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Davidson vs Mercyhurst Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-47
36-15 44-32
Position#109
Record7-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#206
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A13/03
NCAA
DeSales
#495
W
97-63
97
63
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A21/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
60-94
60
94
-34
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H28/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H05/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
44-47
49-30
48-33
40-24
45-45
29-19
33-36
45-38
46-49
33-31
26-18
30-48
30-46
47-38
43-36
36-29
43-34
24-27
37-43
146.6Avg total
75.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.069.3145.3+6.778%
Season at home (7)80.474.3154.7+6.171%
Season away (2)60.552.0112.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.970.7146.6+5.270%
Last 5 (5)69.870.0139.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.177.0141.1-12.912%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.173.7144.8-2.622%
vs Weaker (12)75.264.8140.0+10.592%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#626
W
93-43
93
43
+50
H08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A13/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A24/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A30/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Bethany
#562
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
22-34
34-27
39-38
44-17
49-26
25-32
30-26
42-24
44-48
29-37
42-39
23-27
37-42
22-39
16-31
34-34
37-45
45-22
35-29
132.7Avg total
67.4Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.465.3132.7+2.140%
Season at home (3)86.355.3141.7+31.0100%
Season away (7)59.369.6128.9-10.314%
Last 10 (10)67.465.3132.7+2.140%
Last 5 (5)64.069.0133.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.173.1135.3-11.014%
vs Similar ◀ (12)62.267.2129.5-5.050%
vs Weaker (9)75.370.6145.9+4.856%
This opponent (Davidson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -0.7-0.7
DavidsonMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
NCAA
DeSales
#495
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H05/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H07/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.366.3+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.431.866.3+2.650%-
Last 30 away (12)33.233.066.2+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)36.432.068.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.668.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.937.466.2-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.433.667.0-0.122%-
vs Weaker (12)36.528.264.7+8.383%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#626
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A24/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Bethany
#562
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H07/12
NCAA
61.8Avg total
32.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.630.662.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.827.363.1+8.483%-
Last 30 away (18)28.932.861.7-3.928%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.561.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.631.862.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.433.061.4-4.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)28.631.059.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (9)36.730.066.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
No previous meetings.
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)61-70
05/12/25HCitadel79-63
28/11/25HN. Carolina A&T90-74
24/11/25HUtah State60-94
21/11/25ABoston College59-49
15/11/25HBowling Green91-87
12/11/25ACharlotte62-55
08/11/25HWashington State85-69
04/11/25HDeSales97-63
13/03/25ASt. Louis Billikens75-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HBethany80-51
06/12/25ALafayette71-79
30/11/25AWest Virginia38-70
24/11/25AMarshall60-69
21/11/25AMiami (Ohio)71-76
15/11/25HMorgan State86-72
13/11/25ACanisius55-58
08/11/25HPenn State-New Kensington93-43
07/11/25ALoyola Chicago73-65
04/11/25ANorthwestern47-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %78%71%100%
Points / game76.080.460.5
Allowed / game69.374.352.0
Point differential+6.7+6.1+8.5
Avg total145.3154.7112.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%100%14%
Points / game67.486.359.3
Allowed / game65.355.369.6
Point differential+2.1+31.0-10.3
Avg total132.7141.7128.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason1110191%79.564.9+14.5
2 St. Bonaventure1110191%76.767.0+9.7
3 St. Louis Billikens98189%91.669.6+22.0
4 Richmond Spiders98189%84.869.7+15.1
5 Davidson97278%76.069.3+6.7
6 George Washington118373%88.475.2+13.2
7 Dayton107370%79.372.0+7.3
8 Fordham117464%75.863.4+12.5
9 Rhode Island117464%75.568.5+7.0
10 VCU Rams106460%83.771.9+11.8
11 Duquesne106460%84.580.6+3.9
12 Saint Josephs Hawks106460%75.974.1+1.8
13 La Salle104640%68.067.4+0.6
14 Loyola Chicago103730%67.675.1-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State95456%79.770.7+9.0
2 LIU Sharks95456%76.781.6-4.9
3 Le Moyne105550%78.276.7+1.5
4 New Haven Chargers115645%68.566.2+2.3
5 Mercyhurst Lakers104640%67.465.3+2.1
6 Stonehill114736%71.771.8-0.1
7 Wagner93633%77.179.6-2.4
8 Fairleigh Dickinson102820%71.478.3-6.9
9 St. Francis (PA)102820%69.381.3-12.0
10 Chicago State101910%66.485.8-19.4
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Davidson364480
Mercyhurst Lakers153247
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