PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kastela vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-70
21-12 18-12 24-22 23-24
Position#3
Record11-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game72.2
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record11-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 18· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kastela v Marsonia
18 Oct 2025
KAST77
MARS72
23 Feb 2025
KAST86
MARS70
27 Mar 2024
KAST85
MARS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Hermes
#14
W
127-64
127
64
+63
121avg 78
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 78
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 78
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 78
A15/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
93-94
93
94
-1
92avg 78
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 78
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
59avg 78
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
102avg 78
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
36avg 78
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 78
A16/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-19
29-12
29-11
31-22
28-14
21-17
32-15
24-23
23-21
14-17
21-19
20-23
17-27
22-13
16-16
14-15
29-24
28-21
18-20
18-29
17-22
21-18
14-22
30-7
12-9
19-20
12-12
21-11
24-24
24-31
27-21
25-16
9-22
11-17
20-20
9-18
15-17
12-20
19-16
18-21
157.3Avg total
83.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.672.2156.8+12.465%
Season at home (9)91.170.9162.0+20.289%
Season away (8)77.273.6150.9+3.638%
Last 10 (10)83.174.2157.3+8.950%
Last 5 (5)71.872.8144.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.775.3135.0-15.70%
vs Similar (6)74.372.2146.5+2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.273.0158.2+12.275%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
48avg 77
A08/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
95-62
95
62
+33
85avg 77
H15/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 77
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 77
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 77
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
108-92
108
92
+16
99avg 77
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
93avg 77
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
84-107
84
107
-23
61avg 77
A08/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 77
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 77
H16/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
17-20
14-17
23-32
29-11
22-10
22-20
22-21
26-15
25-15
23-21
24-20
25-25
24-18
20-19
22-24
24-22
24-25
7-28
25-25
28-23
23-25
34-19
23-25
26-23
24-28
16-11
19-23
14-32
24-23
22-32
24-20
24-26
29-21
9-18
23-25
27-22
27-17
16-29
19-18
178.2Avg total
90.3Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.583.7171.2+3.865%
Season at home (9)87.876.6164.3+11.289%
Season away (8)87.191.8178.9-4.638%
Last 10 (10)90.387.9178.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)94.494.6189.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.289.6168.8-10.531%
vs Similar (8)87.184.6171.8+2.562%
vs Weaker (8)92.877.4170.1+15.488%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
KastelaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#14
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A15/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A16/02
Prva Liga
79.8Avg total
41.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.375.4+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.436.475.8+3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)38.836.375.1+2.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.579.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.072.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.338.365.7-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)34.737.572.2-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.935.677.5+6.260%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A08/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H15/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A08/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H16/02
Prva Liga
89.4Avg total
47.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.486.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.938.982.8+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.945.989.7-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)47.541.989.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)49.248.097.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.245.284.4-6.131%-
vs Similar (8)45.241.686.9+3.650%-
vs Weaker (8)49.938.087.9+11.9100%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.5
59.8%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws10.98.5
78.0%
70.4%8.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.3
36.9%
33.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.113.6
71.2%
70.4%13.6
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LLWWWLLLWW
Marsonia
WLLWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#6
+12.4
Net rating
+2.4
109.7
Offensive rating
111.4
97.3
Defensive rating
109.1
57.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
36.9%
59.8%
Assist %
48.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 111.4Defence97.3 · 109.1Shooting57.5% · 53.0%3-point %36.1% · 36.9%Ball care18.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds24.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.17 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Kastela   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kastela wins
0
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Marsonia v Kastela64-88
27/03/24Kastela v Marsonia85-79
23/12/23Marsonia v Kastela81-87
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ASonik Puntamika64-74
12/02/25HAlkar49-77
08/02/25HJazine100-92
01/02/25ACrikvenica64-52
25/01/25HSkrljevo82-69
19/01/25AMladost93-94
15/01/25AKK Zagreb69-71
11/01/25HGorica78-80
14/12/24HBosco105-69
07/12/24HHermes127-64
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HJazine89-86
11/02/25ACibona85-90
08/02/25ASkrljevo84-107
01/02/25HGorica106-98 OT
25/01/25ABosco108-92
19/01/25ASamobor80-100
16/01/25ASonik Puntamika91-86
12/01/25HOmis98-71
15/12/24HCrikvenica95-62
08/12/24AMladost67-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%89%38%
Points / game84.691.177.2
Allowed / game72.270.973.6
Point differential+12.4+20.2+3.6
Avg total156.8162.0150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%89%38%
Points / game87.587.887.1
Allowed / game83.776.691.8
Point differential+3.8+11.2-4.6
Avg total171.2164.3178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1715288%89.981.1+8.8
2 Mladost1713476%84.477.0+7.4
3 Jazine1712571%94.183.5+10.5
4 Skrljevo1812667%90.380.7+9.6
5 Kastela1711665%84.672.2+12.4
6 Marsonia1711665%87.583.7+3.8
7 KK Zagreb189950%75.675.6+0.0
8 Gorica189950%79.583.3-3.8
9 Sonik Puntamika1881044%73.773.9-0.2
10 Omis1871139%75.977.8-1.9
11 Crikvenica1751229%66.677.6-11.1
12 Dakovo1741324%77.486.1-8.7
13 Bosco1731418%74.587.9-13.4
14 Hermes1831517%77.290.1-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2118242386
Marsonia1212222470
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.