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Cincinnati vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-62
33-26 41-36
Position#161
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#65
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game59.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cincinnati v Dayton
11 Nov 2025
CINC74
DAYT62
16 Dec 2023
CINC68
DAYT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#131
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A20/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
32-33
31-24
44-39
39-26
30-41
25-37
39-36
25-22
24-32
36-44
31-34
38-26
49-42
24-33
32-43
49-28
45-35
39-30
35-34
136.2Avg total
69.4Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.063.5147.5+20.5100%
Season at home (2)84.063.5147.5+20.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.466.8136.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)75.669.8145.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.375.6141.9-9.314%
vs Similar ◀ (12)60.664.5125.1-3.933%
vs Weaker (11)79.165.1144.2+14.091%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
74-64 OT
74
64
+10
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
68-73 OT
68
73
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-34
0-0
41-42
0-0
33-30
0-0
52-47
0-0
24-26
0-0
24-22
0-0
28-41
0-0
47-26
0-0
28-27
0-0
51-49
0-0
24-33
0-0
36-27
0-0
44-38
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-42
0-0
38-45
0-0
51-27
0-0
37-21
0-0
41-37
0-0
36-34
149.4Avg total
77.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.559.5142.0+23.0100%
Season at home (2)82.559.5142.0+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.671.8149.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)78.271.6149.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.079.2155.2-3.240%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.870.6142.4+1.162%
vs Weaker (8)80.066.2146.2+13.888%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +5.0+5.0
CincinnatiDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#131
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A20/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
33.3Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.864.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.230.966.1+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)30.132.862.9-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)33.329.963.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.269.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.637.167.7-6.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)29.130.759.8-1.642%-
vs Weaker (11)38.429.668.0+8.791%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
33.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.966.9+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.431.965.2+1.550%-
Last 30 away (10)35.334.970.2+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.567.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.474.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.434.869.2-0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.733.064.7-1.344%-
vs Weaker (8)37.230.868.0+6.550%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cincinnati wins
1
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Dayton v Cincinnati59-66
17/12/23Cincinnati v Dayton68-82
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HGeorgia State74-64
04/11/25HWestern Carolina94-63
12/03/25AIowa State56-76
11/03/25AOklahoma State87-68
08/03/25AOklahoma State67-78
06/03/25HKansas State49-54
01/03/25AHouston64-73
26/02/25HBaylor69-67
22/02/25HTCU75-63
20/02/25AWest Virginia59-62
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HUMBC Retrievers77-71
04/11/25HCanisius88-48
22/03/25AChattanooga Mocs72-87
19/03/25HFlorida Atlantic86-79
14/03/25HSaint Josephs Hawks68-73 OT
08/03/25AVCU Rams79-76
05/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens75-67
01/03/25HRichmond Spiders74-64 OT
27/02/25ARhode Island85-77
22/02/25ALoyola Chicago72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game63.563.5-
Point differential+20.5+20.5-
Avg total147.5147.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.582.5-
Allowed / game59.559.5-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas Tech220100%98.068.5+29.5
2 Kansas State220100%95.567.5+28.0
3 Brigham Young220100%84.559.5+25.0
4 Oklahoma State220100%91.067.0+24.0
5 Cincinnati220100%84.063.5+20.5
6 Houston220100%70.052.5+17.5
7 Arizona220100%93.077.0+16.0
8 Arizona State220100%81.065.0+16.0
9 West Virginia330100%70.755.3+15.3
10 Baylor220100%87.075.0+12.0
11 Utah Utes330100%87.777.7+10.0
12 Colorado220100%93.087.5+5.5
13 Iowa State32167%90.069.3+20.7
14 TCU32167%85.368.7+16.7
15 Kansas21150%84.069.0+15.0
16 UCF Knights21150%87.591.5-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%103.073.0+30.0
2 Davidson220100%91.066.0+25.0
3 Dayton220100%82.559.5+23.0
4 Richmond Spiders220100%85.564.0+21.5
5 La Salle220100%80.059.5+20.5
6 Duquesne220100%87.571.5+16.0
7 George Mason220100%83.068.0+15.0
8 St. Bonaventure220100%79.066.5+12.5
9 George Washington220100%83.071.0+12.0
10 Saint Josephs Hawks220100%80.570.5+10.0
11 Fordham21150%83.554.5+29.0
12 VCU Rams21150%90.077.0+13.0
13 Rhode Island21150%79.072.0+7.0
14 Loyola Chicago31233%72.775.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati334174
Dayton263662
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