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Defensor vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 112-77
29-17 23-23 30-22 30-15
Position#5
Record9-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#12
Record4-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game93.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Defensor v Welcome
11 Dec 2025
DEFE103
WELC82
07 Feb 2025
DEFE112
WELC77
19 Nov 2018
DEFE86
WELC98
30 Jan 2018
DEFE86
WELC101
07 Mar 2017
DEFE86
WELC56
14 Dec 2015
DEFE104
WELC82
06 Nov 2015
DEFE80
WELC81
01 Dec 2012
DEFE88
WELC83
15 Mar 2012
DEFE81
WELC83
09 Mar 2012
DEFE64
WELC67
10 Nov 2011
DEFE79
WELC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
51avg 74
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 74
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 74
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
92avg 74
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
88avg 74
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 74
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 74
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 74
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
80avg 74
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 74
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
17-14
14-24
14-18
18-21
20-20
20-26
20-21
20-15
14-28
23-25
28-21
25-25
28-13
24-25
21-27
28-11
21-18
21-13
17-29
27-11
31-23
16-16
17-16
27-28
22-18
22-17
10-16
17-23
19-16
26-26
19-31
25-16
15-18
22-23
18-23
14-15
26-26
17-21
30-18
165.7Avg total
83.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.982.2168.2+3.750%
Season at home (9)88.678.4167.0+10.167%
Season away (9)83.386.0169.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)83.881.9165.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)85.282.2167.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.585.2161.8-8.825%
vs Similar (8)88.478.8167.1+9.688%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.379.6169.9+10.770%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 65
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 65
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 65
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 65
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-86 OT
97
86
+11
86avg 65
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 65
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 65
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 65
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 65
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 65
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
18-21
14-21
30-27
24-23
23-26
22-17
22-29
7-32
19-23
20-12
21-21
24-25
8-26
23-23
26-19
24-13
17-22
26-26
19-19
20-20
16-25
19-26
28-17
25-15
13-31
22-23
22-24
13-19
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
169.1Avg total
78.7Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.393.4170.7-16.122%
Season at home (10)76.593.1169.6-16.620%
Season away (8)78.293.8172.0-15.525%
Last 10 (10)78.790.4169.1-11.740%
Last 5 (5)76.090.0166.0-14.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.293.4171.5-15.215%
vs Similar (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (2)97.087.5184.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
DefensorWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
80.6Avg total
43.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.183.2+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.339.083.3+5.350%-
Last 30 away (14)41.841.383.1+0.564%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.380.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.883.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.241.079.2-2.833%-
vs Similar (8)45.043.488.4+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.536.383.8+11.280%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
84.0Avg total
38.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.046.483.4-9.423%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.143.681.6-5.535%-
Last 30 away (13)35.650.285.8-14.58%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.884.0-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.248.888.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.047.783.7-11.615%-
vs Similar (2)39.034.573.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (2)47.542.590.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.0
56.5%
51.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.9
28.3%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.1
73.8%
71.7%12.1
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.4
49.5%
51.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.210.7
66.0%
71.7%10.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
WLLWWWWLLL
Welcome
WLLWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#12
+3.7
Net rating
-14.4
107.4
Offensive rating
99.1
103.7
Defensive rating
113.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.3%
3-point %
32.8%
60.2%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 99.1Defence103.7 · 113.4Shooting50.9% · 49.4%3-point %28.3% · 32.8%Ball care15.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Defensor   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Defensor wins
5
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
05/12/24Welcome v Defensor111-120 OT
04/02/19Welcome v Defensor82-90 OT
19/11/18Defensor v Welcome86-98
09/03/18Welcome v Defensor92-85
30/01/18Defensor v Welcome86-101
11/11/17Welcome v Defensor102-82
10/03/17Welcome v Defensor76-77
08/03/17Defensor v Welcome86-56
05/10/16Welcome v Defensor69-85
26/01/16Welcome v Defensor86-77
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HMalvin87-80
31/01/25HHebraica y Macabi86-90 OT
27/01/25ANacional81-96
24/01/25ABigua81-79
20/01/25HUrupan91-66
16/01/25ACordon87-71
13/01/25HUrunday98-90
11/01/25HAguada85-89
08/01/25HNacional78-88
20/12/24APenarol64-70
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HTrouville71-66
30/01/25HNacional69-117
27/01/25AMalvin70-97
24/01/25AHebraica y Macabi88-83
21/01/25HBigua82-87
16/01/25AUrunday97-86 OT
10/01/25HCordon84-81
06/01/25HAguada74-104
20/12/24AUrupan86-92
11/12/24HPenarol66-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game85.988.683.3
Allowed / game82.278.486.0
Point differential+3.7+10.1-2.7
Avg total168.2167.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW22%
HomeLWLLW20%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game77.376.578.2
Allowed / game93.493.193.8
Point differential-16.1-16.6-15.5
Avg total170.7169.6172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1918195%93.976.5+17.4
2 Aguada1915479%89.579.9+9.6
3 Penarol1813572%84.774.4+10.2
4 Malvin1912763%79.776.8+2.9
5 Defensor189950%85.982.2+3.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi1991047%85.387.4-2.1
7 Bigua1881044%84.385.3-1.0
8 Cordon1981142%84.186.2-2.2
9 Urupan1961332%80.586.8-6.3
10 Urunday1961332%78.785.1-6.4
11 Welcome1841422%77.393.4-16.1
12 Trouville1941521%73.583.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor29233030112
Welcome1723221577
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