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Afyon Belediye vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 75-89
18-26 17-24 17-23 23-16
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game84.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 3
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Tofas
06 May 2022
ABE57
TOF115
11 Oct 2020
ABE75
TOF89
10 Nov 2019
ABE73
TOF84
20 Oct 2018
ABE96
TOF85
17 May 2016
ABE78
TOF93
05 Mar 2016
ABE55
TOF90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#11
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
no box
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 73
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
20-28
16-23
29-19
23-33
17-15
20-19
23-25
14-22
17-15
17-20
27-18
27-13
16-27
18-20
16-23
33-27
22-27
18-20
17-18
17-20
15-12
19-12
11-20
13-22
23-23
18-19
17-15
17-25
23-19
16-19
25-20
15-21
22-15
16-9
25-25
29-19
23-21
11-18
18-20
163.7Avg total
81.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.574.0153.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)78.070.0148.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.082.7163.7-1.730%
Last 5 (5)74.674.8149.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.383.0156.3-9.715%
vs Similar (12)79.382.2161.5-2.825%
vs Weaker (5)87.078.4165.4+8.680%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
iLab Basketbol
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#11
W
108-88
108
88
+20
no box
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
no box
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
no box
A11/02
Turkish Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 80
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 80
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
26-19
17-23
30-17
30-27
27-15
22-23
29-23
13-7
17-22
15-15
22-24
24-25
23-30
17-18
17-25
17-18
20-13
23-17
17-28
20-20
15-18
19-15
21-27
22-13
23-23
19-18
15-17
20-19
17-25
17-22
21-18
14-22
14-26
25-18
20-18
25-16
25-28
27-18
17-23
163.4Avg total
82.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.584.5168.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)94.085.0179.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)82.081.4163.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.280.8160.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.389.7163.0-16.333%
vs Similar (6)74.877.5152.3-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.677.7167.2+11.975%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Afyon BelediyeTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.2Avg total
41.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.180.6-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.040.976.9-4.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.484.9-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.984.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.541.977.4-6.523%-
vs Similar (12)41.943.285.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
iLab Basketbol
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#11
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A11/02
Turkish Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.7Avg total
41.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.881.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.085.5+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.677.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.781.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.081.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.749.087.7-10.333%-
vs Similar (6)35.039.774.7-4.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.637.781.3+5.965%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.521.5
47.3%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.0
39.0%
36.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
74.6%11.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.3
54.0%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.29.4
42.3%
36.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
74.6%13.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
WWLLLLLWLL
Tofas
WLLWLWLLWW
#9
League position
#4
+7.9
Net rating
-3.0
112.4
Offensive rating
113.2
104.5
Defensive rating
116.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
42.7%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.0%
3-point %
42.3%
62.7%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 113.2Defence104.5 · 116.2Shooting50.8% · 57.3%3-point %39.0% · 42.3%Ball care17.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds42.7% · 22.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
8
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
08/03/20Tofas v Afyon Belediye79-71
10/11/19Afyon Belediye v Tofas73-84
10/02/19Tofas v Afyon Belediye95-74
20/10/18Afyon Belediye v Tofas96-85
17/05/16Afyon Belediye v Tofas78-93
14/05/16Tofas v Afyon Belediye109-67
12/05/16Tofas v Afyon Belediye105-68
05/03/16Afyon Belediye v Tofas55-90
15/11/15Tofas v Afyon Belediye89-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/20APetkim Spor81-78
27/09/20HGaziantep78-70
14/03/20HDarussafaka81-83
08/03/20ATofas71-79
01/03/20HFenerbahce62-64
27/02/20ABesiktas90-92
09/02/20AGalatasaray77-83
02/02/20HBahcesehir Kol.95-91 OT
26/01/20ATurk Telekom83-92
12/01/20HGaziantep92-95
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/20HBuyukcekmece94-85
27/09/20ABahcesehir Kol.73-84
15/03/20AFenerbahce75-84
08/03/20HAfyon Belediye79-71
29/02/20AGalatasaray75-80
26/02/20HBahcesehir Kol.77-76
11/02/20AGalatasaray81-98
08/02/20ATurk Telekom67-68
01/02/20HGaziantep108-88
25/01/20AiLab Basketbol91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.578.081.0
Allowed / game74.070.078.0
Point differential+5.5+8.0+3.0
Avg total153.5148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.594.073.0
Allowed / game84.585.084.0
Point differential-1.0+9.0-11.0
Avg total168.0179.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce330100%100.373.3+27.0
2 Anadolu Efes330100%92.770.0+22.7
3 Bursaspor220100%89.074.0+15.0
4 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%89.582.0+7.5
5 Afyon Belediye220100%79.574.0+5.5
6 Karsiyaka32167%81.364.7+16.7
7 Buyukcekmece32167%86.387.3-1.0
8 Galatasaray32167%81.083.7-2.7
9 Turk Telekom21150%78.576.0+2.5
10 Tofas21150%83.584.5-1.0
11 Gaziantep21150%64.566.5-2.0
12 Darussafaka3030%81.787.3-5.7
13 Petkim Spor3030%80.388.0-7.7
14 Besiktas3030%78.789.7-11.0
15 OGM Ormanspor3030%76.7103.3-26.7
16 Fethiye Bld.3030%68.098.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1817172375
Tofas2624231689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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