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Czarni Slupsk vs Dabrowa Gornicza Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 85-89
Projected total 173.4
Scheduled
Position#15
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.5
Vs
37%
63%
■ CSL 37%■ DABR 63%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game82.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 7· Hala Gryfia
Other2026-27
Meetings · Czarni Slupsk v Dabrowa Gornicza
16 Nov 2026
CSL v DABR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
CSL88
DABR102
21 Dec 2024
CSL86
DABR72
05 Dec 2023
CSL92
DABR90
08 Apr 2023
CSL83
DABR74
13 Mar 2022
CSL94
DABR75
24 Mar 2018
CSL0
DABR20
15 Jan 2017
CSL68
DABR82
30 Dec 2015
CSL65
DABR72
31 Jan 2015
CSL80
DABR71
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Czarni Slupsk will face Dabrowa Gornicza in the Energa Basket Liga on 16 November 2026, with the former on a stark 0-6 run and the latter boasting a flawless 6-0 season; the contrast is immediate as Czarni have averaged 81.0 points while allowing 87.5, whereas Dabrowa average 91.7 and concede 82.8. Czarni's home record is 0-3, scoring 77.3 and conceding 83.3, and their last five games have yielded five defeats, including a 95-105 loss to Szczecin and a 72-84 loss to Gdynia; Dabrowa have won every road outing, 2-0, with 92.5 points scored and 83.5 allowed, and their recent five victories include a 93-85 win over Gornik Walbrzych. Historically the teams have met ten times, Czarni winning six, Dabrowa four, with the most recent encounter ending 102-88 in favour of Dabrowa on 24 January 2026. Pythia projects a 37% chance for Czarni and 63% for Dabrowa, favouring the latter, with a 85-89 scoreline and 173.4 total points; the home team line is 4.0, with a 49% probability of covering, and a 5% chance of overtime. The next game will decide whether Czarni can reverse their slide or Dabrowa extend their perfect record.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Czarni Slupsk win
36.6%fair 2.73
Best odds2.40
Implied39.4%
Edge-2.8pp
Dabrowa Gornicza win
63.4%fair 1.58
Best odds1.67
Implied60.6%
Edge+2.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 18:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Czarni SlupskPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlupsk
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
86-106
86
106
-20
76avg 71
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 71
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
102avg 71
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 71
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
56avg 71
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 71
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
84-87
84
87
-3
65avg 71
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
65avg 71
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 71
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
no box
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-37
36-21
12-24
20-24
18-10
12-32
22-18
20-16
26-24
31-29
23-18
27-19
12-29
21-24
19-14
28-22
19-23
12-18
22-17
23-21
15-16
17-24
19-22
27-17
20-25
17-24
24-19
23-19
30-27
11-16
20-24
20-24
16-21
23-24
21-22
12-17
28-18
18-20
26-38
23-29
171.7Avg total
83.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
Season at home (3)77.383.3160.7-6.00%
Season away (3)84.791.7176.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)83.188.6171.7-5.510%
Last 5 (5)82.089.2171.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.490.1167.4-12.76%
vs Similar (9)87.387.7175.0-0.322%
vs Weaker (3)85.379.7165.0+5.767%
This opponent (Dabrowa Gornicza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dabrowa GorniczaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGornicza
Date
Competition
Legia
#1
L
66-100
66
100
-34
49avg 83
A14/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
75avg 83
A16/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
86avg 83
H19/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 83
H21/05
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
W
89-78
89
78
+11
82avg 83
A04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 83
H10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 83
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 83
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 83
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
no box
H07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
19-22
17-29
15-23
27-30
16-18
18-23
23-18
27-25
18-28
26-17
21-21
23-27
20-22
20-24
23-25
24-24
19-18
22-17
24-19
21-18
31-22
22-20
13-23
24-15
25-17
26-23
22-25
22-19
23-24
27-18
16-21
22-22
20-23
23-23
31-21
24-28
19-17
20-22
30-18
175.3Avg total
87.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.782.8174.5+8.8100%
Season at home (4)91.282.5173.8+8.8100%
Season away (2)92.583.5176.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.887.5175.3+0.370%
Last 5 (5)92.283.8176.0+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.690.6172.1-9.029%
vs Similar (12)91.086.3177.3+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.485.0177.4+7.491%
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
60.8%
@ 1.47-1.5pp
Under 168.5
39.2%
@ 2.42+1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.42
Over/Under 173.75 · main line
Over 173.75
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under 173.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 178.5
Over 178.5
37.1%
@ 2.32-2.5pp
Under 178.5
62.9%
@ 1.52+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Under
Betano
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Czarni Slupsk total 81.5
Over 81.5
61.8%
@ 1.45-1.0pp
Under 81.5
38.2%
@ 2.47+1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.34
Czarni Slupsk total 85.5 · main line
Over 85.5
46.6%
@ 1.87-2.7pp
Under 85.5
53.4%
@ 1.80+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Czarni Slupsk total 89.5
Over 89.5
32.0%
@ 2.55-4.3pp
Under 89.5
68.0%
@ 1.44+4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.39
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.38
Dabrowa Gornicza total 84.5
Over 84.5
65.5%
@ 1.44+2.6pp
Under 84.5
34.5%
@ 2.52-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.30
Dabrowa Gornicza total 88.5 · main line
Over 88.5
50.3%
@ 1.83+0.7pp
Under 88.5
49.7%
@ 1.85-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.69
Dabrowa Gornicza total 92.5
Over 92.5
35.1%
@ 2.50-1.2pp
Under 92.5
64.9%
@ 1.45+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Czarni Slupsk +1
CSL +1
37.6%
DABR -1
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
CSL
No market prices yet.
DABR
No market prices yet.
Spread Czarni Slupsk +4 · main line
CSL +4
49.0%
@ 1.86-1.8pp
DABR -4
51.0%
@ 1.92+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
CSL
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.80
DABR
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.86
Spread Czarni Slupsk +7
CSL +7
60.8%
DABR -7
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
CSL
No market prices yet.
DABR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
Czarni SlupskDabrowa Gornicza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Czarni SlupskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
86.2Avg total
40.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 87
Last 30 (30)41.343.184.4-1.847%27%
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.383.6-3.140%27%
Last 30 away (15)42.342.885.1-0.553%27%
Last 10 (10)40.046.286.2-6.220%20%
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.942.482.3-2.633%17%
vs Similar (9)44.344.288.6+0.167%44%
vs Weaker (3)40.743.384.0-2.767%33%
This opponent (Dabrowa Gornicza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dabrowa GorniczaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A16/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H19/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H21/05
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/11
Energa Basket Liga
88.4Avg total
43.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 87
Last 30 (30)45.544.790.2+0.950%57%
Last 30 at home (17)46.844.491.2+2.553%71%
Last 30 away (13)43.845.188.9-1.246%38%
Last 10 (10)43.944.588.4-0.640%60%
Last 5 (5)46.241.087.2+5.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.346.189.4-2.929%71%
vs Similar (12)45.545.490.9+0.142%42%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.042.989.9+4.173%64%
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
CSL win
no forecast
@ 2.34
DABR win
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Czarni Slupsk +2 · main line
CSL +2
no forecast
@ 1.88
DABR -2
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Over/Under 87 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Czarni Slupsk 1st half total 42.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Dabrowa Gornicza 1st half total 44.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Czarni Slupsk +1
CSL +1
no forecast
@ 2.09
DABR -1
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Czarni Slupsk +3.5
CSL +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
DABR -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Spread Czarni Slupsk +4.5
CSL +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
DABR -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Spread Czarni Slupsk -1
CSL -1
no forecast
@ 2.58
DABR +1
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
CSL
no forecast
@ 2.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
DABR
no forecast
@ 1.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CSL win + total 173.5
🔒 Pro
DABR win + total 173.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CSL leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Dabrowa Gornicza +4.575.7%1.33
Betano
1.33
----+6.7pp
Dabrowa Gornicza +3.572.6%1.38
Betano
1.38
----+6.3pp
Czarni Slupsk +11.574.9%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+4.0pp
Czarni Slupsk +10.572.0%1.34
Betano
1.34
----+3.5pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Czarni Slupsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czarni Slupsk: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.7
51.5%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
71.3%12.1
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dabrowa Gorniczatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dabrowa Gornicza: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.9
51.8%
54.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.1
35.3%
32.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.1
74.0%
71.3%17.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Czarni Slupsk
LLLLLLLWLL
Dabrowa Gornicza
WWWWWWLWLL
#15
League position
#1
-5.5
Net rating
+0.0
90.4
Offensive rating
97.1
95.9
Defensive rating
97.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
35.3%
53.6%
Assist %
63.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 97.1Defence95.9 · 97.1Shooting50.8% · 52.3%3-point %33.1% · 35.3%Ball care14.8% · 15.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Czarni Slupsk   ■ Dabrowa Gornicza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASzczecin95-105
31/10/26HGdynia72-84
25/10/26ADziki Warszawa81-91
19/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski84-87
11/10/26AAnwil Wloclawek78-79
02/10/26HLegia76-79
06/05/26HGTK Gliwice80-89
30/04/26AGornik Walbrzych107-90
25/04/26HTrefl Sopot72-76
18/04/26ADziki Warszawa86-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HGornik Walbrzych93-85
01/11/26ALublin96-89
25/10/26HTrefl Sopot88-82
18/10/26HSlask Wroclaw97-80
10/10/26HTorun87-83
04/10/26AGTK Gliwice89-78
21/05/26HLegia86-98
19/05/26HLegia92-91
16/05/26ALegia84-89
14/05/26ALegia66-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Czarni Slupsk
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.077.384.7
Allowed / game87.583.391.7
Point differential-6.5-6.0-7.0
Avg total168.5160.7176.3
Over 173.7517%0%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dabrowa Gornicza
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.791.292.5
Allowed / game82.882.583.5
Point differential+8.8+8.8+9.0
Avg total174.5173.8176.0
Over 173.7550%50%50%
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
3 Dziki Warszawa65183%91.574.5+17.0
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Gornik Walbrzych63350%84.783.3+1.3
8 Bydgoszcz63350%85.388.2-2.8
9 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski62433%76.880.8-4.0
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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