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Defensor vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 103-82
28-23 28-27 22-11 25-21
Position#7
Record5-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#12
Record0-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game100.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Defensor v Welcome
11 Dec 2025
DEFE103
WELC82
07 Feb 2025
DEFE112
WELC77
19 Nov 2018
DEFE86
WELC98
30 Jan 2018
DEFE86
WELC101
07 Mar 2017
DEFE86
WELC56
14 Dec 2015
DEFE104
WELC82
06 Nov 2015
DEFE80
WELC81
01 Dec 2012
DEFE88
WELC83
15 Mar 2012
DEFE81
WELC83
09 Mar 2012
DEFE64
WELC67
10 Nov 2011
DEFE79
WELC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 76
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-91
102
91
+11
92avg 76
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 76
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 76
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
97-92
97
92
+5
101avg 76
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 76
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-92
76
92
-16
71avg 76
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 76
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
91avg 76
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 76
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
16-27
25-16
16-27
25-24
27-23
21-20
29-24
23-23
24-21
27-17
24-23
26-27
16-30
25-16
23-18
27-17
23-33
20-21
27-21
16-14
19-30
11-20
15-16
23-23
20-16
16-22
17-31
19-18
18-19
22-22
16-15
29-20
18-23
33-17
17-24
27-22
20-21
18-20
7-22
170.6Avg total
84.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.385.9171.2-0.656%
Season at home (5)94.088.6182.6+5.480%
Season away (4)74.582.5157.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)84.885.8170.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)76.283.0159.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.883.8161.6-5.925%
vs Similar (7)82.683.4166.0-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)95.785.4181.1+10.371%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
L
106-117
106
117
-11
92avg 70
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
92avg 70
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
60avg 70
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
81-98
81
98
-17
78avg 70
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
68avg 70
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 70
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
82-112
82
112
-30
71avg 70
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
55avg 70
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 70
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
63-102
63
102
-39
36avg 70
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
24-23
27-34
32-28
23-28
34-26
16-21
21-20
24-29
17-12
17-27
10-16
17-22
19-31
20-20
25-25
23-37
18-19
15-28
24-18
22-23
15-24
16-25
19-24
17-39
26-27
25-22
14-24
15-18
14-21
15-29
29-15
17-22
27-25
31-27
11-24
13-28
14-31
22-25
14-18
179.2Avg total
80.5Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.8100.0179.8-20.20%
Season at home (6)79.397.7177.0-18.30%
Season away (5)80.4102.8183.2-22.40%
Last 10 (10)80.598.7179.2-18.20%
Last 5 (5)75.298.2173.4-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.396.4177.7-15.126%
vs Similar (3)86.081.7167.7+4.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
DefensorWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
88.5Avg total
43.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.984.7-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.643.488.0+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.481.9-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.688.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.142.282.4-2.131%-
vs Similar (7)41.143.985.0-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.643.389.9+3.386%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
91.9Avg total
40.2Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.649.089.7-8.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.846.787.5-5.929%-
Last 30 away (16)40.551.191.6-10.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.251.791.9-11.510%-
Last 5 (5)36.051.687.6-15.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.150.090.1-9.919%-
vs Similar (3)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.6
53.6%
53.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
70.9%14.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.6
52.8%
53.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.3
31.5%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
70.9%12.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LWWLLWLWWL
Welcome
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-0.5
Net rating
-22.3
113.4
Offensive rating
99.1
113.9
Defensive rating
121.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
31.5%
57.8%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 99.1Defence113.9 · 121.4Shooting53.7% · 50.4%3-point %35.8% · 31.5%Ball care16.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 18.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Defensor   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Defensor wins
4
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Defensor v Welcome112-77
05/12/24Welcome v Defensor111-120 OT
04/02/19Welcome v Defensor82-90 OT
19/11/18Defensor v Welcome86-98
09/03/18Welcome v Defensor92-85
30/01/18Defensor v Welcome86-101
11/11/17Welcome v Defensor102-82
10/03/17Welcome v Defensor76-77
08/03/17Defensor v Welcome86-56
05/10/16Welcome v Defensor69-85
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25APenarol72-85
11/11/25HCordon97-84
07/11/25AUnion Atletica75-74
05/11/25HMalvin76-92
01/11/25ANacional61-80
20/10/25HUrunday97-92
17/10/25ABigua90-91
13/10/25HHebraica y Macabi98-84
10/10/25HGoes102-91
09/05/25HNacional80-85
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HUrunday63-102
05/12/25HBigua86-98
15/11/25HGoes73-83
10/11/25AAguada82-112
07/11/25AHebraica y Macabi72-96
03/11/25HPenarol80-102
29/10/25ACordon81-98
23/10/25HUnion Atletica68-84
20/10/25AMalvin94-95
16/10/25HNacional106-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.394.074.5
Allowed / game85.988.682.5
Point differential-0.6+5.4-8.0
Avg total171.2182.6157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.879.380.4
Allowed / game100.097.7102.8
Point differential-20.2-18.3-22.4
Avg total179.8177.0183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1210283%86.371.3+15.0
2 Nacional129375%90.682.2+8.3
3 Malvin129375%82.279.6+2.6
4 Hebraica y Macabi128467%81.376.7+4.7
5 Aguada106460%95.288.9+6.3
6 Defensor95456%85.385.9-0.6
7 Bigua116555%86.186.3-0.2
8 Urunday126650%91.284.6+6.6
9 Union Atletica124833%81.584.6-3.1
10 Goes113827%80.589.4-8.8
11 Cordon1221017%83.595.7-12.2
12 Welcome110110%79.8100.0-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor28282225103
Welcome2327112182
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