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Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 81-89
22-26 24-19 15-18 20-26
Position#11
Record4-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#14
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game89.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Geelong v NW Tasmania
15 Jun 2025
GEEL85
NW T97
25 May 2024
GEEL81
NW T89
25 Jun 2022
GEEL86
NW T82
21 Jun 2019
GEEL79
NW T74
26 May 2017
GEEL87
NW T92
06 Aug 2016
GEEL93
NW T74
05 Jul 2015
GEEL86
NW T76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H12/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A27/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A05/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A12/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A19/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
11-28
24-21
22-16
25-28
25-16
19-33
28-26
12-18
21-22
13-15
21-9
11-16
19-21
23-20
21-21
10-18
28-19
23-36
20-20
14-28
17-17
23-20
15-18
19-24
18-21
16-23
21-17
20-22
15-23
21-13
28-23
17-20
16-19
23-25
31-22
20-26
20-28
17-31
26-30
167.3Avg total
79.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.886.8166.6-7.036%
Season at home (5)78.083.2161.2-5.240%
Season away (6)81.389.8171.2-8.533%
Last 10 (10)79.787.6167.3-7.930%
Last 5 (5)79.490.0169.4-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.087.1169.1-5.156%
vs Similar (9)91.188.6179.7+2.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.184.7170.8+1.442%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H12/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
H13/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A21/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H27/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
76-101
76
101
-25
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A18/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A19/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
23-25
21-24
15-19
15-24
27-27
16-32
13-18
28-19
16-26
25-27
15-19
30-32
22-24
23-28
21-21
29-26
31-27
17-23
21-19
22-23
23-21
19-24
20-15
19-22
28-23
18-24
11-32
19-28
17-21
10-16
28-19
17-15
19-26
20-18
31-23
13-17
22-21
20-20
26-22
174.7Avg total
82.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.089.1172.1-6.145%
Season at home (7)80.788.9169.6-8.143%
Season away (4)87.089.5176.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)82.891.9174.7-9.140%
Last 5 (5)80.486.0166.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.989.4168.2-10.523%
vs Similar (7)88.787.7176.4+1.057%
vs Weaker (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
GeelongNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/05
NBL1 South
79.9Avg total
36.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.986.1-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.145.488.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)41.342.784.0-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.779.9-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.680.8-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.044.083.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (9)44.845.089.8-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.543.185.6-0.650%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H12/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H13/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A21/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H27/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/05
NBL1 South
91.4Avg total
43.8Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.046.487.4-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.145.286.3-4.241%-
Last 30 away (13)41.047.888.8-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)43.847.691.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.483.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.146.586.6-6.332%-
vs Similar (7)43.346.489.7-3.129%-
vs Weaker (1)45.044.089.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Geelong wins
1
NW Tasmania wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23NW Tasmania v Geelong72-98
25/06/22Geelong v NW Tasmania86-82
03/07/21NW Tasmania v Geelong70-98
21/06/19Geelong v NW Tasmania79-74
01/06/19NW Tasmania v Geelong85-94
01/07/17NW Tasmania v Geelong85-92
26/05/17Geelong v NW Tasmania87-92
06/08/16Geelong v NW Tasmania93-74
23/07/16NW Tasmania v Geelong72-104
05/07/15Geelong v NW Tasmania86-76
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24AFrankston83-115
18/05/24HNunawading87-86
12/05/24ARingwood84-81
11/05/24HSandringham Sabres74-85
05/05/24AKilsyth69-83
04/05/24HMt Gambier81-93
27/04/24ADandenong74-78
20/04/24HFrankston67-64
14/04/24AKeilor Thunder97-103
12/04/24HBendigo Braves81-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24AKilsyth81-80
18/05/24ARingwood87-82
11/05/24HMelbourne Tigers74-84
04/05/24HFrankston76-101
27/04/24HCasey Cavaliers84-83
26/04/24HBallarat98-95
21/04/24AKeilor Thunder96-105
19/04/24AMt Gambier84-91
13/04/24HDandenong71-101
12/04/24HWaverley77-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game79.878.081.3
Allowed / game86.883.289.8
Point differential-7.0-5.2-8.5
Avg total166.6161.2171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%43%50%
Points / game83.080.787.0
Allowed / game89.188.989.5
Point differential-6.1-8.1-2.5
Avg total172.1169.6176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier129375%89.482.2+7.2
2 Ballarat107370%94.283.2+11.0
3 Waverley117464%90.984.8+6.1
4 Dandenong138562%85.581.6+3.9
5 Sandringham Sabres106460%91.782.0+9.7
6 Frankston106460%93.283.8+9.4
7 Keilor Thunder127558%92.297.5-5.2
8 Knox116555%93.785.4+8.4
9 Eltham116555%90.183.7+6.4
10 Nunawading116555%86.083.5+2.5
11 Hobart Chargers116555%80.179.5+0.5
12 Ringwood136746%86.688.2-1.5
13 Melbourne Tigers115645%77.783.2-5.5
14 NW Tasmania115645%83.089.1-6.1
15 Bendigo Braves125742%79.586.1-6.6
16 Geelong114736%79.886.8-7.0
17 Kilsyth123925%79.389.6-10.2
18 Diamond Valley92722%83.496.9-13.4
19 Casey Cavaliers112918%77.986.2-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2224152081
NW Tasmania2619182689
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