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Dandenong vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 106-66
25-14 27-18 23-16 31-18
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.0
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Meetings · Dandenong v Melbourne Tigers
22 Apr 2023
DAND82
MELB95
27 Apr 2019
DAND106
MELB66
02 Apr 2017
DAND83
MELB69
17 Jul 2016
DAND85
MELB86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#7
L
97-108
97
108
-11
H05/08
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H12/08
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A18/08
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
W
102-94 OT
102
94
+8
A26/08
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A02/09
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
L
88-99
88
99
-11
H29/03
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A06/04
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H07/04
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H13/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A24/04
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
28-20
17-18
32-43
26-26
26-27
16-17
24-21
26-25
30-27
25-21
24-25
26-25
15-12
11-25
33-23
23-26
19-15
11-28
32-23
20-29
23-25
22-24
23-21
15-14
24-25
23-21
28-23
18-22
24-16
27-21
12-17
13-22
18-34
19-13
23-11
17-20
23-24
20-11
25-19
179.3Avg total
89.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.482.4165.8+1.060%
Season at home (3)80.785.0165.7-4.333%
Season away (2)87.578.5166.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.889.5179.3+0.360%
Last 5 (5)83.482.4165.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.188.1172.3-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.889.1176.9-1.356%
vs Weaker (14)85.975.6161.4+10.386%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#4
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A15/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A22/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H23/07
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A29/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
83-110
83
110
-27
H30/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H05/08
SEABL
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H31/03
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H07/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A13/04
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A14/04
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-28
16-23
21-31
16-12
10-23
21-22
20-27
18-27
22-12
17-18
26-8
12-18
15-18
17-22
19-21
26-27
18-30
23-26
16-27
26-18
19-17
23-26
29-23
20-26
18-19
17-20
14-8
27-19
14-25
37-22
24-25
20-17
19-30
22-23
20-14
28-24
26-20
11-14
18-14
164.2Avg total
80.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.880.0163.8+3.850%
Season at home (2)85.582.0167.5+3.550%
Season away (2)82.078.0160.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.084.2164.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)86.480.8167.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.992.6169.5-15.721%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.075.4156.4+5.660%
vs Weaker (1)83.072.0155.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
DandenongMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H05/08
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H12/08
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A18/08
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/08
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/09
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H29/03
NBL 1
Southern Sabres
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/04
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/04
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H13/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A24/04
NBL 1
89.5Avg total
43.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.384.2-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.643.184.7-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.583.7+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)43.446.189.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.285.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.946.186.0-6.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.243.485.7-1.222%-
vs Weaker (14)42.839.682.4+3.164%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A15/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A22/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/07
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A29/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/08
SEABL
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H31/03
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H07/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/04
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A14/04
NBL 1
81.7Avg total
38.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.845.684.4-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.845.383.1-7.520%-
Last 30 away (15)39.845.985.7-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.881.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.346.684.9-8.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.041.279.2-3.240%-
vs Weaker (1)54.044.098.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dandenong wins
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/19AFrankston85-74
13/04/19HBallarat73-80
07/04/19HDiamond Valley81-76
06/04/19ASouthern Sabres90-83
29/03/19HBA CoE88-99
02/09/17AMt Gambier85-92
26/08/17ABallarat102-94 OT
18/08/17AHobart Chargers105-98
12/08/17HNW Tasmania92-91
05/08/17HNW Tasmania97-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19AKnox83-72
13/04/19AWaverley81-84
07/04/19HFrankston102-91
31/03/19HBendigo Braves69-73
05/08/17HBendigo97-84
30/07/17HMt Gambier83-110
29/07/17ANunawading63-79
23/07/17HBA CoE83-65
22/07/17AKilsyth67-84
15/07/17AGeelong72-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game83.480.787.5
Allowed / game82.485.078.5
Point differential+1.0-4.3+9.0
Avg total165.8165.7166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.885.582.0
Allowed / game80.082.078.0
Point differential+3.8+3.5+4.0
Avg total163.8167.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury-Wodonga Bandits330100%103.086.0+17.0
2 Kilsyth440100%88.881.0+7.8
3 Ballarat330100%89.382.0+7.3
4 Nunawading54180%93.078.2+14.8
5 Waverley43175%89.286.0+3.2
6 NW Tasmania32167%92.383.3+9.0
7 Geelong53260%81.277.2+4.0
8 Dandenong53260%83.482.4+1.0
9 Melbourne Tigers42250%83.880.0+3.8
10 BA CoE63350%87.785.8+1.8
11 Bendigo Braves52340%81.884.6-2.8
12 Ringwood31233%94.797.0-2.3
13 Hobart Huskies31233%85.091.7-6.7
14 Knox41325%77.879.8-2.0
15 Eltham41325%81.094.5-13.5
16 Frankston51420%82.890.8-8.0
17 Diamond Valley4040%81.895.8-14.0
18 Southern Sabres4040%76.093.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong25272331106
Melbourne Tigers1418161866
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