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Kastela vs Dakovo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 108-74
28-21 28-20 26-12 26-21
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game72.4
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#12
Record5-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game85.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 20· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kastela v Dakovo
27 Feb 2027
KAST v DAKO
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
KAST119
DAKO82
08 Mar 2025
KAST108
DAKO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Gorica
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 81
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 81
A15/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
93-94
93
94
-1
92avg 81
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 81
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
59avg 81
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
102avg 81
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
36avg 81
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 81
A16/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
94avg 81
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 81
A01/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
14-17
21-19
20-23
17-27
22-13
16-16
14-15
29-24
28-21
18-20
18-29
17-22
21-18
14-22
30-7
12-9
19-20
12-12
21-11
24-24
24-31
27-21
25-16
9-22
11-17
20-20
9-18
15-17
12-20
19-16
18-21
21-12
18-12
24-22
23-24
25-20
31-17
19-26
18-16
153.6Avg total
77.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.172.4157.5+12.768%
Season at home (10)90.670.8161.4+19.890%
Season away (9)79.074.2153.2+4.844%
Last 10 (10)77.875.8153.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.580.5140.0-21.00%
vs Similar (6)74.372.2146.5+2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.073.3158.3+11.776%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 71
A14/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
57-66
57
66
-9
52avg 71
A22/12
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 71
H12/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
72avg 71
A18/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
A25/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 71
H02/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
67avg 71
A08/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 71
H15/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
65-90
65
90
-25
53avg 71
A23/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 71
H02/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
21-20
16-18
19-23
19-15
17-9
11-21
10-21
22-11
18-20
17-25
26-22
19-15
28-30
15-21
24-26
16-29
21-22
15-14
27-19
26-17
18-26
21-26
19-9
18-24
19-21
16-13
17-20
15-31
21-22
15-22
17-19
5-20
20-25
20-24
20-21
28-15
24-25
15-15
26-20
157.6Avg total
76.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.585.7163.2-8.226%
Season at home (9)83.687.3170.9-3.844%
Season away (10)72.184.2156.3-12.110%
Last 10 (10)76.181.5157.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)76.083.0159.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.488.7164.1-13.212%
vs Similar (4)80.572.8153.2+7.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
KastelaDakovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A15/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A16/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A01/03
Prva Liga
77.6Avg total
39.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.635.975.5+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.435.675.0+3.747%-
Last 30 away (13)39.836.276.1+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.477.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.042.068.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (6)34.737.572.2-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.034.876.7+7.262%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A22/12
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A08/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H15/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A23/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/03
Prva Liga
81.1Avg total
39.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)38.643.381.9-4.743%-
Last 30 at home (10)41.744.586.2-2.850%-
Last 30 away (11)35.742.277.9-6.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.681.1-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.284.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.145.283.4-7.131%-
vs Similar (4)39.033.572.5+5.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.0
56.0%
52.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.6
34.0%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws10.78.0
74.8%
70.4%8.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.322.1
47.7%
52.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.8
28.2%
33.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
70.4%13.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWLLWWWLLL
Dakovo
WLLLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#12
+2.7
Net rating
-7.2
102.6
Offensive rating
96.3
99.9
Defensive rating
103.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
46.0%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
28.2%
70.9%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 96.3Defence99.9 · 103.5Shooting53.8% · 46.0%3-point %34.0% · 28.2%Ball care19.5% · 20.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.17 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Kastela   ■ Dakovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kastela wins
0
Dakovo wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24Dakovo v Kastela80-99
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AOmis93-79
23/02/25HMarsonia86-70
16/02/25ASonik Puntamika64-74
12/02/25HAlkar49-77
08/02/25HJazine100-92
01/02/25ACrikvenica64-52
25/01/25HSkrljevo82-69
19/01/25AMladost93-94
15/01/25AKK Zagreb69-71
11/01/25HGorica78-80
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HMarsonia93-75
23/02/25AJazine65-90
15/02/25HSkrljevo68-94
08/02/25AGorica70-78
02/02/25HBosco84-78
25/01/25ASamobor79-84
18/01/25AOmis86-92
12/01/25HSonik Puntamika83-78
22/12/24ACrikvenica57-66
14/12/24AMladost76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%90%44%
Points / game85.190.679.0
Allowed / game72.470.874.2
Point differential+12.7+19.8+4.8
Avg total157.5161.4153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%70%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dakovo
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW26%
HomeWWWLW44%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%44%10%
Points / game77.583.672.1
Allowed / game85.787.384.2
Point differential-8.2-3.8-12.1
Avg total163.2170.9156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1917289%88.379.7+8.6
2 Jazine1914574%94.082.3+11.7
3 Mladost1914574%83.576.9+6.5
4 Kastela1913668%85.172.4+12.7
5 Skrljevo1913668%91.381.9+9.3
6 Marsonia1911858%85.984.3+1.6
7 KK Zagreb1991047%77.177.3-0.2
8 Gorica1991047%79.783.5-3.8
9 Sonik Puntamika1981142%73.574.4-0.8
10 Omis1971237%76.178.6-2.5
11 Crikvenica1961332%66.976.8-9.9
12 Dakovo1951426%77.585.7-8.2
13 Bosco1941521%74.285.9-11.8
14 Hermes1931616%77.290.4-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela28282626108
Dakovo2120122174
← all games of the day
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