Waverley vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 May 2024

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 117-77

34-15 17-23 27-16 39-23

Position#12

Record7-4

FormLWWWW

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game84.8

Waverley 🏆

NW Tasmania

Position#14

Record6-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game88.4

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Waverley v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

63-67

-4

H07/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

97-77

+20

A12/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

93-85

A13/04

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

93-94

-1

H20/04

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

95-83

+12

H27/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

101-107

101

107

-6

A28/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

90-82

H30/04

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

110-75

110

+35

H04/05

NBL1 South

Knox

98-91 OT

A11/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

87-82

H18/05

NBL1 South

17-18

17-16

9-16

20-17

29-18

25-23

24-21

19-15

23-23

20-16

26-21

24-25

27-29

21-17

29-25

16-23

29-19

23-15

18-24

25-25

23-35

25-19

32-32

21-21

30-14

15-29

21-22

24-17

22-25

27-25

25-15

36-10

30-19

12-25

21-19

20-20

17-23

24-22

25-23

21-14

177.0Avg total

92.7Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	90.9	84.8	175.7	+6.1	64%
Season at home (6)	89.7	80.5	170.2	+9.2	67%
Season away (5)	92.4	90.0	182.4	+2.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	84.3	177.0	+8.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.2	87.4	184.6	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	80.1	83.9	164.0	-3.8	38%
vs Similar (9)	87.8	86.4	174.2	+1.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	92.5	83.9	176.4	+8.5	69%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

71-101

101

-30

H13/04

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

84-91

-7

A19/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

96-105

105

-9

A21/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

98-95

H26/04

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

84-83

H27/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

76-101

101

-25

H04/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

74-84

-10

H11/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

87-82

A18/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

81-80

A19/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

89-81

A25/05

NBL1 South

15-24

27-27

16-32

13-18

28-19

16-26

25-27

15-19

30-32

22-24

23-28

21-21

29-26

31-27

17-23

21-19

22-23

23-21

19-24

20-15

19-22

28-23

18-24

11-32

19-28

17-21

10-16

28-19

17-15

19-26

20-18

31-23

13-17

22-21

20-20

26-22

19-24

18-15

26-20

174.3Avg total

84.0Scored

90.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.5	88.4	171.9	-4.9	50%
Season at home (7)	80.7	88.9	169.6	-8.1	43%
Season away (5)	87.4	87.8	175.2	-0.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	90.3	174.3	-6.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	85.6	167.0	-4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	80.1	88.5	168.6	-8.4	27%
vs Similar (7)	88.7	87.7	176.4	+1.0	57%
vs Weaker (1)	84.0	83.0	167.0	+1.0	100%

This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WaverleyNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	22.3	47.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.2	47.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	22.7	46.2	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.7	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	23.3	43.9	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	23.8	44.8	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.1	23.2	43.4	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.4	43.3	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	23.3	45.3	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	22.6	39.9	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.8	23.5	46.2	-0.7	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	25.1	46.1	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	24.0	46.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.7	23.2	43.9	-2.5	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

34-34

H07/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

54-41

+13

A12/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

43-39

A13/04

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

48-46

H20/04

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

52-34

+18

H27/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

48-54

-6

A28/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

45-43

H30/04

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

49-50

-1

H04/05

NBL1 South

Knox

42-44

-2

A11/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

41-45

-4

H18/05

NBL1 South

88.6Avg total

45.6Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	44.0	87.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	42.6	85.6	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	45.6	89.4	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	43.0	88.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	47.2	92.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.8	44.5	83.2	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.0	43.2	88.2	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.2	44.2	89.3	+1.0	46%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

42-51

-9

H13/04

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

44-45

-1

A19/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

52-56

-4

A21/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

60-53

H26/04

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

45-44

H27/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

47-45

H04/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

36-49

-13

H11/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

36-41

-5

A18/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

35-38

-3

A19/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

45-46

-1

A25/05

NBL1 South

91.0Avg total

44.2Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	46.3	87.9	-4.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	45.1	86.9	-3.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	47.7	89.0	-6.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	46.8	91.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.8	83.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.8	46.4	87.2	-5.6	32%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.3	46.4	89.7	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	44.0	89.0	+1.0	100%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.4	43.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	21.2	45.4	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.2	47.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	25.4	20.9	46.3	+4.5	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	22.1	41.1	-3.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.7	41.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	41%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.4	40.8	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.9	18.8	40.8	+3.1	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.1	37.4	-0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.2	47.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.0	20.3	38.4	-2.3	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.6	20.9	45.4	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	40.4	84.3	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	40.3	82.2	+1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.1	40.6	86.7	+5.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	40.5	86.1	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	38.6	87.8	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.5	38.4	77.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	47.3	39.8	87.1	+7.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.5	81.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	41.1	78.6	-3.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	41.9	85.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.5	83.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.5	41.6	80.1	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.4	41.3	86.7	+4.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Waverley wins

NW Tasmania wins

Date	Game	Score
12/04/24	NW Tasmania v Waverley	77-97
07/05/23	Waverley v NW Tasmania	91-89
30/07/22	NW Tasmania v Waverley	69-63
15/05/22	Waverley v NW Tasmania	95-69
20/07/19	NW Tasmania v Waverley	103-95
28/04/19	Waverley v NW Tasmania	116-121 OT

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/24	H	Kilsyth	87-82
11/05/24	A	Knox	98-91 OT
04/05/24	H	Bendigo Braves	110-75
30/04/24	H	Dandenong	90-82
28/04/24	A	Keilor Thunder	101-107
27/04/24	H	Ringwood	95-83
20/04/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	93-94
13/04/24	A	Hobart Chargers	93-85
12/04/24	A	NW Tasmania	97-77
07/04/24	H	Mt Gambier	63-67

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/24	A	Geelong	89-81
19/05/24	A	Kilsyth	81-80
18/05/24	A	Ringwood	87-82
11/05/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	74-84
04/05/24	H	Frankston	76-101
27/04/24	H	Casey Cavaliers	84-83
26/04/24	H	Ballarat	98-95
21/04/24	A	Keilor Thunder	96-105
19/04/24	A	Mt Gambier	84-91
13/04/24	H	Dandenong	71-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	64%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LWWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	67%	60%
Points / game	90.9	89.7	92.4
Allowed / game	84.8	80.5	90.0
Point differential	+6.1	+9.2	+2.4
Avg total	175.7	170.2	182.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	50%
Home	LWWLL	43%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	50%	43%	60%
Points / game	83.5	80.7	87.4
Allowed / game	88.4	88.9	87.8
Point differential	-4.9	-8.1	-0.4
Avg total	171.9	169.6	175.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	12	9	3	75%	94.2	84.5	+9.7
2	Mt Gambier	12	9	3	75%	89.4	82.2	+7.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	12	8	4	67%	92.2	80.5	+11.7
4	Dandenong	14	9	5	64%	86.3	82.1	+4.2
5	Waverley	11	7	4	64%	90.9	84.8	+6.1
6	Keilor Thunder	13	8	5	62%	91.0	95.0	-4.0
7	Hobart Chargers	12	7	5	58%	81.7	81.1	+0.6
8	Frankston	11	6	5	55%	92.1	85.3	+6.8
9	Eltham	11	6	5	55%	90.1	83.7	+6.4
10	Knox	12	6	6	50%	93.1	85.7	+7.4
11	Nunawading	12	6	6	50%	85.3	83.6	+1.8
12	Melbourne Tigers	12	6	6	50%	78.2	82.8	-4.5
13	NW Tasmania	12	6	6	50%	83.5	88.4	-4.9
14	Ringwood	14	6	8	43%	86.7	88.7	-2.0
15	Bendigo Braves	14	6	8	43%	79.8	86.2	-6.4
16	Geelong	12	4	8	33%	79.9	87.0	-7.1
17	Kilsyth	13	3	10	23%	78.2	88.5	-10.3
18	Diamond Valley	11	2	9	18%	84.7	97.2	-12.5
19	Casey Cavaliers	12	2	10	17%	79.6	87.2	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Waverley	34	17	27	39	117
NW Tasmania	15	23	16	23	77

← all games of the day

Waverley vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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