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Dandenong W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 70-60
20-18 20-15 17-9 13-18
Position#6
Record3-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game81.1
Dandenong W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#3
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.3
AustraliaNBL W
Women2018-19
Meetings · Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W
30 Nov 2018
DAND80
ADEL86
24 Nov 2018
DAND70
ADEL60
25 Nov 2017
DAND49
ADEL70
10 Nov 2017
DAND63
ADEL69
08 Jan 2017
DAND73
ADEL80
26 Nov 2016
DAND77
ADEL64
22 Jan 2016
DAND63
ADEL77
23 Jan 2015
DAND95
ADEL64
24 Jan 2014
DAND90
ADEL84
16 Feb 2013
DAND69
ADEL71
25 Jan 2013
DAND75
ADEL87
21 Jan 2012
DAND81
ADEL61
04 Feb 2011
DAND81
ADEL74
13 Nov 2010
DAND98
ADEL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dandenong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H23/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A14/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H19/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A20/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H28/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
H03/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A10/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A18/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
14-24
16-13
14-11
14-18
15-21
16-20
0-21
19-25
16-17
23-13
15-13
14-17
20-25
10-9
22-11
19-20
19-15
12-26
15-26
28-24
14-21
6-21
17-24
22-24
23-34
15-17
15-26
16-27
21-29
16-19
21-24
22-14
22-15
20-13
17-23
17-24
14-25
17-17
17-11
146.0Avg total
66.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.581.1151.6-10.638%
Season at home (3)68.784.3153.0-15.733%
Season away (5)71.679.2150.8-7.640%
Last 10 (10)66.879.2146.0-12.430%
Last 5 (5)72.086.4158.4-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.477.1145.5-8.624%
vs Similar (8)69.474.0143.4-4.638%
vs Weaker (5)69.269.2138.4+0.060%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#4
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H21/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A23/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H29/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A13/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H19/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A21/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H28/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A03/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H10/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H16/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
17-10
19-23
9-8
21-21
31-21
16-24
23-25
22-20
26-20
15-18
24-16
20-21
19-10
19-10
20-25
12-19
25-19
14-14
14-23
18-15
20-19
20-21
17-24
21-17
14-17
29-14
27-15
10-17
20-28
17-12
5-13
27-16
29-21
19-16
24-21
26-18
21-19
12-22
18-20
152.8Avg total
78.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.772.3149.0+4.443%
Season at home (4)83.072.8155.8+10.250%
Season away (3)68.371.7140.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)78.874.0152.8+4.850%
Last 5 (5)78.873.0151.8+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.381.6157.9-5.340%
vs Similar (3)73.365.0138.3+8.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.274.2153.5+5.058%
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Dandenong WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dandenong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H23/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H19/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H28/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H03/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A10/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A18/11
NBL W
79.8Avg total
36.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.375.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.538.374.7-1.820%-
Last 30 away (15)37.038.375.3-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.479.8-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.487.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.538.675.1-2.135%-
vs Similar (8)35.637.473.0-1.825%-
vs Weaker (5)39.238.878.0+0.460%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#4
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A23/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H19/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A21/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H28/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#6
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H10/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/11
NBL W
78.4Avg total
42.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.678.0+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.237.678.8+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.839.677.3-1.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.378.4+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.540.579.0-1.953%-
vs Similar (3)35.729.064.7+6.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.338.880.1+2.667%-
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dandenong W wins
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
10/11/18Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W99-74
25/11/17Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W49-70
10/11/17Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W63-69
02/11/17Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W81-83 OT
21/01/17Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W58-85
08/01/17Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W73-80
09/12/16Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W64-79
26/11/16Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W77-64
22/01/16Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W63-77
08/01/16Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W63-79
Dandenong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18ACanberra Capitals W65-77
16/11/18ABendigo W81-65
10/11/18AAdelaide Lightning W74-99
03/11/18HGeelong United W75-101
28/10/18HPerth Lynx W65-90
20/10/18ABendigo W65-87
19/10/18HSydney W66-62
14/10/18ATownsville W73-68
30/12/17AGeelong United W45-80
23/12/17HCanberra Capitals W59-63
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/18HTownsville W77-79
10/11/18HDandenong W99-74
03/11/18ABendigo W52-70
28/10/18HBendigo W91-63
21/10/18ACanberra Capitals W75-79
19/10/18HTownsville W65-75
13/10/18APerth Lynx W78-66
29/12/17HBendigo W87-74
23/12/17ASydney W97-104 OT
21/12/17HGeelong United W67-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong W
NBL W 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game70.568.771.6
Allowed / game81.184.379.2
Point differential-10.6-15.7-7.6
Avg total151.6153.0150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game76.783.068.3
Allowed / game72.372.871.7
Point differential+4.4+10.2-3.3
Avg total149.0155.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W86275%78.573.8+4.8
2 Canberra Capitals W86275%78.073.4+4.6
3 Bendigo W96367%70.268.3+1.9
4 Geelong United W117464%79.973.4+6.5
5 Adelaide Lightning W73443%76.772.3+4.4
6 Townsville W83538%75.678.1-2.5
7 Dandenong W83538%70.581.1-10.6
8 Sydney W9090%70.080.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong W2020171370
Adelaide Lightning W181591860
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