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Dandenong W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 49-70
15-18 11-14 15-21 8-17
Position#6
Record5-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#5
Record6-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game79.2
AustraliaNBL W
Women2017-18
Meetings · Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W
30 Nov 2018
DAND80
ADEL86
24 Nov 2018
DAND70
ADEL60
25 Nov 2017
DAND49
ADEL70
10 Nov 2017
DAND63
ADEL69
08 Jan 2017
DAND73
ADEL80
26 Nov 2016
DAND77
ADEL64
22 Jan 2016
DAND63
ADEL77
23 Jan 2015
DAND95
ADEL64
24 Jan 2014
DAND90
ADEL84
16 Feb 2013
DAND69
ADEL71
25 Jan 2013
DAND75
ADEL87
21 Jan 2012
DAND81
ADEL61
04 Feb 2011
DAND81
ADEL74
13 Nov 2010
DAND98
ADEL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dandenong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A22/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A27/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A02/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H10/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H19/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H23/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-15
13-22
11-17
17-13
25-18
26-23
18-15
18-24
24-20
11-16
24-16
20-21
21-18
20-31
17-18
19-18
16-17
19-25
16-8
20-18
13-22
21-20
24-18
19-14
13-7
16-16
9-23
16-20
12-15
14-18
21-16
25-20
15-21
21-25
19-4
19-22
14-12
20-22
9-18
144.6Avg total
72.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.172.8143.9-1.745%
Season at home (6)70.371.0141.3-0.750%
Season away (5)72.075.0147.0-3.040%
Last 10 (10)72.172.5144.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)69.070.8139.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.469.9138.2-1.538%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.273.0140.2-5.833%
vs Weaker (16)72.162.9135.0+9.269%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A08/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H12/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A27/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
42-84
42
84
-42
A05/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A10/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A12/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
H18/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-28
23-11
20-25
19-23
17-23
22-12
29-23
22-16
16-15
24-16
9-24
24-22
20-14
19-19
17-22
27-17
18-20
19-10
15-19
18-20
22-13
20-21
18-24
9-27
13-20
13-23
7-14
20-16
15-12
18-14
16-21
18-24
14-18
20-8
22-27
17-28
16-25
19-18
26-30
153.7Avg total
74.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.179.2155.3-3.155%
Season at home (6)82.782.8165.5-0.267%
Season away (5)68.274.8143.0-6.640%
Last 10 (10)74.679.1153.7-4.550%
Last 5 (5)68.881.6150.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.280.9148.2-13.721%
vs Similar ◀ (2)75.073.0148.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (4)78.875.5154.2+3.275%
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.0-5.0
Dandenong WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dandenong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A27/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H29/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#5
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H10/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/11
NBL W
71.8Avg total
36.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.570.7+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.634.269.8+1.435%-
Last 30 away (13)39.232.671.8+6.569%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.171.8+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.267.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.932.868.6+3.162%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.337.269.5-4.80%-
vs Weaker (16)39.632.672.1+7.062%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A08/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A27/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A05/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A10/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H18/11
NBL W
76.0Avg total
35.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.139.774.8-4.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.240.176.2-3.953%-
Last 30 away (13)33.739.272.8-5.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.176.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.440.673.0-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.040.774.8-6.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.530.568.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)40.238.078.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/17HPerth Lynx W62-74
19/11/17HBendigo W80-70
10/11/17HAdelaide Lightning W63-69
06/11/17AGeelong United W57-60
02/11/17AAdelaide Lightning W83-81 OT
29/10/17HSydney W70-68
27/10/17APerth Lynx W78-88
22/10/17ACanberra Capitals W77-76
21/10/17HTownsville W86-69
14/10/17ASydney W65-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/17HTownsville W78-101
12/11/17AGeelong United W74-77
10/11/17ADandenong W69-63
05/11/17ATownsville W42-84
02/11/17HDandenong W81-83 OT
27/10/17ABendigo W79-66
25/10/17HCanberra Capitals W80-77
21/10/17HBendigo W79-75 OT
12/10/17HPerth Lynx W87-81
08/10/17ACanberra Capitals W77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong W
NBL W 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game71.170.372.0
Allowed / game72.871.075.0
Point differential-1.7-0.7-3.0
Avg total143.9141.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL55%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game76.182.768.2
Allowed / game79.282.874.8
Point differential-3.1-0.2-6.6
Avg total155.3165.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W118373%76.266.2+10.0
2 Perth Lynx W117464%83.277.2+6.0
3 Sydney W117464%76.873.2+3.6
4 Geelong United W138562%73.666.3+7.3
5 Adelaide Lightning W116555%76.179.2-3.1
6 Dandenong W115645%71.172.8-1.7
7 Bendigo W123925%73.885.5-11.7
8 Canberra Capitals W1221017%72.882.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong W151115849
Adelaide Lightning W1814211770
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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