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Danilovgrad vs Lovcen Cetinje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-65
20-20 20-24 16-7 16-14
Position#13
Record8-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#5
Record16-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.8
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 24· Sportski Centar Danilovgrad
Other2025-26
Meetings · Danilovgrad v Lovcen Cetinje
21 Mar 2026
DANI72
LOVC65
03 Dec 2024
DANI84
LOVC66
27 Jan 2024
DANI84
LOVC68
11 Oct 2022
DANI93
LOVC103
06 Nov 2021
DANI81
LOVC88
10 May 2021
DANI68
LOVC81
25 Apr 2020
DANI v LOVC
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
DANI78
LOVC81
09 Feb 2019
DANI66
LOVC90
02 Dec 2017
DANI47
LOVC71
26 Nov 2016
DANI76
LOVC88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Danilovgrad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lovcen Cetinje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Danilovgrad
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.4
79.2▲ 1.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.0
79.0▼ 8.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
54%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.4
14.0▼ 0.4
🔥 Form · Lovcen Cetinje
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.3
85.2▲ 7.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.8
76.2▲ 0.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
59%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
17.3▼ 0.8
DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-113
76
113
-37
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
30-8
19-21
30-28
13-25
19-38
17-29
27-21
17-16
24-24
20-19
21-30
24-23
17-26
18-19
13-23
22-21
34-26
19-20
21-15
25-21
25-25
15-9
12-16
18-18
11-12
21-23
29-23
23-16
19-20
15-14
17-18
19-21
23-19
21-26
20-25
21-28
17-13
20-24
25-24
167.4Avg total
82.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.586.7167.2-6.235%
Season at home (11)80.387.2167.5-6.927%
Season away (12)80.886.2167.0-5.542%
Last 10 (10)82.584.9167.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.887.7162.4-12.930%
vs Similar (8)83.885.1168.9-1.438%
vs Weaker (2)71.075.0146.0-4.050%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
15-20
15-14
23-14
18-13
14-20
27-23
22-19
22-20
14-15
23-12
16-11
25-20
26-17
20-16
19-21
25-27
27-7
20-22
22-28
19-19
23-22
21-32
13-14
27-19
24-20
17-17
17-18
22-16
24-19
23-20
18-26
18-14
32-22
15-20
23-17
18-20
23-8
23-19
26-19
157.0Avg total
83.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.975.8155.7+4.170%
Season at home (12)80.975.8156.7+5.267%
Season away (11)78.875.9154.7+2.973%
Last 10 (10)83.573.5157.0+10.090%
Last 5 (5)85.276.2161.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.189.7157.9-21.60%
vs Similar (12)80.671.8152.3+8.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.373.5152.7+5.873%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
DanilovgradLovcen Cetinje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/03
Prva A Liga
84.7Avg total
42.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.982.6-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.981.0-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.344.984.2-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.284.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.743.280.9-5.540%-
vs Similar (8)44.042.186.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/03
Prva A Liga
78.5Avg total
43.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.775.9+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.379.2-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.378.5+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.881.8+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (12)42.236.278.4+5.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.638.276.8+0.555%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.1
52.9%
58.8%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.0
29.7%
31.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.919.9
73.9%
69.7%19.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.118.4
59.0%
58.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.4
33.9%
31.5%31.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.4%
69.7%13.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Danilovgrad
LLWWWWLLLW
Lovcen Cetinje
WWWWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#5
-3.8
Net rating
+10.5
110.3
Offensive rating
115.9
114.0
Defensive rating
105.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.7%
3-point %
33.9%
53.2%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 115.9Defence114.0 · 105.4Shooting49.0% · 55.0%3-point %29.7% · 33.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Danilovgrad   ■ Lovcen Cetinje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Danilovgrad wins
6
Lovcen Cetinje wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26AVukovi Zeta83-89
11/03/26HMornar Bar83-91
07/03/26AIbar Rozaje74-68
14/02/26HJedinstvo79-76
11/02/26AUlcinj77-71
07/02/26HDecic96-82
31/01/26APodgorica72-91
24/01/26HPrimorje82-89
17/01/26ASutjeska76-113
12/01/26AStudentski Centar103-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26HMornar Bar90-66
11/03/26AJedinstvo88-73
07/03/26HDecic87-81
28/02/26HStudentski Centar85-74
15/02/26APrimorje76-87
07/02/26ATivat94-84
31/01/26HVukovi Zeta90-74
24/01/26AIbar Rozaje75-58
17/01/26HUlcinj81-75
10/01/26APodgorica69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeWLWWL27%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%27%42%
Points / game80.580.380.8
Allowed / game86.787.286.2
Point differential-6.2-6.9-5.5
Avg total167.2167.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%67%73%
Points / game79.980.978.8
Allowed / game75.875.875.9
Point differential+4.1+5.2+2.9
Avg total155.7156.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2319483%99.081.4+17.7
2 Primorje2317674%91.282.5+8.7
3 Lovcen Cetinje2316770%79.975.8+4.1
4 Mornar Bar2316770%85.781.8+3.9
5 Podgorica23131057%80.777.6+3.1
6 Jedinstvo23131057%86.785.7+1.0
7 Kotor23111248%78.981.0-2.1
8 Studentski Centar23101343%80.783.0-2.4
9 Ibar Rozaje2391439%76.681.8-5.3
10 Vukovi Zeta2381535%83.086.5-3.5
11 Decic2381535%86.290.7-4.4
12 Tivat2381535%89.895.0-5.2
13 Danilovgrad2381535%80.586.7-6.2
14 Ulcinj2351822%77.787.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Danilovgrad2020161672
Lovcen Cetinje202471465
← all games of the day
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