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Dayton vs St. Louis Billikens Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#307
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#12
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dayton v St. Louis Billikens
29 Jan 2027
DAYT v ST.
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
DAYT77
ST. 62
04 Mar 2025
DAYT75
ST. 67
16 Jan 2024
DAYT70
ST. 65
10 Feb 2023
DAYT70
ST. 56
11 Jan 2022
DAYT68
ST. 63
19 Feb 2021
DAYT76
ST. 53
08 Feb 2020
DAYT71
ST. 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Louis Billikens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#346
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#176
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
72-95
72
95
-23
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
33-36
37-33
25-40
37-30
47-23
42-35
29-40
38-27
45-46
44-53
34-52
38-43
145.0Avg total
72.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season at home (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.172.9145.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.583.1155.6-10.620%
vs Similar (15)74.167.3141.5+6.880%
vs Weaker (5)77.061.0138.0+16.080%
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Louis BillikensUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H05/03
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
102-77
102
77
+25
A20/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A21/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#241
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Missouri
#144
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#275
W
125-63
125
63
+62
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-41
52-35
40-32
39-33
34-43
23-43
34-48
54-33
36-33
33-37
49-32
53-45
39-48
33-47
48-31
44-36
49-38
41-46
56-24
69-39
162.9Avg total
86.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.371.3173.7+31.0100%
Season at home (2)108.565.0173.5+43.5100%
Season away (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.576.4162.9+10.170%
Last 5 (5)96.277.2173.4+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.089.5170.5-8.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.770.6158.3+17.085%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +4.7+4.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +4.7+4.7
DaytonSt. Louis Billikens
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#346
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#176
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H15/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.670.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.732.770.4+5.072%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.470.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.541.274.7-7.710%-
vs Similar (15)36.931.468.3+5.587%-
vs Weaker (5)36.831.067.8+5.860%-
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Louis BillikensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H05/03
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H13/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A20/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A21/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#241
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Missouri
#144
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A07/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#275
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H11/11
NCAA
79.4Avg total
42.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.233.775.8+8.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.232.175.2+11.178%-
Last 30 away (12)40.736.176.8+4.658%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.079.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.234.682.8+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)44.043.087.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.133.774.9+7.470%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dayton wins
3
St. Louis Billikens wins
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCincinnati72-95
11/11/26HSiena89-99
08/11/26HNorthern Illinois76-81 OT
03/11/26HNJIT89-58
15/03/26AVCU Rams62-70
14/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens70-69
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNorthern Kentucky125-63
07/11/26AMissouri90-84
03/11/26HLehigh92-67
21/03/26AMichigan72-95
20/03/26AGeorgia102-77
14/03/26HDayton69-70
13/03/26HGeorge Washington88-81
07/03/26AGeorge Mason57-86
05/03/26HLoyola Chicago79-65
01/03/26HDuquesne91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game83.283.2-
Point differential-1.8-1.8-
Avg total164.8164.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
St. Louis Billikens
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.3108.590.0
Allowed / game71.365.084.0
Point differential+31.0+43.5+6.0
Avg total173.7173.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington440100%80.051.8+28.2
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason440100%72.058.5+13.5
5 Duquesne440100%72.264.5+7.8
6 Saint Josephs Hawks440100%78.871.8+7.0
7 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
8 St. Bonaventure43175%82.062.5+19.5
9 Loyola Chicago43175%79.867.5+12.2
10 Davidson43175%71.061.5+9.5
11 Fordham43175%76.572.0+4.5
12 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
13 Dayton41325%81.583.2-1.8
14 La Salle41325%68.284.5-16.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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