PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Defensor vs Union Atletica Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Postponed
Position#7
Record8-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#6
Record8-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Defensor v Union Atletica
23 Jan 2026
DEFE v UNIO
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
DEFE77
UNIO87
17 Nov 2016
DEFE97
UNIO72
02 Nov 2013
DEFE85
UNIO74
09 Nov 2012
DEFE65
UNIO83
21 Nov 2011
DEFE88
UNIO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Union Atletica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 77
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
91avg 77
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 77
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 77
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
80avg 77
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 77
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 77
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
92-99
92
99
-7
87avg 77
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 77
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-19
22-22
16-15
29-20
18-23
33-17
17-24
27-22
20-21
18-20
7-22
28-23
28-27
22-11
25-21
21-27
29-21
26-27
14-16
23-22
28-20
23-12
24-22
23-25
19-18
22-17
16-18
24-23
27-27
15-24
26-25
22-27
20-25
20-12
15-23
25-27
13-22
28-18
10-18
170.1Avg total
86.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.585.7172.2+0.850%
Season at home (8)93.586.0179.5+7.575%
Season away (8)79.585.4164.9-5.925%
Last 10 (10)86.084.1170.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.685.0169.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.182.8159.9-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.983.7166.6-0.845%
vs Weaker (5)96.486.8183.2+9.680%
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletica
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 75
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 75
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
67avg 75
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
60avg 75
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 75
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 75
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 75
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-75
91
75
+16
91avg 75
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
97avg 75
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-17
26-17
20-25
19-28
14-24
14-27
30-22
18-17
16-34
19-14
19-23
12-16
20-22
14-15
26-25
34-31
26-16
30-19
18-27
14-23
24-12
26-25
25-19
25-20
16-27
25-21
14-20
29-23
26-13
23-17
13-22
27-22
25-20
12-20
23-15
29-20
17-18
19-15
31-23
168.9Avg total
85.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.682.9166.5+0.647%
Season at home (9)85.984.3170.2+1.656%
Season away (8)81.081.4162.4-0.438%
Last 10 (10)85.083.9168.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)88.679.0167.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.387.3162.7-12.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.283.1166.3+0.144%
vs Weaker (8)89.680.1169.8+9.588%
This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
DefensorUnion Atletica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
91.8Avg total
46.1Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.187.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.345.091.3+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)40.643.584.1-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.791.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.292.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.441.982.3-1.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.845.588.3-2.636%-
vs Weaker (5)51.247.698.8+3.6100%-
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
85.1Avg total
42.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.479.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.280.5+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.439.677.9-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.885.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.686.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.544.782.2-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.537.476.9+2.144%-
vs Weaker (8)41.939.481.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.4
55.3%
53.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.1
69.9%
70.9%12.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.3
54.8%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.6
77.2%
70.9%14.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LLLWWLWLWW
Union Atletica
WWWLWWLLLL
#7
League position
#6
+1.7
Net rating
+0.8
110.0
Offensive rating
107.2
108.4
Defensive rating
106.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.7%
3-point %
31.5%
59.1%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 107.2Defence108.4 · 106.4Shooting55.2% · 51.7%3-point %36.7% · 31.5%Ball care15.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Defensor   ■ Union Atletica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Defensor wins
6
Union Atletica wins
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AMalvin76-85
16/01/26HUnion Atletica77-87
12/01/26AGoes92-99
07/01/26AUrunday80-78
19/12/25HBigua98-76
15/12/25AHebraica y Macabi90-91
11/12/25HWelcome103-82
21/11/25APenarol72-85
11/11/25HCordon97-84
07/11/25AUnion Atletica75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HGoes96-76
16/01/26ADefensor87-77
09/01/26HWelcome91-75
18/12/25APenarol80-88
13/12/25HCordon89-79
10/12/25HHebraica y Macabi108-93
06/12/25HMalvin72-78
20/11/25ANacional72-88
15/11/25HUrunday77-101
11/11/25ABigua78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game86.593.579.5
Allowed / game85.786.085.4
Point differential+0.8+7.5-5.9
Avg total172.2179.5164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game83.685.981.0
Allowed / game82.984.381.4
Point differential+0.6+1.6-0.4
Avg total166.5170.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1715288%86.870.8+16.0
2 Nacional1511473%93.383.7+9.7
3 Malvin1712571%82.580.8+1.6
4 Aguada1510567%95.389.6+5.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi1711665%83.480.2+3.2
6 Bigua169756%88.488.8-0.4
7 Defensor168850%86.585.7+0.8
8 Union Atletica178947%83.682.9+0.6
9 Urunday1771041%90.086.0+4.0
10 Goes1741324%83.292.1-8.9
11 Cordon1731418%81.993.4-11.5
12 Welcome171166%80.799.8-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.