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Darussafaka vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 94-85
17-18 27-22 27-27 23-18
Position#13
Record7-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#8
Record7-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game83.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 17· Ayhan
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Darussafaka v Bursaspor
13 Jan 2025
DAR85
BUR81
21 Jan 2024
DAR94
BUR85
19 Mar 2023
DAR98
BUR92
30 Nov 2021
DAR79
BUR75
31 Oct 2020
DAR78
BUR75
05 Oct 2019
DAR63
BUR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 70
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
68avg 70
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 70
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
56-98
56
98
-42
42avg 70
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 70
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
63-82
63
82
-19
49avg 70
A02/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 70
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 70
H10/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 70
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
73-99
73
99
-26
68avg 70
A16/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
15-24
20-23
18-21
21-22
22-28
16-29
19-33
22-17
19-24
21-23
25-17
14-29
15-22
12-25
15-22
22-26
17-17
16-19
23-23
17-20
16-20
12-25
18-17
25-29
20-19
16-18
25-18
21-26
25-8
22-18
15-20
17-19
15-24
15-19
25-26
21-29
17-19
18-29
17-22
165.3Avg total
76.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.084.1162.1-6.144%
Season at home (8)76.480.5156.9-4.162%
Season away (8)79.687.6167.2-8.025%
Last 10 (10)76.389.0165.3-12.730%
Last 5 (5)75.485.0160.4-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.284.6161.8-7.344%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.785.8168.5-3.127%
vs Weaker (1)98.090.0188.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 72
H29/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 72
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Breogan
#29
W
77-65
77
65
+12
72avg 72
H06/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
75avg 72
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#6
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 72
A20/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
90avg 72
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
77avg 72
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 72
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
69-103
69
103
-34
57avg 72
H14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
21-21
17-22
12-29
24-23
17-24
17-29
27-15
19-15
22-15
18-11
18-24
20-20
20-30
13-24
32-13
30-21
27-16
22-32
16-29
10-19
18-17
27-24
20-14
19-17
26-24
20-14
29-29
19-25
29-19
23-29
19-24
27-21
14-20
12-22
20-20
17-33
11-23
23-21
18-26
169.2Avg total
81.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.383.7165.0-2.444%
Season at home (9)81.881.2163.0+0.667%
Season away (7)80.786.9167.6-6.114%
Last 10 (10)81.787.5169.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)80.288.2168.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.582.5159.0-6.136%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.387.5170.7-4.233%
vs Weaker (4)80.572.0152.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
DarussafakaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A16/01
Champions League
83.8Avg total
39.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.883.7-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.341.481.7-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.444.085.4-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.383.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.542.982.4-3.428%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.943.285.1-1.336%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/11
Champions League
Tofas
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Breogan
#29
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#6
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
28-56
28
56
-28
H14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.8Avg total
41.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.841.281.0-1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.241.679.8-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.483.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.681.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.441.780.1-3.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.943.383.3-3.433%-
vs Weaker (4)37.533.270.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.4
48.3%
53.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
36.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
74.7%12.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.8
52.7%
53.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.4
35.9%
36.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
74.7%14.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LLWWLLLWLL
Bursaspor
LLLWWLLWLL
#13
League position
#8
-17.0
Net rating
-7.5
103.6
Offensive rating
108.8
120.5
Defensive rating
116.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
35.9%
58.2%
Assist %
55.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 108.8Defence120.5 · 116.3Shooting48.0% · 53.1%3-point %31.8% · 35.9%Ball care15.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 26.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Darussafaka wins
4
Bursaspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24ALudwigsburg73-99
13/01/24ABesiktas72-88
10/01/24HLudwigsburg83-72
07/01/24HTurk Telekom86-84
02/01/24ALudwigsburg63-82
30/12/23AAnadolu Efes78-85
25/12/23HFenerbahce56-98
19/12/23HVEF Riga87-81
15/12/23APetkim Spor78-112
10/12/23HManisa87-89
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HTurk Telekom69-103
07/01/24HAnadolu Efes73-83
30/12/23AFenerbahce90-97
23/12/23HPetkim Spor94-84
20/12/23AHapoel Holon75-74
17/12/23AManisa95-98
10/12/23HMerkezefendi85-87
06/12/23HBreogan77-65
03/12/23ATofas85-91
29/11/23HHapoel Holon74-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game78.076.479.6
Allowed / game84.180.587.6
Point differential-6.1-4.1-8.0
Avg total162.1156.9167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)83% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%67%14%
Points / game81.381.880.7
Allowed / game83.781.286.9
Point differential-2.4+0.6-6.1
Avg total165.0163.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes1614288%85.878.2+7.6
2 Fenerbahce1613381%89.273.4+15.8
3 Besiktas1713476%79.173.6+5.5
4 Karsiyaka1611569%89.482.8+6.6
5 Petkim Spor179853%83.780.1+3.6
6 Manisa179853%82.383.3-1.0
7 Galatasaray178947%80.680.4+0.3
8 Turk Telekom167944%80.080.1-0.1
9 Bursaspor167944%81.383.7-2.4
10 Darussafaka167944%78.084.1-6.1
11 Bahcesehir Kol.1771041%87.587.6-0.2
12 Tofas1771041%84.286.4-2.2
13 Buyukcekmece1661038%78.282.0-3.8
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor1651131%77.183.4-6.3
15 Merkezefendi1651131%79.787.4-7.7
16 Samsunspor1631319%74.984.8-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1727272394
Bursaspor1822271885
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