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Den Helder vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 57-62
10-18 18-16 17-13 12-15
Position#20
Record5-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#9
Record15-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Sportlaan
Other2023-24
Meetings · Den Helder v Circus Brussels
12 Oct 2024
DEN 73
CIRC93
30 Apr 2024
DEN 57
CIRC62
23 Apr 2023
DEN 90
CIRC89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
79avg 58
H02/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 58
A08/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
79-98
79
98
-19
74avg 58
A16/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 58
H23/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 58
A27/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
55-91
55
91
-36
43avg 58
H30/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
61-98
61
98
-37
46avg 58
A05/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
66-78
66
78
-12
59avg 58
H11/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 58
H20/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
66-89
66
89
-23
55avg 58
A27/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
16-19
19-14
24-14
18-19
21-18
7-29
15-21
23-24
12-26
20-28
24-20
17-21
19-22
18-15
15-23
27-19
22-23
13-22
15-19
19-25
11-20
20-21
5-25
13-25
20-24
20-29
8-20
15-18
12-18
14-15
25-27
12-24
17-22
15-15
21-21
13-19
14-28
22-28
17-14
154.1Avg total
68.1Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)66.781.5148.2-14.819%
Season at home (13)65.978.9144.8-13.023%
Season away (13)67.584.1151.6-16.515%
Last 10 (10)68.186.0154.1-17.910%
Last 5 (5)62.687.6150.2-25.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)67.482.1149.5-14.621%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 74
A08/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
104-81
104
81
+23
109avg 74
H17/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 74
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 74
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 74
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-61
98
61
+37
106avg 74
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 74
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 74
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 74
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 74
H26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-18
21-24
17-15
30-26
33-15
23-22
18-18
14-17
20-27
13-10
25-24
17-14
10-19
16-20
19-18
28-21
20-28
22-19
21-17
25-13
24-20
29-20
20-8
19-19
15-20
14-21
13-20
24-21
22-16
14-15
15-19
20-27
27-24
19-18
17-20
20-21
28-20
15-24
28-17
159.0Avg total
81.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.177.1156.2+2.050%
Season at home (15)79.577.5157.0+2.153%
Season away (15)78.776.7155.5+2.047%
Last 10 (10)81.277.8159.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)81.676.6158.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.073.6142.6-4.60%
vs Similar (17)77.176.1153.2+1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.476.0157.4+5.450%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
Den HelderCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H02/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A16/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H30/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H20/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A27/04
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
34.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.740.674.3-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.640.273.8-6.621%-
Last 30 away (16)33.940.974.8-7.131%-
Last 10 (10)34.444.078.4-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.244.673.8-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)33.740.574.2-6.828%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H17/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
84.2Avg total
43.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.778.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.376.8+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.179.7+1.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.984.2+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.285.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.233.671.8+4.680%-
vs Similar (17)39.838.278.1+1.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.539.182.6+4.438%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.6
49.4%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.6
32.2%
33.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.1
68.4%
71.4%9.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.0
56.5%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.1
35.5%
33.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
71.4%15.9
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Helder
LLLLLLLLLW
Circus Brussels
WLWLWWLLWL
#20
League position
#9
-25.1
Net rating
+4.7
93.2
Offensive rating
110.8
118.4
Defensive rating
106.1
49.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.2%
3-point %
35.5%
55.6%
Assist %
60.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 110.8Defence118.4 · 106.1Shooting49.0% · 55.2%3-point %32.2% · 35.5%Ball care22.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Den Helder   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Den Helder wins
2
Circus Brussels wins
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AMechelen66-89
20/04/24HLeuven Bears65-82
11/04/24HBelfius Mons66-78
05/04/24ACircus Brussels61-98
30/03/24HMechelen55-91
27/03/24ABelfius Mons77-83
23/03/24HOkapi Aalst69-81
16/03/24ALeuven Bears79-98
08/03/24AKortrijk61-87
02/03/24HKortrijk82-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HKortrijk91-82
21/04/24AQSTA Utd83-89
13/04/24HOkapi Aalst75-71
09/04/24ALWD Basket61-80
05/04/24HDen Helder98-61
03/04/24AFeyenoord91-85
27/03/24HQSTA Utd62-71
22/03/24ABelfius Mons72-78
17/03/24HLWD Basket104-81
08/03/24ALeuven Bears75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Helder
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL23%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %19%23%15%
Points / game66.765.967.5
Allowed / game81.578.984.1
Point differential-14.8-13.0-16.5
Avg total148.2144.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLWWW53%
AwayLLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game79.179.578.7
Allowed / game77.177.576.7
Point differential+2.0+2.1+2.0
Avg total156.2157.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2826293%83.370.7+12.6
2 Den Bosch2419579%81.372.2+9.1
3 Antwerp Giants2822679%82.670.9+11.7
4 Leiden2416867%75.772.4+3.3
5 Limburg28181064%76.973.3+3.5
6 Spirou Charleroi28171161%74.173.8+0.3
7 Liege28161257%80.378.4+2.0
8 Mechelen30161453%78.476.2+2.2
9 Zwolle24121250%74.971.3+3.6
10 Circus Brussels30151550%79.177.1+2.0
11 Leuven Bears30141647%76.976.9-0.0
12 Belfius Mons30141647%78.380.0-1.7
13 Donar Groningen24101442%72.672.9-0.3
14 BAL Weert2491538%70.277.8-7.6
15 Kortrijk30111937%79.381.5-2.2
16 Okapi Aalst30102033%77.579.8-2.3
17 Feyenoord2681831%74.182.9-8.8
18 LWD Basket2671927%77.684.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd2671927%72.779.8-7.0
20 Den Helder2652119%66.781.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Helder1018171257
Circus Brussels1816131562
← all games of the day
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