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Darussafaka vs Lokomotiv Kuban Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 67-59
21-17 18-16 16-12 12-14
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#1
Record20-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game69.2
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Darussafaka v Lokomotiv Kuban
13 Apr 2018
DAR67
LKU59
08 Apr 2016
DAR87
LKU86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A09/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H20/03
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A23/03
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#8
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
A10/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
11-13
19-9
11-19
19-12
20-14
20-20
19-25
18-17
20-15
12-17
24-18
18-18
18-27
18-17
15-14
11-25
19-22
28-16
18-11
17-22
24-22
25-20
21-19
20-11
24-18
15-14
17-18
25-14
21-26
16-29
20-20
14-24
23-19
24-19
18-15
15-14
16-21
18-17
23-20
148.9Avg total
75.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.671.5151.0+8.186%
Season at home (10)80.370.4150.7+9.990%
Season away (11)78.972.5151.4+6.582%
Last 10 (10)75.973.0148.9+2.980%
Last 5 (5)81.077.6158.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.381.3156.7-6.033%
vs Similar (6)70.770.5141.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (20)80.671.0151.6+9.685%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A03/03
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H06/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A09/03
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
A17/03
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H20/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A23/03
Eurocup
Astana
#10
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H01/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A07/04
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#2
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H10/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-18
11-21
23-21
17-22
19-26
17-20
12-25
24-27
15-20
20-15
20-12
15-15
22-20
19-9
24-15
16-15
23-19
12-21
21-17
19-15
24-13
20-23
19-14
17-15
22-11
19-16
21-27
19-12
19-18
24-18
17-30
17-22
24-19
25-18
12-20
14-15
21-16
17-18
20-23
154.3Avg total
77.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.469.2151.7+13.295%
Season at home (11)83.368.3151.5+15.091%
Season away (10)81.570.3151.8+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)77.976.4154.3+1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.274.4153.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.578.5161.0+4.050%
vs Similar (1)65.093.0158.0-28.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.568.7151.2+13.785%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
DarussafakaLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H06/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A09/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H20/03
Eurocup
Bayern
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/03
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/04
Eurocup
73.6Avg total
36.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.074.9+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.537.374.8+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)38.336.775.0+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.773.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.739.371.0-7.70%-
vs Similar (6)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (20)39.436.475.8+3.065%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/03
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/03
Eurocup
Minsk
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/03
VTB United League
Reggiana
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A23/03
Eurocup
Astana
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H01/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/04
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/04
Eurocup
74.4Avg total
38.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.133.674.7+7.587%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.933.677.6+10.394%-
Last 30 away (13)37.533.571.0+3.977%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.674.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.231.270.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.036.577.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar (1)36.048.084.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.332.974.2+8.589%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.1
49.6%
55.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
77.0%13.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.0
53.1%
55.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.013.0
50.0%
34.8%39.0
🏀 Free throws13.010.0
76.9%
77.0%10.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WWLWWWLWWW
Lokomotiv Kuban
LLWWWLWWLL
#2
League position
#1
-0.7
Net rating
+32.9
108.6
Offensive rating
118.8
109.3
Defensive rating
85.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
62.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
34.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
21.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.7%
3-point %
50.0%
45.3%
Assist %
73.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 118.8Defence109.3 · 85.9Shooting50.6% · 62.9%3-point %34.7% · 50.0%Ball care14.0% · 21.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 36.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Lokomotiv Kuban
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Darussafaka wins
1
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/18ALokomotiv Kuban81-78 OT
06/04/18HIstanbul BB79-77
01/04/18AEskisehir82-89
25/03/18HSakarya BB76-61
23/03/18ABayern87-83
20/03/18HBayern76-74
18/03/18AFenerbahce69-76
11/03/18HBesiktas74-67
09/03/18ABuducnost78-71
06/03/18HBuducnost57-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/18HDarussafaka78-81 OT
07/04/18AZenit Petersburg78-79
01/04/18HAstana79-78
23/03/18AReggiana79-69
20/03/18HReggiana82-65
17/03/18AMinsk84-88 OT
09/03/18AGran Canaria80-59
06/03/18HGran Canaria79-74
03/03/18AUnics Kazan65-93
14/02/18HCSKA Moscow75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game79.680.378.9
Allowed / game71.570.472.5
Point differential+8.1+9.9+6.5
Avg total151.0150.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)75% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL95%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %95%91%100%
Points / game82.483.381.5
Allowed / game69.268.370.3
Point differential+13.2+15.0+11.2
Avg total151.7151.5151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban2120195%82.469.2+13.2
2 Darussafaka2118386%79.671.5+8.1
3 Bayern2116576%86.277.5+8.7
4 Unics Kazan1912763%79.176.8+2.3
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1610662%85.981.5+4.4
6 Zenit Petersburg1911858%87.586.8+0.7
7 Reggiana21111052%75.475.5-0.1
8 Gran Canaria189950%86.984.6+2.4
9 Alba Berlin168850%83.081.4+1.6
10 Buducnost189950%76.475.2+1.2
11 Trento168850%81.681.4+0.2
12 Rytas167944%86.683.6+3.0
13 Torino167944%79.586.6-7.1
14 Tofas104640%82.686.1-3.5
15 Lietkabelis104640%77.482.2-4.8
16 Galatasaray1661038%78.181.7-3.6
17 Limoges1661038%75.281.1-5.9
18 Cedevita1651131%77.179.5-2.4
19 MoraBanc Andorra103730%78.481.0-2.6
20 Bilbao102820%82.189.9-7.8
21 Levallois102820%75.583.9-8.4
22 Ulm102820%83.091.5-8.5
23 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%76.786.5-9.8
24 Partizan101910%81.195.1-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2118161267
Lokomotiv Kuban1716121459
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