Geelong vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2019

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 74-69

18-18 17-16 18-12 21-23

Position#4

Record6-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game81.4

Geelong 🏆

Dandenong

Position#8

Record5-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game85.3

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Geelong v Dandenong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

#13

88-72

+16

H06/04

NBL 1

Frankston

72-77

-5

A12/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

103-72

103

+31

H20/04

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

73-72

A25/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

78-95

-17

H27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

92-62

+30

A05/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

104-103

104

103

H11/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

80-96

-16

A12/05

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

66-72

-6

A18/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

87-81

H19/05

NBL 1

30-17

9-22

26-18

23-15

18-25

16-6

19-19

19-27

26-19

26-17

32-15

19-21

21-27

10-18

26-9

16-18

23-28

25-26

17-24

13-17

34-17

21-19

12-12

25-14

24-22

30-24

24-23

26-34

22-31

22-19

17-29

19-17

22-16

15-17

17-16

12-23

16-22

29-17

28-19

14-23

164.5Avg total

84.3Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	83.0	81.4	164.4	+1.6	55%
Season at home (6)	88.3	86.0	174.3	+2.3	67%
Season away (5)	76.6	75.8	152.4	+0.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	80.2	164.5	+4.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	82.8	168.6	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.2	92.4	171.6	-13.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.1	87.2	170.3	-4.1	50%
vs Weaker (15)	90.8	76.8	167.6	+14.0	93%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

88-99

-11

H29/03

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

90-83

A06/04

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

81-76

H07/04

NBL 1

Ballarat

73-80

-7

H13/04

NBL 1

Frankston

85-74

+11

A24/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

106-66

106

+40

H27/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

85-104

104

-19

H04/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

87-96

-9

A10/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

109-76

109

+33

A11/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

82-99

-17

H18/05

NBL 1

20-29

23-25

22-24

23-21

15-14

24-25

23-21

28-23

18-22

24-16

27-21

12-17

13-22

18-34

19-13

23-11

17-20

23-24

20-11

25-19

25-14

27-18

23-16

31-18

13-26

36-27

10-26

26-25

26-24

20-22

19-22

22-28

26-31

24-8

29-14

30-23

16-31

23-22

25-17

18-29

173.9Avg total

88.6Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	88.6	85.3	173.9	+3.3	50%
Season at home (6)	85.8	87.3	173.2	-1.5	33%
Season away (4)	92.8	82.2	175.0	+10.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	85.3	173.9	+3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	88.2	182.0	+5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	84.6	90.0	174.6	-5.4	43%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	90.4	86.1	176.6	+4.3	67%
vs Weaker (14)	88.4	80.2	168.6	+8.2	71%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongDandenong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.7	45.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	23.9	47.1	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	28.8	48.4	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.1	23.7	46.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.4	19.9	44.3	+4.5	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.2	46.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	23.7	42.7	-4.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.1	22.1	43.3	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	21.6	37.2	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	18.4	40.9	+4.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	21.1	44.4	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	19.9	42.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	22.1	46.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	19.4	45.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.7	19.4	43.1	+4.4	64%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

#13

39-39

H06/04

NBL 1

Frankston

34-31

A12/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

52-36

+16

H20/04

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

31-45

-14

A25/04

NBL 1

Kilsyth

48-54

-6

H27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

55-36

+19

A05/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

54-46

H11/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

44-50

-6

A12/05

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

37-33

A18/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

45-39

H19/05

NBL 1

84.8Avg total

43.9Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	42.8	86.9	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	40.9	86.2	+4.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	44.9	87.8	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	40.9	84.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	40.8	87.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.2	50.4	85.6	-15.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.4	45.7	90.1	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.9	38.3	85.3	+8.6	87%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

43-54

-11

H29/03

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

39-39

A06/04

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

42-38

H07/04

NBL 1

Ballarat

31-56

-25

H13/04

NBL 1

Frankston

40-44

-4

A24/04

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

52-32

+20

H27/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

49-53

-4

H04/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

46-46

A10/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

50-39

+11

A11/05

NBL 1

Nunawading

39-53

-14

H18/05

NBL 1

88.5Avg total

43.1Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	43.1	86.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	44.6	87.9	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.3	41.5	84.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	45.4	88.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	44.6	91.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.4	47.7	88.1	-7.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.2	42.1	85.3	+1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.9	41.5	86.4	+3.4	57%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.2	42.1	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.7	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.4	41.1	+0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	20.2	44.5	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.4	21.4	46.8	+4.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	24.6	50.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.4	19.9	43.3	+3.6	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	26.4	22.9	49.3	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.3	18.6	41.9	+4.6	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.1	82.2	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	39.7	83.1	+3.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	40.5	81.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	39.3	79.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.7	41.5	80.2	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.9	38.5	82.3	+5.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	40.8	85.1	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	39.7	83.2	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.0	42.1	87.1	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	39.9	85.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	43.6	90.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.1	42.3	86.4	+1.9	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.3	43.0	88.3	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.6	38.7	82.3	+4.9	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Dandenong wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/17	Geelong v Dandenong	62-75
18/06/16	Geelong v Dandenong	85-94
30/04/16	Dandenong v Geelong	87-85
29/08/15	Geelong v Dandenong	97-80
25/07/15	Geelong v Dandenong	78-80
09/05/15	Dandenong v Geelong	79-101

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/19	H	Diamond Valley	87-81
18/05/19	A	Melbourne Tigers	66-72
12/05/19	A	Bendigo Braves	80-96
11/05/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	104-103
05/05/19	A	Waverley	92-62
27/04/19	H	Kilsyth	78-95
25/04/19	A	BA CoE	73-72
20/04/19	H	Eltham	103-72
12/04/19	A	Frankston	72-77
06/04/19	H	Knox	88-72

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/19	H	Nunawading	82-99
11/05/19	A	NW Tasmania	109-76
10/05/19	A	Hobart Huskies	87-96
04/05/19	H	Eltham	85-104
27/04/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	106-66
24/04/19	A	Frankston	85-74
13/04/19	H	Ballarat	73-80
07/04/19	H	Diamond Valley	81-76
06/04/19	A	Southern Sabres	90-83
29/03/19	H	BA CoE	88-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	55%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LWWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	67%	40%
Points / game	83.0	88.3	76.6
Allowed / game	81.4	86.0	75.8
Point differential	+1.6	+2.3	+0.8
Avg total	164.4	174.3	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dandenong

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	50%	33%	75%
Points / game	88.6	85.8	92.8
Allowed / game	85.3	87.3	82.2
Point differential	+3.3	-1.5	+10.5
Avg total	173.9	173.2	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	17%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	8	7	1	88%	94.0	76.0	+18.0
2	Nunawading	10	7	3	70%	91.4	81.8	+9.6
3	Kilsyth	9	6	3	67%	88.3	85.0	+3.3
4	Waverley	9	6	3	67%	90.8	88.7	+2.1
5	Melbourne Tigers	10	6	4	60%	83.6	83.9	-0.3
6	Bendigo Braves	9	5	4	56%	85.9	82.3	+3.6
7	Frankston	9	5	4	56%	87.6	86.4	+1.1
8	NW Tasmania	9	5	4	56%	93.0	93.4	-0.4
9	Geelong	11	6	5	55%	83.0	81.4	+1.6
10	Dandenong	10	5	5	50%	88.6	85.3	+3.3
11	Hobart Huskies	9	4	5	44%	90.8	92.7	-1.9
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	9	4	5	44%	91.8	96.7	-4.9
13	BA CoE	12	5	7	42%	83.4	85.8	-2.4
14	Knox	8	3	5	38%	79.6	81.6	-2.0
15	Diamond Valley	11	4	7	36%	84.4	89.1	-4.7
16	Ringwood	9	3	6	33%	91.2	94.6	-3.3
17	Eltham	10	3	7	30%	88.1	94.5	-6.4
18	Southern Sabres	10	2	8	20%	86.2	98.5	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	18	17	18	21	74
Dandenong	18	16	12	23	69

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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