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KK Zagreb vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-75
22-24 29-12 22-20 24-19
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#6
Record12-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game83.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 21· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2024-25
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Marsonia
19 Apr 2026
KK Z68
MARS98
15 Mar 2025
KK Z97
MARS75
18 Feb 2024
KK Z70
MARS60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 73
H12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 73
H15/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 73
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
65avg 73
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
86-67
86
67
+19
83avg 73
H01/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
64-95
64
95
-31
52avg 73
A08/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 73
H15/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 73
A22/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
102avg 73
H01/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
75avg 73
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-14
21-20
19-12
27-17
13-22
16-16
15-14
16-20
14-18
20-20
13-18
19-15
11-18
19-15
12-13
23-22
18-13
19-19
26-13
20-23
13-22
17-32
14-18
29-17
10-21
27-21
13-22
20-25
16-17
22-20
23-16
22-29
20-22
27-24
26-20
12-19
21-25
15-24
29-14
156.9Avg total
77.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.177.5154.6-0.545%
Season at home (10)83.477.0160.4+6.460%
Season away (10)70.878.1148.9-7.330%
Last 10 (10)77.579.4156.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)81.088.8169.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.885.8164.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.772.5147.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (12)77.370.6147.9+6.875%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 75
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 75
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
108-92
108
92
+16
99avg 75
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
93avg 75
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
84-107
84
107
-23
61avg 75
A08/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 75
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 75
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
49avg 75
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
75-93
75
93
-18
61avg 75
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
65avg 75
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-18
20-19
22-24
24-22
24-25
7-28
25-25
28-23
23-25
34-19
23-25
26-23
24-28
16-11
19-23
14-32
24-23
22-32
24-20
24-26
29-21
9-18
23-25
27-22
27-17
16-29
19-18
12-21
12-18
22-24
24-23
15-28
25-24
15-15
20-26
12-14
17-27
30-15
21-10
177.2Avg total
86.8Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.683.4169.0+2.260%
Season at home (10)87.075.5162.5+11.590%
Season away (10)84.291.3175.5-7.130%
Last 10 (10)86.890.4177.2-3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.884.2164.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.688.2167.8-8.633%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.184.6171.8+2.562%
vs Weaker (9)90.378.3168.7+12.078%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
KK ZagrebMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H15/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A22/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A09/03
Prva Liga
76.2Avg total
36.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.137.573.5-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.374.8+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.637.772.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.976.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.080.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.941.680.5-2.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.434.768.1-1.340%-
vs Weaker (12)36.437.073.4-0.658%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A08/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#4
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H16/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A23/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/03
Prva Liga
89.8Avg total
43.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.584.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.681.9+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.345.387.6-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.289.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.683.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.144.081.1-6.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.241.686.9+3.650%-
vs Weaker (9)46.240.786.9+5.678%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.29.6
63.2%
70.4%9.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.5
52.3%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.3
33.2%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
70.4%13.7
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
LLWLLWLLWW
Marsonia
WLLWLLWWLW
#8
League position
#6
-3.0
Net rating
-5.4
104.6
Offensive rating
107.7
107.6
Defensive rating
113.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
33.2%
59.8%
Assist %
47.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 107.7Defence107.6 · 113.1Shooting51.2% · 51.2%3-point %34.0% · 33.2%Ball care20.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds37.2% · 29.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
KK Zagreb wins
1
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Marsonia v KK Zagreb77-76
18/02/24KK Zagreb v Marsonia70-60
12/11/23Marsonia v KK Zagreb71-77
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AJazine77-82
01/03/25HSkrljevo104-108 OT
22/02/25AGorica81-78
15/02/25HBosco79-81
08/02/25ASamobor64-95
01/02/25HOmis86-67
26/01/25ASonik Puntamika71-72 OT
18/01/25ACrikvenica63-76
15/01/25HKastela71-69
12/01/25HMladost79-66
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HHermes80-66
02/03/25ADakovo75-93
23/02/25AKastela70-86
16/02/25HJazine89-86
11/02/25ACibona85-90
08/02/25ASkrljevo84-107
01/02/25HGorica106-98 OT
25/01/25ABosco108-92
19/01/25ASamobor80-100
16/01/25ASonik Puntamika91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game77.183.470.8
Allowed / game77.577.078.1
Point differential-0.5+6.4-7.3
Avg total154.7160.4148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)20% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game85.687.084.2
Allowed / game83.475.591.3
Point differential+2.2+11.5-7.1
Avg total169.0162.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2017385%88.480.5+8.0
2 Jazine2115671%91.981.9+10.0
3 Skrljevo2115671%90.881.0+9.9
4 Mladost2115671%82.777.0+5.7
5 Kastela2014670%86.272.5+13.8
6 Marsonia2012860%85.683.4+2.2
7 Gorica21101148%79.882.3-2.5
8 KK Zagreb2091145%77.177.5-0.5
9 Sonik Puntamika2191243%73.174.0-0.8
10 Omis2181338%76.478.9-2.4
11 Bosco2161529%73.783.6-9.9
12 Crikvenica2161529%66.977.5-10.6
13 Dakovo2051525%77.386.8-9.4
14 Hermes2031715%76.789.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb2229222497
Marsonia2412201975
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