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Valparaiso vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-65
40-36 41-29
Position#306
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#345
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game61.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Valparaiso v Western Michigan
29 Nov 2025
VALP84
WEST55
13 Nov 2022
VALP81
WEST65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#269
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A12/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
33-37
36-41
30-43
36-30
33-41
39-23
33-33
36-30
38-39
29-31
36-40
13-34
42-45
43-32
38-27
28-35
30-32
26-52
44-33
140.4Avg total
68.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.085.0155.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.085.0155.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)68.571.9140.4-3.430%
Last 5 (5)65.872.2138.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.674.2138.8-9.68%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.874.3145.1-3.550%
vs Weaker (7)79.962.0141.9+17.9100%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H13/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
61-57 OT
61
57
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A19/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
50-92
50
92
-42
H23/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Goshen
#558
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-24
27-38
47-24
30-39
26-29
24-21
38-33
35-54
36-41
14-51
32-36
46-31
24-26
47-34
34-34
29-30
26-35
34-26
43-25
56-37
136.4Avg total
68.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.561.5141.0+18.050%
Season at home (1)99.062.0161.0+37.0100%
Season away (1)60.061.0121.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)68.967.5136.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)74.262.8137.0+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)65.377.1142.5-11.818%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.669.6137.2-2.040%
vs Weaker (2)79.561.5141.0+18.050%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
ValparaisoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#269
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.033.365.2-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.931.165.0+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)29.735.865.5-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.166.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)27.836.864.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.034.562.5-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.735.866.5-5.120%-
vs Weaker (7)39.029.368.3+9.786%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#237
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Goshen
#558
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H11/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
33.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.435.467.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.433.768.1+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)30.736.967.6-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)33.630.764.3+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.263.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.336.969.2-4.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.831.863.6+0.040%-
vs Weaker (2)34.530.064.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valparaiso wins
0
Western Michigan wins
DateGameScore
05/12/21Western Michigan v Valparaiso60-71
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22AToledo70-85
05/03/22AMissouri State58-67
04/03/22HEvansville81-59
27/02/22ABradley55-79
24/02/22HDrake65-71
22/02/22HEvansville74-69
19/02/22AEvansville72-56
17/02/22HLoyola Chicago69-71
12/02/22AMissouri State66-84
10/02/22AIllinois State75-78 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HGoshen99-62
08/11/22AMinnesota60-61
04/03/22HBall State63-64
02/03/22AEastern Michigan71-60
26/02/22ABowling Green78-67
23/02/22HToledo50-92
19/02/22ABuffalo73-87
15/02/22HAkron61-57 OT
13/02/22HCentral Michigan77-63
09/02/22AMiami (Ohio)57-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.599.060.0
Allowed / game61.562.061.0
Point differential+18.0+37.0-1.0
Avg total141.0161.0121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake110100%80.048.0+32.0
2 Indiana State220100%81.562.0+19.5
3 Southern Illinois32167%69.364.7+4.7
4 Illinois State32167%63.762.3+1.3
5 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)21150%72.559.0+13.5
7 Murray State21150%79.072.0+7.0
8 Bradley21150%77.571.5+6.0
9 Belmont21150%72.079.0-7.0
10 Evansville21150%71.578.5-7.0
11 Valparaiso1010%70.085.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State220100%77.556.0+21.5
2 Toledo220100%89.077.5+11.5
3 Akron220100%77.067.0+10.0
4 Bowling Green220100%74.570.0+4.5
5 Ball State21150%90.061.0+29.0
6 Western Michigan21150%79.561.5+18.0
7 UMass21150%74.567.0+7.5
8 Ohio21150%75.070.0+5.0
9 Eastern Michigan21150%79.077.0+2.0
10 Central Michigan21150%74.578.5-4.0
11 Buffalo21150%75.092.0-17.0
12 Northern Illinois2020%61.573.0-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso404181
Western Michigan362965
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