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Nacional vs Union Atletica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 88-72
17-18 34-16 14-19 23-19
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#6
Record3-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Union Atletica
20 Nov 2025
NACI88
UNIO72
27 Jan 2014
NACI90
UNIO65
11 Nov 2013
NACI86
UNIO79
30 Nov 2012
NACI73
UNIO83
13 Oct 2012
NACI63
UNIO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Union Atletica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 83
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
43avg 83
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-106
117
106
+11
117avg 83
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 83
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
98avg 83
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-61
80
61
+19
72avg 83
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 83
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
104avg 83
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
78avg 83
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
22-16
15-20
24-24
13-17
17-26
15-20
17-24
32-23
23-24
34-27
28-32
28-26
22-28
20-11
12-14
21-20
29-27
35-17
17-22
14-16
30-19
20-11
16-15
34-23
27-24
26-24
23-22
25-21
27-23
26-13
26-13
22-21
15-12
30-17
22-29
10-24
21-21
20-23
24-14
172.0Avg total
90.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.282.6173.8+8.778%
Season at home (5)83.475.2158.6+8.280%
Season away (4)101.091.8192.8+9.275%
Last 10 (10)90.082.0172.0+8.080%
Last 5 (5)91.677.0168.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.087.0149.0-25.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)90.680.8171.3+9.872%
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletica
Date
Competition
Goes
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A24/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 70
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
104-84
104
84
+20
94avg 70
A15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
59-90
59
90
-31
36avg 70
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 70
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
107-92
107
92
+15
103avg 70
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
50avg 70
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 70
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 70
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 70
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-22
33-24
23-20
16-11
21-20
19-34
25-19
25-20
29-23
25-22
25-19
20-22
16-26
15-18
8-24
29-24
12-17
27-17
16-10
20-18
26-19
30-30
31-25
13-17
15-15
22-24
12-22
18-19
19-18
22-22
15-16
15-25
17-17
26-17
20-25
19-28
14-24
14-27
30-22
167.0Avg total
82.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.784.0164.7-3.333%
Season at home (4)79.289.5168.8-10.225%
Season away (5)81.879.6161.4+2.240%
Last 10 (10)82.384.7167.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)79.686.0165.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.879.8148.5-11.050%
vs Similar (16)82.484.9167.3-2.631%
vs Weaker (6)86.578.7165.2+7.883%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
NacionalUnion Atletica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
87.8Avg total
45.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.587.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.740.485.1+4.463%-
Last 30 away (11)45.146.391.4-1.245%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.887.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.885.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.043.073.0-13.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.442.587.9+2.959%-
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
38.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.838.776.4-0.934%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
Last 30 away (17)38.137.976.0+0.135%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.079.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.075.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.440.678.0-3.129%-
vs Similar (16)37.338.275.5-0.931%-
vs Weaker (6)39.337.777.0+1.750%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.7
51.9%
53.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.4
37.5%
33.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.413.6
66.7%
70.9%13.6
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.4%
53.3%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.6
29.3%
33.3%25.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.8
72.3%
70.9%12.8
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LWWWWWWWLW
Union Atletica
LLLLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#6
+10.0
Net rating
-4.6
111.5
Offensive rating
103.7
101.5
Defensive rating
108.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
29.3%
55.8%
Assist %
50.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 103.7Defence101.5 · 108.3Shooting53.8% · 48.8%3-point %37.5% · 29.3%Ball care16.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Nacional   ■ Union Atletica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nacional wins
3
Union Atletica wins
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25AMalvin75-82
10/11/25HHebraica y Macabi89-79
07/11/25HUrunday104-70
03/11/25ABigua110-93
01/11/25HDefensor80-61
24/10/25AGoes102-86
21/10/25HAguada82-79
16/10/25AWelcome117-106
14/10/25HPenarol62-87
02/06/25HAguada79-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HUrunday77-101
11/11/25ABigua78-84
07/11/25HDefensor74-75
04/11/25AGoes62-78
29/10/25HAguada107-92
23/10/25AWelcome84-68
20/10/25HPenarol59-90
15/10/25ACordon104-84
09/10/25AHebraica y Macabi81-84
24/02/17AGoes97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game91.283.4101.0
Allowed / game82.675.291.8
Point differential+8.7+8.2+9.2
Avg total173.8158.6192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game80.779.281.8
Allowed / game84.089.579.6
Point differential-3.3-10.2+2.2
Avg total164.7168.8161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol97278%87.173.0+14.1
2 Nacional97278%91.282.6+8.7
3 Hebraica y Macabi107370%77.774.9+2.8
4 Malvin107370%81.780.6+1.1
5 Defensor85362%87.086.0+1.0
6 Aguada106460%95.288.9+6.3
7 Bigua105550%84.986.3-1.4
8 Urunday94544%90.187.8+2.3
9 Union Atletica93633%80.784.0-3.3
10 Goes103730%82.387.7-5.4
11 Cordon92722%84.291.7-7.4
12 Welcome9090%81.0100.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1734142388
Union Atletica1816191972
← all games of the day
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