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Dayton vs Longwood Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-69
34-37 44-32
Position#30
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game65.3
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Longwood
USA
Position#129
Record12-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game61.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Longwood winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H02/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H09/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A17/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
41-36
30-32
40-35
38-40
50-41
28-36
27-33
37-35
40-34
35-37
30-26
40-16
36-30
–
–
35-29
47-39
46-28
45-39
142.3Avg total
75.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.165.3139.4+8.882%
Season at home (6)79.563.3142.8+16.2100%
Season away (5)67.667.6135.2+0.060%
Last 10 (10)75.267.1142.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)79.262.8142.0+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.666.0137.6+5.669%
vs Weaker (16)72.261.8134.0+10.575%
This opponent (Longwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LongwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#248
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H26/11
NCAA
Newport Apprentice
#577
W
95-46
95
46
+49
H01/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A03/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A09/12
NCAA
Gallaudet Univ.
#498
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H11/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A14/12
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H17/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
25-28
45-30
38-42
27-28
42-20
52-23
43-23
37-38
51-16
34-30
28-31
46-36
46-25
39-33
41-34
29-26
39-23
35-30
35-49
141.0Avg total
79.1Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.161.6140.7+17.686%
Season at home (8)82.458.4140.8+24.0100%
Season away (6)74.865.8140.7+9.067%
Last 10 (10)79.161.9141.0+17.290%
Last 5 (5)74.463.4137.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.866.8134.6+1.050%
vs Weaker (19)74.661.6136.2+13.179%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +9.7+9.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +9.7+9.7
DaytonLongwood
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H21/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.330.063.3+3.362%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.728.764.5+7.080%-
Last 30 away (14)30.731.362.0-0.643%-
Last 10 (9)34.932.066.9+2.944%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.067.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.831.966.7+2.867%-
vs Weaker (16)32.628.160.7+4.462%-
This opponent (Longwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LongwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#248
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Newport Apprentice
#577
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H01/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A09/12
NCAA
Gallaudet Univ.
#498
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/12
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H17/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
37.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.629.264.8+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.528.865.4+7.776%-
Last 30 away (13)34.429.864.2+4.677%-
Last 10 (10)37.930.668.5+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.067.6+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.728.662.3+5.180%-
vs Weaker (19)36.129.265.3+6.874%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Longwood wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HOakland91-67
17/12/23ACincinnati82-68
09/12/23HTroy82-70
02/12/23HGrambling St.76-46
30/11/23ASMU Mustangs65-63
25/11/23HYoungstown State77-69
20/11/23AHouston55-69
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
16/11/23ALSU70-67
11/11/23ANorthwestern66-71
Longwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AN. Carolina Central70-79
17/12/23HVMI68-49
14/12/23AWisc. Milwaukee80-67
11/12/23HGallaudet Univ.92-61
09/12/23ADelaware State62-61
03/12/23AMorgan State88-54
01/12/23HNewport Apprentice95-46
26/11/23HBethune-Cookman69-48
25/11/23HLamar83-72
24/11/23HDelaware State84-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game74.179.567.6
Allowed / game65.363.367.6
Point differential+8.8+16.2+0.0
Avg total139.4142.8135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Longwood
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game79.182.474.8
Allowed / game61.658.465.8
Point differential+17.6+24.0+9.0
Avg total140.7140.8140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington1210283%81.872.8+9.1
2 George Mason1210283%73.865.4+8.3
3 Dayton119282%74.165.3+8.8
4 Saint Josephs Hawks1310377%77.964.7+13.2
5 Davidson1310377%72.865.5+7.3
6 La Salle129375%78.871.8+7.0
7 St. Bonaventure118373%75.564.5+10.9
8 Duquesne118373%76.270.0+6.2
9 Richmond Spiders127558%76.368.1+8.2
10 VCU Rams127558%72.765.8+6.9
11 Loyola Chicago127558%74.369.3+5.0
12 St. Louis Billikens137654%74.075.5-1.5
13 Fordham136746%72.970.9+2.0
14 Rhode Island136746%72.872.2+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Longwood1412286%79.161.6+17.6
2 High Point1410471%85.071.7+13.3
3 Radford1510567%73.568.6+4.9
4 Winthrop159660%78.967.9+11.1
5 Presbyterian148657%78.471.6+6.8
6 UNC Asheville158753%81.774.9+6.8
7 Gardner Webb145936%73.371.9+1.4
8 USC Upstate124833%70.270.1+0.2
9 Charleston Southern134931%70.876.0-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton344478
Longwood373269
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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