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Dayton vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-60
38-29 26-31
Position#30
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game65.1
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
UMass
USA
Position#87
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dayton v UMass
07 Jan 2024
DAYT64
UMAS60
11 Mar 2022
DAYT75
UMAS72
23 Feb 2022
DAYT82
UMAS61
11 Jan 2020
DAYT88
UMAS60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H02/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H09/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A17/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-40
50-41
28-36
27-33
37-35
40-34
35-37
30-26
40-16
36-30
–
–
35-29
47-39
46-28
45-39
34-37
44-32
36-21
36-38
142.7Avg total
76.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.265.1139.3+9.285%
Season at home (7)79.364.1143.4+15.1100%
Season away (6)68.366.2134.5+2.267%
Last 10 (10)76.666.1142.7+10.590%
Last 5 (5)81.066.6147.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.366.8138.2+4.569%
vs Weaker (16)72.061.9133.9+10.175%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H22/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A07/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H09/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
100-78
100
78
+22
A23/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H24/12
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-27
50-33
30-23
36-33
27-36
44-45
45-31
46-46
44-29
43-50
31-37
39-36
48-40
52-38
41-28
46-37
40-31
39-35
40-32
40-29
151.6Avg total
82.0Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.871.2155.0+12.577%
Season at home (11)83.569.7153.2+13.782%
Season away (2)85.579.5165.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)82.069.6151.6+12.480%
Last 5 (5)83.268.6151.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.479.8148.2-11.420%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.771.1144.7+2.650%
vs Weaker (7)84.372.9157.1+11.471%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +5.3+5.3
DaytonUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A04/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.330.363.6+3.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.529.264.7+6.373%-
Last 30 away (14)30.931.562.4-0.643%-
Last 10 (9)36.631.067.6+5.656%-
Last 5 (5)38.226.264.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.833.568.3+1.358%-
vs Weaker (16)32.427.660.0+4.962%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A07/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H09/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H16/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A23/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H24/12
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
38.5Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.268.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.631.568.1+5.274%-
Last 30 away (11)32.236.268.4-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.531.469.9+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.673.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.637.671.2-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.132.765.8+0.356%-
vs Weaker (7)41.031.372.3+9.786%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dayton wins
0
UMass wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23UMass v Dayton54-72
11/03/22Dayton v UMass75-72
24/02/22Dayton v UMass82-61
15/02/20UMass v Dayton63-71
11/01/20Dayton v UMass88-60
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ADavidson72-59
30/12/23HLongwood78-69
21/12/23HOakland91-67
17/12/23ACincinnati82-68
09/12/23HTroy82-70
02/12/23HGrambling St.76-46
30/11/23ASMU Mustangs65-63
25/11/23HYoungstown State77-69
20/11/23AHouston55-69
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HDuquesne80-61
30/12/23HSiena79-66
24/12/23HOld Dominion87-65
23/12/23APortland100-78
22/12/23HGeorgia Tech70-73
16/12/23HWest Virginia87-79
09/12/23HUMass Lowell91-77
07/12/23ATowson71-81
02/12/23HSouth Florida66-56
22/11/23HCentral Connecticut State89-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game74.279.368.3
Allowed / game65.164.166.2
Point differential+9.2+15.1+2.2
Avg total139.3143.4134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %77%82%50%
Points / game83.883.585.5
Allowed / game71.269.779.5
Point differential+12.5+13.7+6.0
Avg total155.0153.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason1513287%75.765.5+10.1
2 Dayton1311285%74.265.1+9.2
3 George Washington1512380%83.275.8+7.4
4 Saint Josephs Hawks1410471%77.665.6+12.0
5 St. Bonaventure1410471%73.965.3+8.6
6 Davidson1410471%71.966.0+5.9
7 Loyola Chicago1510567%74.567.1+7.3
8 La Salle1510567%77.072.4+4.6
9 Richmond Spiders149564%74.364.9+9.4
10 Duquesne149564%75.869.2+6.6
11 VCU Rams158753%74.669.0+5.6
12 Rhode Island147750%73.172.4+0.8
13 Fordham157847%76.274.4+1.8
14 St. Louis Billikens157847%73.576.0-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass1310377%83.871.2+12.5
2 Akron1410471%77.065.4+11.6
3 Bowling Green1410471%74.868.1+6.6
4 Kent State148657%79.372.5+6.8
5 Ball State148657%73.968.9+4.9
6 Toledo148657%78.678.5+0.1
7 Eastern Michigan148657%69.174.1-5.0
8 Ohio147750%79.171.1+7.9
9 Miami (Ohio)136746%74.872.2+2.6
10 Northern Illinois146843%76.978.0-1.1
11 Central Michigan146843%65.775.3-9.6
12 Western Michigan145936%73.075.0-2.0
13 Buffalo1421214%68.679.0-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton382664
UMass293160
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