Dandenong vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jun 2019

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 130-138 (OT)

29-30 26-26 15-29 39-24 21-29

Position#8

Record7-6

FormWLLWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game83.0

Dandenong

Southern Sabres 🏆

Position#18

Record2-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game98.8

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Dandenong v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

73-80

-7

H13/04

NBL 1

Frankston

85-74

+11

A24/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

106-66

106

+40

H27/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

85-104

104

-19

H04/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

87-96

-9

A10/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

109-76

109

+33

A11/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

82-99

-17

H18/05

NBL 1

Geelong

69-74

-5

A25/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

94-76

+18

H26/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

81-76

A01/06

NBL 1

13-22

18-34

19-13

23-11

17-20

23-24

20-11

25-19

25-14

27-18

23-16

31-18

13-26

36-27

10-26

26-25

26-24

20-22

19-22

22-28

26-31

24-8

29-14

30-23

16-31

23-22

25-17

18-29

18-18

16-17

12-18

23-21

35-16

21-29

20-17

18-14

30-13

14-19

15-34

22-10

169.2Avg total

87.1Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	86.9	83.0	169.9	+3.9	54%
Season at home (7)	87.0	85.7	172.7	+1.3	43%
Season away (6)	86.8	79.8	166.7	+7.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	82.1	169.2	+5.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	80.2	167.2	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	85.0	85.5	170.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar (10)	89.8	83.0	172.8	+6.8	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	87.8	80.4	168.1	+7.4	71%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

83-90

-7

H06/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

78-100

100

-22

H13/04

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

107-97

107

+10

H27/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

101-113 OT

101

113

-12

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

106-92

106

+14

A05/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

91-116

116

-25

H11/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

73-96

-23

A18/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

80-97

-17

H19/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

66-100

100

-34

H26/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

73-100

100

-27

A01/06

NBL 1

14-15

25-24

21-23

23-28

21-27

16-25

19-18

22-30

31-19

27-26

30-21

19-31

24-21

14-26

29-25

30-25

22-21

23-21

26-17

35-33

26-31

28-31

24-25

13-29

15-24

20-25

22-24

16-23

26-22

24-20

15-32

15-23

19-28

15-29

11-22

21-21

17-34

21-20

16-21

19-25

185.9Avg total

85.8Scored

100.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.4	98.8	182.2	-15.3	17%
Season at home (6)	84.2	100.0	184.2	-15.8	17%
Season away (6)	82.7	97.5	180.2	-14.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	100.1	185.9	-14.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	101.8	178.4	-25.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	82.8	95.5	178.3	-12.8	19%
vs Similar (4)	92.0	84.8	176.8	+7.2	50%
vs Weaker (5)	89.0	75.4	164.4	+13.6	80%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DandenongSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.1	42.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.8	46.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	22.3	42.2	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	21.7	43.4	-0.1	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	23.9	45.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	23.6	47.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	24.2	44.4	-4.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	24.2	45.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	27.8	48.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.8	25.4	46.2	-4.6	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	24.0	48.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.8	17.6	42.4	+7.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.5	42.7	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.9	45.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.2	43.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	24.7	46.0	-3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.0	46.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

31-56

-25

H13/04

NBL 1

Frankston

40-44

-4

A24/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

52-32

+20

H27/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

49-53

-4

H04/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

46-46

A10/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

50-39

+11

A11/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

39-53

-14

H18/05

NBL 1

Geelong

34-35

-1

A25/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

56-45

+11

H26/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

44-32

+12

A01/06

NBL 1

87.6Avg total

44.1Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	42.1	86.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	44.8	89.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	39.1	82.0	+3.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	43.5	87.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.8	85.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.3	45.8	87.2	-4.5	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.3	41.8	86.1	+2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.6	40.8	85.4	+3.8	57%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

39-39

H06/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

37-52

-15

H13/04

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

58-45

+13

H27/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

38-47

-9

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

45-42

A05/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

54-62

-8

H11/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

35-49

-14

A18/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

50-42

H19/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

34-57

-23

H26/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

38-54

-16

A01/06

NBL 1

91.7Avg total

42.8Scored

48.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	45.7	88.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	44.9	90.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	46.7	85.5	-7.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	48.9	91.7	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	52.8	95.0	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	40.9	48.1	89.0	-7.3	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	46.2	41.8	88.0	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	80%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.1	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	21.4	43.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.8	44.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.8	42.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.5	22.2	45.8	+1.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	19.3	43.5	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	18.4	41.7	+4.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.7	18.5	42.2	+5.2	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	26.1	21.5	47.6	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.4	43.7	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	23.9	43.0	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	26.8	48.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	24.2	41.0	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.1	23.8	44.0	-3.7	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	39.8	83.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	38.2	81.5	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	41.6	85.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	38.6	81.6	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.4	81.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.7	39.7	83.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.8	40.3	84.1	+3.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	44.5	87.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	43.8	87.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	45.3	86.7	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	49.6	92.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	49.0	83.4	-14.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	41.7	46.6	88.3	-4.9	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.8	43.0	88.8	+2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	36.6	80.4	+7.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dandenong wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/19	Southern Sabres v Dandenong	83-90
27/05/17	Dandenong v Southern Sabres	83-84
06/08/16	Southern Sabres v Dandenong	98-96
16/08/15	Southern Sabres v Dandenong	74-77
18/06/15	Dandenong v Southern Sabres	85-88

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/19	A	Knox	81-76
26/05/19	H	Bendigo Braves	94-76
25/05/19	A	Geelong	69-74
18/05/19	H	Nunawading	82-99
11/05/19	A	NW Tasmania	109-76
10/05/19	A	Hobart Huskies	87-96
04/05/19	H	Eltham	85-104
27/04/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	106-66
24/04/19	A	Frankston	85-74
13/04/19	H	Ballarat	73-80

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/19	A	Bendigo Braves	73-100
26/05/19	H	Ballarat	66-100
19/05/19	H	Eltham	80-97
18/05/19	A	Ringwood	73-96
11/05/19	H	Nunawading	91-116
05/05/19	A	Kilsyth	106-92
04/05/19	A	Melbourne Tigers	101-113 OT
27/04/19	H	Hobart Huskies	107-97
13/04/19	H	Knox	78-100
06/04/19	H	Dandenong	83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	54%
Home	LWLLW	43%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	43%	67%
Points / game	86.9	87.0	86.8
Allowed / game	83.0	85.7	79.8
Point differential	+3.9	+1.3	+7.0
Avg total	169.9	172.7	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	29%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Southern Sabres

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LWLLL	17%
Away	LLWLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	17%	17%	17%
Points / game	83.4	84.2	82.7
Allowed / game	98.8	100.0	97.5
Point differential	-15.3	-15.8	-14.8
Avg total	182.2	184.2	180.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	12	10	2	83%	93.9	75.6	+18.3
2	Nunawading	12	9	3	75%	91.7	80.9	+10.8
3	Melbourne Tigers	12	8	4	67%	86.5	84.6	+1.9
4	Geelong	14	9	5	64%	83.0	79.9	+3.1
5	Kilsyth	12	7	5	58%	88.0	83.4	+4.6
6	Waverley	11	6	5	55%	86.5	90.4	-3.8
7	Dandenong	13	7	6	54%	86.9	83.0	+3.9
8	Frankston	13	7	6	54%	89.4	89.3	+0.1
9	BA CoE	14	7	7	50%	83.0	82.6	+0.4
10	Bendigo Braves	13	6	7	46%	83.9	82.4	+1.5
11	Hobart Huskies	12	5	7	42%	88.5	91.4	-2.9
12	NW Tasmania	12	5	7	42%	87.3	91.2	-3.9
13	Eltham	12	5	7	42%	86.8	90.8	-4.0
14	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	12	5	7	42%	90.4	96.4	-6.0
15	Diamond Valley	13	5	8	38%	84.9	88.2	-3.2
16	Knox	11	4	7	36%	79.8	82.6	-2.8
17	Ringwood	12	4	8	33%	89.5	93.4	-3.9
18	Southern Sabres	12	2	10	17%	83.4	98.8	-15.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Dandenong	29	26	15	39	21	130
Southern Sabres	30	26	29	24	29	138

← all games of the day

Dandenong vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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