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Adelaide Lightning W vs Dandenong W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 81-83 (OT)
18-20 22-13 20-21 18-24 3-5
Position#5
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.2
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Dandenong W 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game74.5
AustraliaNBL W
Women2017-18
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W
10 Nov 2018
ADEL99
DAND74
02 Nov 2017
ADEL81
DAND83
21 Jan 2017
ADEL58
DAND85
09 Dec 2016
ADEL64
DAND79
08 Jan 2016
ADEL63
DAND79
06 Dec 2015
ADEL72
DAND70
13 Feb 2015
ADEL89
DAND71
23 Oct 2014
ADEL68
DAND63
15 Feb 2014
ADEL88
DAND82
04 Jan 2014
ADEL84
DAND64
16 Nov 2012
ADEL79
DAND88
04 Mar 2012
ADEL78
DAND91
18 Feb 2012
ADEL51
DAND82
12 Nov 2011
ADEL78
DAND76
08 Oct 2010
ADEL80
DAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H10/02
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A16/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H06/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A08/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H12/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A27/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-20
12-18
11-18
23-18
13-14
17-20
19-33
24-13
19-22
15-16
18-23
17-26
17-21
20-27
29-24
33-19
20-26
25-25
13-10
19-20
15-28
23-11
20-25
19-23
17-23
22-12
29-23
22-16
16-15
24-16
9-24
24-22
20-14
19-19
17-22
27-17
18-20
19-10
15-19
158.4Avg total
79.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.277.2159.3+5.083%
Season at home (4)84.278.2162.5+6.0100%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)79.079.4158.4-0.460%
Last 5 (5)80.476.6157.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)66.779.0145.6-12.319%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)78.875.5154.2+3.275%
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dandenong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A29/07
SEABL Women
Launceston W
#6
W
86-58
86
58
+28
H05/08
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H12/08
SEABL Women
Launceston W
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H20/08
SEABL Women
Geelong United W
#4
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H05/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A22/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A27/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
14-7
11-13
25-16
23-13
32-19
12-20
19-6
16-22
14-15
12-17
17-20
26-16
18-23
23-23
11-21
13-29
18-15
12-17
18-15
21-16
20-15
13-22
11-17
17-13
25-18
26-23
18-15
18-24
24-20
11-16
24-16
20-21
21-18
20-31
17-18
19-18
16-17
19-25
16-8
143.8Avg total
72.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.874.5147.3-1.750%
Season at home (3)72.371.0143.3+1.367%
Season away (3)73.378.0151.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.371.5143.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)75.274.2149.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.670.4142.0+1.157%
vs Similar ◀ (5)63.873.8137.6-10.020%
vs Weaker (18)74.762.4137.1+12.272%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Adelaide Lightning WDandenong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H06/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A08/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A27/10
NBL W
80.1Avg total
40.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.239.073.2-4.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.439.574.9-4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)32.838.571.3-5.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.580.1+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)33.339.272.5-5.938%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)40.238.078.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dandenong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#13
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A29/07
SEABL Women
Launceston W
#6
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H05/08
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H12/08
SEABL Women
Launceston W
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/08
SEABL Women
Geelong United W
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H05/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A27/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H29/10
NBL W
74.4Avg total
38.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.933.572.4+5.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.933.171.0+4.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.934.174.0+5.964%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.674.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.076.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.134.071.1+3.171%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.038.072.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (18)40.932.173.0+8.867%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
5
Dandenong W wins
DateGameScore
21/01/17Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W58-85
08/01/17Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W73-80
09/12/16Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W64-79
26/11/16Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W77-64
22/01/16Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W63-77
08/01/16Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W63-79
06/12/15Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W72-70
13/02/15Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W89-71
23/01/15Dandenong W v Adelaide Lightning W95-64
23/10/14Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W68-63
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/17ABendigo W79-66
25/10/17HCanberra Capitals W80-77
21/10/17HBendigo W79-75 OT
12/10/17HPerth Lynx W87-81
08/10/17ACanberra Capitals W77-84
06/10/17HSydney W91-80
18/02/17ASydney W83-98
16/02/17ACanberra C. Acad. W76-74
10/02/17HGeelong United W72-85
03/02/17HCanberra C. Acad. W66-74
Dandenong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/17HSydney W70-68
27/10/17APerth Lynx W78-88
22/10/17ACanberra Capitals W77-76
21/10/17HTownsville W86-69
14/10/17ASydney W65-70
05/10/17HGeelong United W61-76
20/08/17HLaunceston W78-83
12/08/17HBendigo W59-74
05/08/17HLaunceston W86-58
29/07/17ACanberra C. Acad. W63-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game82.284.278.0
Allowed / game77.278.275.0
Point differential+5.0+6.0+3.0
Avg total159.3162.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
Dandenong W
NBL W 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game72.872.373.3
Allowed / game74.571.078.0
Point differential-1.7+1.3-4.7
Avg total147.3143.3151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W65183%82.277.2+5.0
2 Sydney W75271%74.769.6+5.1
3 Townsville W64267%69.766.0+3.7
4 Geelong United W74357%72.065.1+6.9
5 Dandenong W63350%72.874.5-1.7
6 Perth Lynx W62433%83.887.0-3.2
7 Canberra Capitals W82625%73.580.8-7.2
8 Bendigo W61517%78.286.3-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Adelaide Lightning W18222018381
Dandenong W20132124583
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