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Den Bosch vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-81
16-21 21-14 16-21 23-25
Position#8
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Den Bosch
vs
Circus Brussels 🏆
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeBNXT League· Maaspoort
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 77
H15/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 77
A17/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
101avg 77
H19/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
62avg 77
A22/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
85avg 77
H24/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
88avg 77
H28/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
60avg 77
A30/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
79-65
79
65
+14
77avg 77
H01/06
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 77
A04/06
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
58-87
58
87
-29
no box
A11/09
Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-16
21-15
15-28
15-22
13-19
25-22
22-19
37-22
24-25
19-23
20-20
20-27
23-24
19-22
18-15
29-23
28-18
17-21
16-21
24-27
16-20
15-24
34-25
20-20
13-23
12-19
20-21
10-9
23-16
15-23
31-17
16-26
29-22
17-22
19-22
10-22
6-29
25-14
17-22
165.2Avg total
80.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.784.5165.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)74.484.6159.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.084.0151.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.780.3162.0+1.560%
vs Weaker (12)84.272.9157.1+11.275%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 74
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 74
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 74
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-61
98
61
+37
106avg 74
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 74
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 74
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 74
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 74
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
62avg 74
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
88avg 74
H03/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
20-27
13-10
25-24
17-14
10-19
16-20
19-18
28-21
20-28
22-19
21-17
25-13
24-20
29-20
20-8
19-19
15-20
14-21
13-20
24-21
22-16
14-15
15-19
20-27
27-24
19-18
17-20
20-21
28-20
15-24
28-17
18-10
16-18
13-17
15-12
18-27
20-13
22-19
21-22
155.2Avg total
78.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.876.4155.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)80.877.8158.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.073.6142.6-4.60%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.075.7151.7+0.350%
vs Weaker (9)82.175.6157.7+6.667%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Den BoschCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#3
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H15/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A17/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H19/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A22/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#3
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H24/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H28/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A30/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H01/06
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A04/06
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
16-51
16
51
-35
A11/09
Supercup
84.0Avg total
41.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.679.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.381.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.978.2-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.084.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.876.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.543.575.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.440.082.4+2.453%-
vs Weaker (12)40.937.578.4+3.458%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
80.0Avg total
40.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.077.0+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.336.676.9+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)39.737.477.1+2.343%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.580.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.482.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.233.671.8+4.680%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)42.937.880.7+5.144%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.6
54.0%
52.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.6
35.2%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
71.9%13.7
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.6
53.4%
52.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.6
35.5%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.9%14.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Bosch
LLWLLWLWLW
Circus Brussels
WWWLWLWWLL
#8
League position
#5
-1.4
Net rating
+3.3
114.6
Offensive rating
107.8
116.0
Defensive rating
104.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.2%
3-point %
35.5%
58.4%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 107.8Defence116.0 · 104.5Shooting53.5% · 53.4%3-point %35.2% · 35.5%Ball care16.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds33.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Den Bosch   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Den Bosch wins
0
Circus Brussels wins
No previous meetings.
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/09/24ALeiden58-87
04/06/24ALeiden81-92
01/06/24HLeiden79-65
30/05/24ALeiden65-83
28/05/24HLeiden89-96
24/05/24HDonar Groningen90-83
22/05/24ADonar Groningen80-88
19/05/24HDonar Groningen100-90
17/05/24ADonar Groningen75-82
15/05/24HDonar Groningen90-79
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24HFeyenoord93-90 OT
30/04/24ADen Helder62-57
26/04/24HKortrijk91-82
21/04/24AQSTA Utd83-89
13/04/24HOkapi Aalst75-71
09/04/24ALWD Basket61-80
05/04/24HDen Helder98-61
03/04/24AFeyenoord91-85
27/03/24HQSTA Utd62-71
22/03/24ABelfius Mons72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Bosch
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Bosch1621162376
Circus Brussels2114212581
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