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Dayton vs Loyola Chicago Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#307
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#117
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dayton v Loyola Chicago
06 Jan 2027
DAYT v LOYO
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
DAYT78
LOYO51
18 Jan 2025
DAYT83
LOYO81
31 Jan 2023
DAYT85
LOYO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Loyola Chicago win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#346
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#176
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
72-95
72
95
-23
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
33-36
37-33
25-40
37-30
47-23
42-35
29-40
38-27
45-46
44-53
34-52
38-43
145.0Avg total
72.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season at home (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.172.9145.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.583.1155.6-10.620%
vs Similar (15)74.167.3141.5+6.880%
vs Weaker (5)77.061.0138.0+16.080%
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Loyola ChicagoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H28/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A05/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
59-64 OT
59
64
-5
A12/03
NCAA
Citadel
#90
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H03/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#373
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Air Force
#122
L
93-107
93
107
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#134
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-35
41-40
36-29
33-37
32-40
33-39
31-27
37-35
32-38
43-29
24-19
32-37
36-27
41-25
42-29
34-24
35-50
58-57
44-24
29-34
139.9Avg total
71.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.867.5147.2+12.275%
Season at home (2)76.552.5129.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)83.082.5165.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)71.668.3139.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)75.666.8142.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.374.8142.1-7.533%
vs Similar (4)72.578.8151.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)74.555.5130.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
DaytonLoyola Chicago
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#346
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#176
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H15/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.670.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.732.770.4+5.072%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.470.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.541.274.7-7.710%-
vs Similar (15)36.931.468.3+5.587%-
vs Weaker (5)36.831.067.8+5.860%-
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Loyola ChicagoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H28/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A05/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A11/03
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Citadel
#90
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#373
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Air Force
#122
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#134
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A14/11
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.169.4-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.434.668.0-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)33.237.470.7-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.865.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.866.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.937.069.8-4.138%-
vs Similar (4)31.036.067.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.026.569.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dayton wins
2
Loyola Chicago wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Dayton v Loyola Chicago78-51
03/01/26Loyola Chicago v Dayton68-70
22/02/25Loyola Chicago v Dayton76-72
18/01/25Dayton v Loyola Chicago83-81 OT
02/03/24Loyola Chicago v Dayton77-72
18/02/23Loyola Chicago v Dayton49-65
01/02/23Dayton v Loyola Chicago85-81 OT
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCincinnati72-95
11/11/26HSiena89-99
08/11/26HNorthern Illinois76-81 OT
03/11/26HNJIT89-58
15/03/26AVCU Rams62-70
14/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens70-69
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AColorado State73-58
11/11/26AAir Force93-107
06/11/26HWest Georgia76-53
03/11/26HCitadel77-52
12/03/26ADavidson59-64 OT
11/03/26ARichmond Spiders75-67
07/03/26HGeorge Washington68-62
05/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens65-79
28/02/26HRichmond Spiders69-66
21/02/26ASaint Josephs Hawks61-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game83.283.2-
Point differential-1.8-1.8-
Avg total164.8164.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Loyola Chicago
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.876.583.0
Allowed / game67.552.582.5
Point differential+12.2+24.0+0.5
Avg total147.2129.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington440100%80.051.8+28.2
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason440100%72.058.5+13.5
5 Duquesne440100%72.264.5+7.8
6 Saint Josephs Hawks440100%78.871.8+7.0
7 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
8 St. Bonaventure43175%82.062.5+19.5
9 Loyola Chicago43175%79.867.5+12.2
10 Davidson43175%71.061.5+9.5
11 Fordham43175%76.572.0+4.5
12 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
13 Dayton41325%81.583.2-1.8
14 La Salle41325%68.284.5-16.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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