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Darussafaka vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-81
28-15 17-27 20-19 20-20
Position#15
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#9
Record7-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game88.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Volkswagen Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Darussafaka v Bursaspor
13 Jan 2025
DAR85
BUR81
21 Jan 2024
DAR94
BUR85
19 Mar 2023
DAR98
BUR92
30 Nov 2021
DAR79
BUR75
31 Oct 2020
DAR78
BUR75
05 Oct 2019
DAR63
BUR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
71avg 73
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
68-105
68
105
-37
55avg 73
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
64avg 73
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 73
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
88-68
88
68
+20
82avg 73
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 73
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
71avg 73
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
82-100
82
100
-18
74avg 73
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-85
82
85
-3
77avg 73
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
70-75
70
75
-5
58avg 73
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
21-27
23-28
14-21
22-26
17-22
11-24
18-33
15-21
21-25
22-20
20-21
19-16
12-22
18-24
24-22
20-20
21-15
21-22
26-11
18-20
22-27
25-26
21-28
16-29
23-24
18-22
19-16
21-29
34-26
16-20
11-25
18-26
20-18
20-12
24-29
11-24
23-11
16-15
20-25
168.3Avg total
79.0Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.190.9171.0-10.815%
Season at home (6)84.285.7169.8-1.533%
Season away (7)76.695.4172.0-18.90%
Last 10 (10)79.089.3168.3-10.310%
Last 5 (5)79.290.4169.6-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.690.6169.2-12.019%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.184.0168.1+0.138%
vs Weaker (1)108.078.0186.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#31
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 78
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
92-80
92
80
+12
85avg 78
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Levice
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 78
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
82avg 78
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
63avg 78
H30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
86avg 78
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
82-105
82
105
-23
75avg 78
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 78
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 78
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
78avg 78
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
13-21
20-10
19-17
21-21
18-22
26-23
27-14
28-25
21-18
23-33
25-25
18-13
18-23
28-17
24-21
24-17
15-21
11-15
20-23
30-24
26-26
26-20
13-16
24-23
17-26
21-21
20-35
16-22
21-23
27-26
23-13
23-22
28-14
27-25
26-32
17-25
20-29
20-22
28-21
174.3Avg total
88.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.088.2173.2-3.254%
Season at home (7)86.491.4177.9-5.043%
Season away (6)83.384.3167.7-1.067%
Last 10 (10)88.186.2174.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)90.693.0183.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.595.2181.8-8.838%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.385.6170.9-0.353%
vs Weaker (5)91.081.0172.0+10.080%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
DarussafakaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
40.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.884.9-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.742.685.3+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.644.984.5-5.212%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.985.2-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.888.0-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)40.945.186.0-4.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.441.581.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (1)50.034.084.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#31
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Levice
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.0Avg total
42.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.682.6-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.343.982.2-5.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.841.383.1+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.386.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.891.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.247.888.0-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.840.779.5-1.941%-
vs Weaker (5)44.040.684.6+3.480%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.9
51.4%
54.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.710.0
73.0%
76.0%10.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.6
55.0%
54.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
76.0%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLLLLWLLLL
Bursaspor
LWWLWLWLWW
#15
League position
#9
-9.3
Net rating
+4.6
105.4
Offensive rating
114.5
114.7
Defensive rating
109.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.4%
3-point %
34.4%
63.5%
Assist %
55.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 114.5Defence114.7 · 109.9Shooting51.4% · 53.8%3-point %34.4% · 34.4%Ball care16.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Darussafaka wins
4
Bursaspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25AYalovaspor70-75
28/12/24HBuyukcekmece82-85
21/12/24AGalatasaray82-100
15/12/24HBesiktas76-91
06/12/24AKarsiyaka86-101
02/12/24HMerkezefendi88-68
17/11/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-84
09/11/24HTofas78-87
02/11/24ATurk Telekom68-105
27/10/24HFenerbahce87-97
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HMersin SK85-97
30/12/24HYalovaspor104-93
22/12/24ABuyukcekmece87-84
13/12/24HGalatasaray82-105
08/12/24ABesiktas95-86
30/11/24HKarsiyaka70-76
17/11/24AMerkezefendi88-74
13/11/24HLevice97-101
10/11/24HBahcesehir Kol.92-80
06/11/24AAnorthosis81-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game80.184.276.6
Allowed / game90.985.795.4
Point differential-10.8-1.5-18.9
Avg total171.0169.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%43%67%
Points / game85.086.483.3
Allowed / game88.291.484.3
Point differential-3.2-5.0-1.0
Avg total173.2177.9167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1413193%90.479.3+11.1
2 Anadolu Efes1411379%88.878.1+10.6
3 Tofas1411379%87.983.0+4.9
4 Galatasaray1410471%88.982.4+6.6
5 Besiktas149564%86.982.0+4.9
6 Karsiyaka148657%90.285.9+4.4
7 Bahcesehir Kol.148657%80.678.4+2.1
8 Mersin SK148657%79.682.9-3.2
9 Bursaspor137654%85.088.2-3.2
10 Turk Telekom146843%81.581.0+0.5
11 Petkim Spor146843%81.381.1+0.2
12 Buyukcekmece1441029%82.484.1-1.6
13 Manisa1431121%84.991.1-6.2
14 Yalovaspor1431121%75.985.8-9.9
15 Darussafaka1321115%80.190.9-10.8
16 Merkezefendi1421214%75.887.1-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2817202085
Bursaspor1527192081
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