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Darussafaka vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 98-92
24-17 20-28 26-23 28-24
Position#7
Record9-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.3
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Darussafaka v Bursaspor
13 Jan 2025
DAR85
BUR81
21 Jan 2024
DAR94
BUR85
19 Mar 2023
DAR98
BUR92
30 Nov 2021
DAR79
BUR75
31 Oct 2020
DAR78
BUR75
05 Oct 2019
DAR63
BUR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A25/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#4
L
59-80
59
80
-21
44avg 69
H01/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 69
A15/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
W
105-104 OT
105
104
+1
no box
H07/03
Champions League
Galatasaray
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
W
95-85
95
85
+10
92avg 69
H14/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
20-30
24-26
14-19
14-18
22-16
16-26
23-25
16-19
14-18
18-29
33-15
15-24
10-19
11-16
23-21
24-13
19-20
19-24
18-26
25-23
24-25
18-21
20-27
18-22
23-15
17-23
16-14
17-18
17-28
18-23
34-17
19-4
13-23
16-20
17-24
22-24
22-28
25-15
26-18
171.0Avg total
82.7Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.283.3163.5-3.145%
Season at home (10)78.080.2158.2-2.260%
Season away (10)82.486.4168.8-4.030%
Last 10 (10)82.788.3171.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)88.088.2176.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.986.1160.0-12.211%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.680.9162.5+0.862%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
80avg 79
H25/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 79
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 79
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 79
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
73-89
73
89
-16
57avg 79
H15/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
16-23
22-22
21-11
22-23
26-27
21-25
23-19
9-22
19-25
16-22
19-15
26-18
24-26
16-22
20-26
26-12
18-21
21-21
30-19
24-23
27-21
21-18
20-20
17-22
12-17
14-23
20-20
18-24
19-25
21-19
25-19
17-23
21-15
32-23
22-24
29-24
18-21
17-18
9-26
167.4Avg total
82.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.779.3162.0+3.465%
Season at home (11)89.483.2172.5+6.273%
Season away (9)74.674.6149.1+0.056%
Last 10 (10)82.485.0167.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.685.0165.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.088.8166.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.784.2166.9-1.547%
vs Weaker (9)92.083.6175.6+8.478%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
DarussafakaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H01/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A15/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/03
Champions League
Galatasaray
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/03
Champions League
78.4Avg total
37.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.279.9-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.542.279.8-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.980.1+0.271%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.978.4-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.344.680.9-8.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.839.779.5+0.057%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H25/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ulm
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A01/02
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/03
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/03
Eurocup
85.2Avg total
41.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.585.3+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)40.841.982.7-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.885.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.745.582.2-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.741.985.7+1.860%-
vs Weaker (9)45.241.486.7+3.856%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.7
29.9%
35.8%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.413.0
79.3%
76.0%13.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.6
56.0%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
76.0%15.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLWWLLLLLL
Bursaspor
LWLLWWLLLW
#7
League position
#5
-3.5
Net rating
-5.6
107.6
Offensive rating
110.3
111.2
Defensive rating
115.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.7%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.9%
3-point %
35.4%
59.8%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 110.3Defence111.2 · 115.9Shooting50.7% · 54.7%3-point %29.9% · 35.4%Ball care20.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds34.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Darussafaka wins
3
Bursaspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23HBilbao95-85
12/03/23AGalatasaray65-71
07/03/23HMurcia105-104 OT
04/03/23APetkim Spor88-85 OT
15/02/23AMurcia87-96
05/02/23HAnadolu Efes80-83
01/02/23HTenerife59-80
29/01/23AMerkezefendi94-97 OT
25/01/23ABilbao75-85
21/01/23HTurk Telekom79-97
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/23HVenezia73-89
11/03/23HPetkim Spor92-85
08/03/23ACluj-Napoca83-87
05/03/23AAnadolu Efes63-82
02/03/23HJL Bourg92-82
05/02/23HMerkezefendi95-73
01/02/23AUlm86-92
28/01/23ATurk Telekom63-84
25/01/23HPrometey92-94
22/01/23HGaziantep85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game80.278.082.4
Allowed / game83.380.286.4
Point differential-3.1-2.2-4.0
Avg total163.5158.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%73%56%
Points / game82.789.474.6
Allowed / game79.383.274.6
Point differential+3.4+6.2+0.0
Avg total162.0172.5149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom2118386%86.977.0+9.9
2 Fenerbahce2118386%86.477.8+8.6
3 Karsiyaka2116576%88.384.5+3.8
4 Anadolu Efes2115671%87.079.0+8.0
5 Bursaspor2013765%82.779.3+3.4
6 Merkezefendi21101148%81.083.7-2.7
7 Darussafaka2091145%80.283.3-3.1
8 Galatasaray2191243%79.079.6-0.5
9 Buyukcekmece2191243%78.681.6-3.0
10 Bahcesehir Kol.2181338%74.477.6-3.2
11 Petkim Spor2181338%77.482.0-4.6
12 Manisa2181338%75.883.0-7.2
13 Gaziantep2171433%75.076.0-1.0
14 Tofas2171433%80.281.4-1.1
15 Besiktas2161529%79.382.6-3.3
16 Konyaspor2161529%78.582.4-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2420262898
Bursaspor1728232492
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