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Darwin Salties vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 76-103
23-27 26-29 12-22 15-25
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game85.3
AustraliaNBL1 NorthNBL1 North - Semi-finals
Other2024
Meetings · Darwin Salties v Brisbane Capitals
27 Jul 2024
DARW76
BRIS103
06 May 2023
DARW117
BRIS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darwin Salties winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Darwin SaltiesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
W
113-95
113
95
+18
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
112-105
112
105
+7
A01/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A08/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
106-92
106
92
+14
A15/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A16/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
121-88
121
88
+33
H22/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H29/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H06/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
113-77
113
77
+36
H13/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
30-22
27-17
26-33
33-29
31-22
26-24
22-30
29-17
23-22
27-30
26-23
19-24
17-22
25-17
26-17
22-28
26-25
30-10
28-29
25-25
17-23
16-17
23-21
31-18
27-10
28-23
35-37
23-35
30-23
24-26
24-22
25-18
22-23
32-15
21-28
28-20
26-15
32-17
27-25
194.4Avg total
103.9Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)104.592.5197.0+11.976%
Season at home (9)106.795.3202.0+11.367%
Season away (8)102.089.4191.4+12.688%
Last 10 (10)103.990.5194.4+13.480%
Last 5 (5)103.288.2191.4+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)89.697.8187.4-8.220%
vs Similar (5)101.497.6199.0+3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)102.391.9194.2+10.475%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H25/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
110-97 OT
110
97
+13
H31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H08/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H29/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H20/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
18-23
34-16
26-31
26-15
26-26
25-26
16-26
21-15
29-18
27-29
26-28
25-25
23-17
17-16
21-23
19-16
20-20
17-23
19-16
22-10
26-24
32-18
26-27
19-26
13-19
25-17
21-21
29-23
20-33
25-19
31-23
25-22
24-19
24-14
18-17
27-21
27-19
24-17
20-24
182.0Avg total
96.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.885.3176.1+5.667%
Season at home (9)98.186.2184.3+11.989%
Season away (9)83.684.3167.9-0.844%
Last 10 (10)96.185.9182.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)95.682.6178.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)87.098.0185.0-11.020%
vs Similar (12)92.287.3179.5+4.858%
vs Weaker (13)96.885.5182.3+11.477%
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
Darwin SaltiesBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Darwin SaltiesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A01/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A08/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A15/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A16/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H22/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H29/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H13/07
NBL1 North
95.8Avg total
51.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.847.699.4+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.947.8103.8+8.177%-
Last 30 away (17)48.747.496.1+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)51.444.495.8+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.842.092.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.849.696.4-2.820%-
vs Similar (5)51.046.497.4+4.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)53.347.4100.7+5.970%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H08/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/07
NBL1 North
87.5Avg total
46.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.543.189.6+3.462%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.241.490.6+7.875%-
Last 30 away (13)43.245.288.4-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)46.241.387.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (12)46.242.588.7+3.767%-
vs Weaker (13)47.741.689.3+6.169%-
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darwin Salties wins
2
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/24HSouth West Metro Pirates113-77
06/07/24HTownsville Heat100-84
29/06/24HMackay Meteors101-106
22/06/24HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks121-88
16/06/24ABrisbane Capitals81-86
15/06/24ASouthern District106-92
08/06/24ANorthside Wizards87-80
07/06/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix105-92
01/06/24ARockhampton Rockets112-105
31/05/24AMackay Meteors113-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24HRockhampton Rockets98-81
12/07/24HNorthside Wizards91-72
06/07/24HGold Coast Rollers105-98
05/07/24ASouthern District78-83
29/06/24HTownsville Heat106-79
22/06/24HLogan Thunder83-86 OT
16/06/24HDarwin Salties86-81
08/06/24HSouthern District103-90
31/05/24HCairns Marlins110-97 OT
25/05/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix101-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darwin Salties
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%67%88%
Points / game104.5106.7102.0
Allowed / game92.595.389.4
Point differential+11.9+11.3+12.6
Avg total197.0202.0191.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%56%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game90.898.183.6
Allowed / game85.386.284.3
Point differential+5.6+11.9-0.8
Avg total176.1184.3167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors1715288%104.088.6+15.4
2 Darwin Salties1713476%104.592.5+11.9
3 Logan Thunder1813572%89.185.2+3.9
4 Brisbane Capitals1812667%90.885.3+5.6
5 Southern District1810856%90.986.2+4.7
6 Rockhampton Rockets189950%98.996.8+2.1
7 Gold Coast Rollers178947%93.893.9-0.1
8 Cairns Marlins178947%87.593.7-6.2
9 Sunshine Coast Phoenix1771041%85.690.0-4.4
10 Ipswich Force1761135%89.894.0-4.2
11 Townsville Heat1751229%89.994.8-4.8
12 South West Metro Pirates1751229%89.995.9-6.1
13 Northside Wizards1751229%86.593.9-7.5
14 North Gold Coast Seahawks1751229%83.594.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darwin Salties2326121576
Brisbane Capitals27292225103
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