
21-22
25-22
25-24
23-24
26-23
26-24
19-28
15-32
26-27
16-27
20-18
13-23
13-25
16-29
14-35
19-17
20-21
12-21
21-23
25-26
20-26
23-20
175.5Avg total
79.9Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Season at home (3)83.795.0178.7-11.333%
Season away (2)70.5104.0174.5-33.50%
Last 10 (10)79.995.6175.5-15.730%
Last 5 (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.091.1167.1-15.10%
vs Similar (9)78.383.9162.2-5.633%
vs Weaker (7)94.088.4182.4+5.686%
This opponent (Minyor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinyorBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinyor
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
113-96
113
96
+17
113avg 82
H20/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
84avg 82
A25/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
56avg 82
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
75avg 82
H01/05
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
123-101
123
101
+22
118avg 82
H10/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Beroe
#11
W
110-104
110
104
+6
104avg 82
H23/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
110-82
110
82
+28
no box
H02/11
NBL
Levski
#12
W
96-82
96
82
+14
no box
A08/11
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
105-83
105
83
+22
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
24-28
27-27
31-22
25-23
26-32
16-31
27-23
20-24
21-22
13-26
12-33
18-20
23-26
22-34
20-23
36-18
23-28
33-28
31-27
29-24
23-22
26-27
18-20
31-28
27-23
24-34
28-19
21-20
42-19
26-22
21-21
28-26
37-13
17-22
14-21
23-16
27-25
23-26
32-16
195.4Avg total
99.6Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)106.790.8197.5+15.8100%
Season at home (4)112.092.5204.5+19.5100%
Season away (2)96.087.5183.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)99.695.8195.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)103.488.8192.2+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.199.1183.2-14.920%
vs Similar (4)85.081.5166.5+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)102.790.2192.9+12.5100%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
91.1%
Under 166
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
85.0%
Under 171
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176
Over 176
76.6%
Under 176
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

CSKA Sofia total 83.5
Over 83.5
81.8%
Under 83.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia total 87.5
Over 87.5
69.8%
Under 87.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Sofia total 91.5
Over 91.5
55.2%
Under 91.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minyor total 79.5
Over 79.5
93.4%
Under 79.5
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minyor total 83.5
Over 83.5
86.9%
Under 83.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minyor total 87.5
Over 87.5
76.8%
Under 87.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CSKA Sofia -3
CSKA -3
33.7%
MINY +3
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
CSKA
No market prices yet.
MINY
No market prices yet.
Spread CSKA Sofia 0
CSKA 0
42.6%
MINY 0
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
CSKA
No market prices yet.
MINY
No market prices yet.
Spread CSKA Sofia +3
CSKA +3
51.6%
MINY -3
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
CSKA
No market prices yet.
MINY
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
CSKA SofiaMinyor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H07/11
NBL
87.1Avg total
40.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.385.7-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.187.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.045.484.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.387.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.850.088.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.544.884.4-5.331%-
vs Similar (9)40.644.084.6-3.433%-
vs Weaker (7)47.345.392.6+2.057%-
This opponent (Minyor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinyorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H20/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A25/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/05
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H10/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A17/10
NBL
Beroe
#11
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H23/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H02/11
NBL
Levski
#12
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A08/11
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/11
NBL
99.1Avg total
53.5Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.645.493.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.844.295.0+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)44.546.691.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)53.545.699.1+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.643.2100.8+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.449.693.0-6.220%-
vs Similar (4)43.835.879.5+8.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)54.843.298.0+11.6100%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.7
48.8%
55.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.4
30.3%
29.8%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.014.9
62.1%
71.2%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minyortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minyor: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.725.4
60.9%
55.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.4
76.0%
71.2%18.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LLLLWLWLWL
Minyor
WWWWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#2
-25.0
Net rating
-0.9
87.3
Offensive rating
106.2
112.3
Defensive rating
107.1
47.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.3%
3-point %
32.9%
76.1%
Assist %
65.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 106.2Defence112.3 · 107.1Shooting47.6% · 56.6%3-point %30.3% · 32.9%Ball care19.5% · 12.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Minyor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CSKA Sofia wins
1
Minyor wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Minyor v CSKA Sofia76-82
21/10/23CSKA Sofia v Minyor78-85
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HShumen89-95
30/10/26ABalkan65-94
24/10/26HCherno More62-95
17/10/26ARilski Sportist76-114
10/10/26HPolytechnica100-95
03/05/24ABalkan74-94
01/05/24HBalkan82-77
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102
Minyorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HYambol105-83
08/11/26ALevski96-82
02/11/26HBotev 2012110-82
23/10/26HBeroe110-104
17/10/26ABotev Academic96-93
10/10/26HShumen123-101
01/05/26HBalkan83-103
29/04/26ABalkan66-105
25/04/26ALok. Plovdiv94-109
20/04/26HShumen113-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game78.483.770.5
Allowed / game98.695.0104.0
Point differential-20.2-11.3-33.5
Avg total177.0178.7174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minyor
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.7112.096.0
Allowed / game90.892.587.5
Point differential+15.8+19.5+8.5
Avg total197.5204.5183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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