Defensor vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 86-56

14-9 25-12 30-21 17-14

Position#7

Record14-14

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game80.5

Defensor 🏆

Welcome

Position#6

Record18-11

FormLLWWW

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game76.6

Liga Uruguaya

Other2016-17

Meetings · Defensor v Welcome

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Welcome winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Defensor

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Larre Borges

73-79

-6

A13/01

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

91-94

-3

H27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

91-96

-5

A31/01

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#12

92-83

A03/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

89-96

-7

H07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

97-89

A10/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

81-90

-9

A14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

100-93

100

H17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

103-91

103

+12

A21/02

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

80-82

-2

H23/02

Liga Uruguaya

25-17

18-20

12-23

18-19

20-21

24-22

26-22

21-29

32-21

8-27

29-18

22-30

23-27

26-15

24-19

19-22

16-12

18-17

22-41

33-26

32-18

26-12

15-28

24-31

25-13

13-25

27-25

16-27

26-17

16-28

25-15

33-33

21-22

27-25

22-18

33-26

17-18

19-19

20-26

24-19

179.0Avg total

89.7Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.2	80.5	162.8	+1.7	50%
Season at home (14)	76.9	75.3	152.2	+1.6	50%
Season away (14)	87.6	85.8	173.4	+1.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	89.3	179.0	+0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	89.0	181.2	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	85.6	85.6	171.2	+0.1	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	78.2	72.0	150.2	+6.2	64%

This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Welcome

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Goes

74-88

-14

H17/01

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#10

92-88

H20/01

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#14

87-79

H24/01

Liga Uruguaya

Sayago

#13

92-87

A27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

62-58

A01/02

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

60-75

-15

A06/02

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#10

72-80

-8

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#14

102-91

102

+11

A16/02

Liga Uruguaya

Sayago

#13

87-79

H20/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

89-80

H24/02

Liga Uruguaya

15-26

18-19

19-31

22-12

21-21

20-19

28-27

23-21

18-16

22-15

22-19

25-29

23-16

23-27

23-25

23-19

17-11

14-16

14-10

17-21

13-21

11-13

20-18

16-23

17-25

16-14

9-20

30-21

32-21

11-35

33-12

26-23

19-16

22-19

15-17

31-27

21-23

21-10

21-25

26-22

162.2Avg total

81.7Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	74.2	76.6	150.8	-2.3	62%
Season at home (16)	71.4	74.2	145.7	-2.8	56%
Season away (13)	77.6	79.4	157.0	-1.8	69%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	80.5	162.2	+1.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	81.0	163.0	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	60.5	75.5	135.9	-15.0	9%
vs Similar (14)	82.6	78.2	160.9	+4.4	86%
vs Weaker (5)	82.8	76.2	159.0	+6.6	100%

This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DefensorWelcome

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+3.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+4.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.6	42.3	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.6	41.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.5	18.3	41.8	+5.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	18.8	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	18.3	37.5	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	18.1	36.6	+0.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.5	16.2	33.7	+1.3	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	60%	-

DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Larre Borges

43-37

A13/01

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

44-43

H27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

40-48

-8

A31/01

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#12

49-42

A03/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

34-29

H07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

58-30

+28

A10/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

38-38

A14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

42-45

-3

H17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

48-47

A21/02

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

36-37

-1

H23/02

Liga Uruguaya

82.8Avg total

43.2Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	37.3	78.4	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	37.7	76.4	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	36.9	80.3	+6.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.4	83.8	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	40.4	38.5	78.9	+1.9	63%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.3	35.1	77.4	+7.2	80%	-

This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Goes

33-45

-12

H17/01

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#10

41-40

H20/01

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#14

40-31

H24/01

Liga Uruguaya

Sayago

#13

46-43

A27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

31-27

A01/02

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

24-34

-10

A06/02

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#10

33-39

-6

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#14

43-56

-13

A16/02

Liga Uruguaya

Sayago

#13

41-35

H20/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

42-33

H24/02

Liga Uruguaya

75.7Avg total

37.4Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.8	38.0	74.8	-1.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	37.5	73.3	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.3	75.7	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	33.8	38.2	72.0	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.5	37.2	75.7	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.2	39.6	77.8	-1.4	60%	-

This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	22.1	43.2	-1.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.5	45.3	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.5	45.7	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.0	24.4	41.4	-7.4	10%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	19.1	40.1	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.0	14.4	39.4	+10.6	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	23.0	45.2	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.4	45.9	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.7	44.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	26.2	50.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	27.2	53.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	23.5	24.1	47.6	-0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.2	49.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.7	18.4	34.1	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.2	21.9	45.1	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.6	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.2	45.2	88.3	-2.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	44.1	86.8	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	46.2	89.8	-2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	49.7	96.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	49.6	97.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	43.9	45.7	89.7	-1.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.7	44.1	85.8	-2.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.3	40.9	81.1	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	40.3	80.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	41.4	81.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	42.2	86.5	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	32.7	42.8	75.5	-10.1	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.1	41.0	85.1	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.6	36.6	81.2	+8.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Defensor wins

Welcome wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/16	Welcome v Defensor	69-85
26/01/16	Welcome v Defensor	86-77
15/12/15	Defensor v Welcome	104-82
07/11/15	Defensor v Welcome	80-81
01/12/12	Defensor v Welcome	88-83
12/10/12	Welcome v Defensor	70-64
15/03/12	Defensor v Welcome	81-83
12/03/12	Welcome v Defensor	84-62
09/03/12	Defensor v Welcome	64-67
05/03/12	Welcome v Defensor	66-73

Defensorlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/17	H	Bigua	80-82
21/02/17	A	Aguada	103-91
17/02/17	H	Larre Borges	100-93
14/02/17	A	Urunday	81-90
10/02/17	A	Hebraica y Macabi	97-89
07/02/17	H	Aguada	89-96
03/02/17	A	Trouville	92-83
31/01/17	A	Bigua	91-96
27/01/17	H	Malvin	91-94
13/01/17	A	Larre Borges	73-79

Welcomelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/17	H	Olimpia Kings	89-80
20/02/17	H	Sayago	87-79
16/02/17	A	Cordon	102-91
14/02/17	H	Union Atletica	72-80
06/02/17	A	Goes	60-75
01/02/17	A	Olimpia Kings	62-58
27/01/17	A	Sayago	92-87
24/01/17	H	Cordon	87-79
20/01/17	H	Union Atletica	92-88
17/01/17	H	Goes	74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor

Liga Uruguaya 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	LLLWL	50%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	82.2	76.9	87.6
Allowed / game	80.5	75.3	85.8
Point differential	+1.7	+1.6	+1.8
Avg total	162.8	152.2	173.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	21%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	25% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Welcome

Liga Uruguaya 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	62%
Home	WWLWW	56%
Away	WWWLW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	16	13
Win %	62%	56%	69%
Points / game	74.2	71.4	77.6
Allowed / game	76.6	74.2	79.4
Point differential	-2.3	-2.8	-1.8
Avg total	150.8	145.7	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	12%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	91% (11)	100% (4)	86% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Aguada	28	19	9	68%	80.4	76.2	+4.1
2	Hebraica y Macabi	28	18	10	64%	83.8	77.9	+5.8
3	Urunday	28	18	10	64%	80.4	77.5	+3.0
4	Goes	30	19	11	63%	80.7	74.7	+5.9
5	Welcome	29	18	11	62%	74.2	76.6	-2.3
6	Malvin	28	17	11	61%	80.1	76.9	+3.3
7	Bigua	28	15	13	54%	79.2	76.3	+2.9
8	Larre Borges	28	15	13	54%	80.7	79.9	+0.9
9	Defensor	28	14	14	50%	82.2	80.5	+1.7
10	Union Atletica	29	13	16	45%	76.3	81.2	-4.8
11	Olimpia Kings	29	12	17	41%	77.2	79.3	-2.1
12	Trouville	29	11	18	38%	77.2	80.0	-2.9
13	Sayago	28	8	20	29%	77.9	82.5	-4.5
14	Cordon	28	2	26	7%	73.2	84.1	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Defensor	14	25	30	17	86
Welcome	9	12	21	14	56

← all games of the day

Defensor vs Welcome Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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