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Circus Brussels vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-71
24-21 22-16 14-15 15-19
Position#9
Record13-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#16
Record9-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2023-24
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2025
CIRC90
OKAP98
13 Apr 2024
CIRC75
OKAP71
04 Feb 2024
CIRC76
OKAP83
22 Oct 2023
CIRC85
OKAP66
25 Nov 2022
CIRC68
OKAP78
21 Jan 2022
CIRC79
OKAP70
26 Sep 2021
CIRC78
OKAP72
13 Dec 2019
CIRC79
OKAP83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 73
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 73
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 73
A17/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 73
A08/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
104-81
104
81
+23
109avg 73
H17/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 73
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 73
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 73
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-61
98
61
+37
106avg 73
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 73
A09/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-24
11-21
24-17
23-22
13-14
14-25
17-19
26-22
25-10
20-19
17-25
18-23
19-18
21-24
17-15
30-26
33-15
23-22
18-18
14-17
20-27
13-10
25-24
17-14
10-19
16-20
19-18
28-21
20-28
22-19
21-17
25-13
24-20
29-20
20-8
19-19
15-20
14-21
13-20
156.9Avg total
79.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.776.7155.4+2.048%
Season at home (13)79.077.6156.6+1.446%
Season away (14)78.475.9154.3+2.650%
Last 10 (10)79.477.5156.9+1.940%
Last 5 (5)76.875.0151.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.773.8144.5-3.217%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.174.8151.8+2.353%
vs Weaker (7)81.174.1155.3+7.057%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
71avg 70
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
68avg 70
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 70
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 70
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 70
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 70
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 70
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 70
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
103-74
103
74
+29
110avg 70
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 70
A10/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-13
24-15
16-16
24-17
16-18
12-17
16-23
14-19
20-22
20-24
22-21
15-23
16-23
26-10
20-8
25-22
22-19
22-9
11-25
21-17
22-19
15-18
23-15
18-17
16-22
20-18
9-14
16-17
28-15
27-14
16-24
27-10
31-17
23-32
22-15
25-20
19-23
14-15
15-12
151.1Avg total
79.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.080.1157.1-3.133%
Season at home (13)81.279.7160.9+1.538%
Season away (14)73.180.5153.6-7.429%
Last 10 (10)79.471.7151.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)81.470.8152.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.483.2156.7-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.281.9158.2-5.723%
vs Weaker (5)82.870.4153.2+12.4100%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Circus BrusselsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A17/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H17/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/04
BNXT League
81.3Avg total
42.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.377.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.436.175.6+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.138.478.5+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.381.3+2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.334.572.8+3.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.038.377.3+0.747%-
vs Weaker (7)43.037.480.4+5.643%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/04
BNXT League
79.3Avg total
42.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.881.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.180.1+2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.281.7-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.279.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.480.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.341.482.7-0.146%-
vs Weaker (5)44.638.683.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.3
58.5%
52.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.0
35.2%
33.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
71.4%13.8
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.6
53.2%
52.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.6
35.7%
33.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.6
70.1%
71.4%13.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
LWWLLWLWLL
Okapi Aalst
WWWLWWWLLW
#9
League position
#16
+2.4
Net rating
+10.0
109.1
Offensive rating
105.9
106.8
Defensive rating
95.9
56.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
20.8%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
35.7%
56.9%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 105.9Defence106.8 · 95.9Shooting56.3% · 53.3%3-point %35.2% · 35.7%Ball care20.8% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 31.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Circus Brussels wins
6
Okapi Aalst wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24ALWD Basket61-80
05/04/24HDen Helder98-61
03/04/24AFeyenoord91-85
27/03/24HQSTA Utd62-71
22/03/24ABelfius Mons72-78
17/03/24HLWD Basket104-81
08/03/24ALeuven Bears75-80
17/02/24ABelfius Mons88-76
09/02/24ALimburg67-80
04/02/24HOkapi Aalst76-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AQSTA Utd73-70
06/04/24HLWD Basket103-74
30/03/24HKortrijk87-70
27/03/24ALeuven Bears63-71
23/03/24ADen Helder81-69
16/03/24HQSTA Utd80-75
06/03/24AFeyenoord77-64
17/02/24HLeuven Bears76-86
14/02/24ASpirou Charleroi68-75
10/02/24HKortrijk86-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%46%50%
Points / game78.779.078.4
Allowed / game76.777.675.9
Point differential+2.0+1.4+2.6
Avg total155.4156.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW33%
HomeWLWWW38%
AwayLWWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game77.081.273.1
Allowed / game80.179.780.5
Point differential-3.1+1.5-7.4
Avg total157.1160.9153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2523292%81.971.0+10.9
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2620677%82.472.1+10.3
4 Leiden2216673%77.370.0+7.2
5 Limburg2617965%76.772.5+4.1
6 Zwolle2112957%75.870.9+5.0
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels27131448%78.776.7+2.0
10 Mechelen27131448%77.377.1+0.3
11 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
12 Leuven Bears28121643%76.577.9-1.4
13 BAL Weert2291341%71.275.3-4.1
14 Belfius Mons27111641%77.380.6-3.3
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Okapi Aalst2791833%77.080.1-3.1
17 Feyenoord2481633%73.781.8-8.1
18 LWD Basket2371630%77.983.9-6.0
19 QSTA Utd2361726%72.878.9-6.1
20 Den Helder2451921%66.881.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2422141575
Okapi Aalst2116151971
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