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Dandenong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 81-75
25-20 26-18 13-23 17-14
Position#6
Record12-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#14
Record9-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Dandenong v NW Tasmania
14 Jul 2024
DAND81
NW T75
20 May 2023
DAND92
NW T95
14 May 2022
DAND59
NW T70
10 Jul 2021
DAND71
NW T77
12 Aug 2017
DAND92
NW T91
05 Aug 2017
DAND97
NW T108
07 Aug 2016
DAND90
NW T63
11 Jul 2015
DAND94
NW T83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A18/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A15/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
H22/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H30/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A12/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
23-12
21-18
26-18
22-14
19-23
20-12
18-23
21-17
29-19
23-27
23-25
25-25
19-13
25-21
28-30
22-21
21-26
21-21
22-16
23-33
18-28
23-22
16-26
12-26
27-14
23-8
13-24
20-19
15-23
21-28
16-16
20-14
17-26
13-25
15-13
22-26
16-25
22-10
18-22
165.4Avg total
81.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.983.3167.2+0.557%
Season at home (10)85.386.8172.1-1.560%
Season away (11)82.580.2162.7+2.455%
Last 10 (10)81.683.8165.4-2.260%
Last 5 (5)74.085.6159.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.291.8174.9-8.625%
vs Similar (8)79.984.5164.4-4.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.179.0169.1+11.190%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A25/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
77-117
77
117
-40
A26/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H15/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
96-93
96
93
+3
A22/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A23/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A13/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
19-24
18-15
26-20
15-34
23-17
16-27
23-39
16-20
17-22
24-22
16-24
25-28
20-24
15-25
20-17
28-22
14-30
26-25
28-16
17-29
24-26
16-15
13-25
24-21
27-20
22-16
20-21
21-24
23-21
20-15
8-12
25-24
25-22
19-16
27-23
18-21
22-19
7-15
24-20
170.9Avg total
82.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.688.9171.5-6.343%
Season at home (11)82.887.3170.1-4.545%
Season away (10)82.490.7173.1-8.340%
Last 10 (10)82.288.7170.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)81.482.8164.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.589.4169.0-9.924%
vs Similar (8)85.185.9171.0-0.850%
vs Weaker (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
DandenongNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A18/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H19/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H25/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
H22/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H30/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/07
NBL1 South
84.2Avg total
40.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.187.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.943.788.6+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.644.586.1-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.384.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.046.884.8-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.647.090.6-3.425%-
vs Similar (8)38.144.882.9-6.612%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.540.286.7+6.380%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A26/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H15/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H28/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/07
NBL1 South
89.9Avg total
42.9Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.347.588.8-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.146.690.7-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.548.486.9-9.90%-
Last 10 (10)42.947.089.9-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.490.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.548.088.5-7.519%-
vs Similar (8)43.046.689.6-3.625%-
vs Weaker (1)45.044.089.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dandenong wins
5
NW Tasmania wins
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/24ANunawading78-83
06/07/24AGeelong65-78
30/06/24HMt Gambier72-86
29/06/24AKeilor Thunder75-72
22/06/24HSandringham Sabres80-109
15/06/24ABallarat86-84
07/06/24HFrankston97-89
25/05/24HRingwood96-88
19/05/24HBendigo Braves79-72
18/05/24ADiamond Valley88-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/24ANunawading71-75
06/07/24HBendigo Braves96-85
29/06/24HKilsyth77-81 OT
28/06/24HDiamond Valley93-78
23/06/24AKnox70-95
22/06/24AEltham96-93
15/06/24HSandringham Sabres80-94
31/05/24AHobart Chargers73-88
26/05/24AWaverley77-117
25/05/24AGeelong89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL57%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%60%55%
Points / game83.985.382.5
Allowed / game83.386.880.2
Point differential+0.5-1.5+2.4
Avg total167.2172.1162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%10%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLLWLW45%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%45%40%
Points / game82.682.882.4
Allowed / game88.987.390.7
Point differential-6.3-4.5-8.3
Avg total171.5170.1173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier2217577%90.580.4+10.1
2 Sandringham Sabres2215768%92.980.8+12.1
3 Frankston2215768%93.282.2+11.0
4 Ballarat2215768%90.985.8+5.1
5 Eltham2214864%89.881.5+8.2
6 Knox2213959%94.181.7+12.4
7 Dandenong2112957%83.983.3+0.5
8 Nunawading22121055%84.584.4+0.1
9 Hobart Chargers22121055%81.782.5-0.8
10 Geelong22121055%80.682.5-1.9
11 Keilor Thunder22121055%86.790.5-3.8
12 Waverley22111150%90.289.0+1.3
13 Melbourne Tigers22101245%76.681.6-5.0
14 NW Tasmania2191243%82.688.9-6.3
15 Bendigo Braves2271532%80.287.6-7.4
16 Kilsyth2161529%77.786.2-8.5
17 Diamond Valley2161529%85.694.7-9.1
18 Ringwood2261627%83.791.5-7.8
19 Casey Cavaliers2231914%78.890.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong2526131781
NW Tasmania2018231475
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