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Darussafaka vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 102-77
24-20 26-19 28-17 24-21
Position#7
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Darussafaka v Afyon Belediye
12 Feb 2022
DAR79
ABE73
17 Oct 2020
DAR102
ABE77
17 Nov 2019
DAR68
ABE72
25 Mar 2019
DAR85
ABE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Turk Telekom
#9
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
91-95
91
95
-4
79avg 73
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 73
A07/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
81avg 73
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
14-25
20-10
23-22
13-20
24-18
19-12
29-21
11-13
19-17
18-17
23-27
20-21
21-12
17-25
12-12
21-28
27-19
13-27
26-17
19-19
17-19
18-16
25-34
25-17
19-23
19-16
20-25
19-26
23-21
25-23
24-25
14-21
20-9
16-20
19-29
28-22
22-26
13-22
22-18
162.6Avg total
80.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.787.3169.0-5.70%
Season at home (1)91.095.0186.0-4.00%
Season away (2)77.083.5160.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.881.8162.6-1.030%
Last 5 (5)81.486.2167.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.382.3159.7-5.00%
vs Similar (6)77.279.5156.7-2.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.574.8159.3+9.765%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
no box
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 72
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
72avg 72
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
17-15
20-19
23-25
14-22
17-15
17-20
27-18
27-13
16-27
18-20
16-23
33-27
22-27
18-20
17-18
17-20
15-12
19-12
11-20
13-22
23-23
18-19
17-15
17-25
23-19
16-19
25-20
15-21
22-15
16-9
25-25
29-19
23-21
11-18
18-20
18-26
17-24
17-23
23-16
161.4Avg total
79.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.079.0157.0-1.067%
Season at home (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
Season away (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.382.1161.4-2.830%
Last 5 (5)77.279.8157.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.582.5156.0-8.915%
vs Similar (12)79.382.2161.5-2.825%
vs Weaker (5)87.078.4165.4+8.680%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
DarussafakaAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Turk Telekom
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A07/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.0Avg total
40.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.180.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.237.477.6+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)42.841.484.2+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Similar (6)36.237.773.8-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.339.383.6+5.075%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.7Avg total
40.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.281.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.541.177.6-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.484.9-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.682.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.142.278.3-6.223%-
vs Similar (12)41.943.285.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.3
50.2%
53.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.8
29.1%
36.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.913.6
80.5%
74.6%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.0
49.2%
53.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.0
39.7%
36.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.010.3
73.8%
74.6%10.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLLWLLLLWW
Afyon Belediye
LWWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#9
-16.7
Net rating
-0.5
99.5
Offensive rating
108.3
116.1
Defensive rating
108.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
39.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.1%
3-point %
39.7%
66.8%
Assist %
63.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 108.3Defence116.1 · 108.8Shooting47.8% · 52.9%3-point %29.1% · 39.7%Ball care19.2% · 21.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 39.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Darussafaka wins
1
Afyon Belediye wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/20ABuyukcekmece85-88
07/10/20ATurk Telekom69-79
03/10/20HBahcesehir Kol.91-95
14/03/20AAfyon Belediye83-81
08/03/20HGalatasaray79-88
29/02/20ABahcesehir Kol.87-91
26/02/20HTurk Telekom77-80 OT
16/02/20HFenerbahce71-74
14/02/20HGalatasaray85-71
11/02/20HAnadolu Efes81-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20HTofas75-89
04/10/20APetkim Spor81-78
27/09/20HGaziantep78-70
14/03/20HDarussafaka81-83
08/03/20ATofas71-79
01/03/20HFenerbahce62-64
27/02/20ABesiktas90-92
09/02/20AGalatasaray77-83
02/02/20HBahcesehir Kol.95-91 OT
26/01/20ATurk Telekom83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.791.077.0
Allowed / game87.395.083.5
Point differential-5.7-4.0-6.5
Avg total169.0186.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game78.076.581.0
Allowed / game79.079.578.0
Point differential-1.0-3.0+3.0
Avg total157.0156.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce330100%100.373.3+27.0
2 Anadolu Efes330100%92.770.0+22.7
3 Karsiyaka32167%81.364.7+16.7
4 Bursaspor32167%85.379.3+6.0
5 Turk Telekom32167%84.780.0+4.7
6 Tofas32167%85.381.3+4.0
7 Gaziantep32167%73.070.3+2.7
8 Bahcesehir Kol.32167%89.087.0+2.0
9 Afyon Belediye32167%78.079.0-1.0
10 Buyukcekmece32167%86.387.3-1.0
11 Galatasaray32167%81.083.7-2.7
12 Darussafaka3030%81.787.3-5.7
13 Petkim Spor3030%80.388.0-7.7
14 Besiktas3030%78.789.7-11.0
15 OGM Ormanspor3030%76.7103.3-26.7
16 Fethiye Bld.3030%68.098.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka24262824102
Afyon Belediye2019172177
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