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LWD Basket vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-61
19-19 20-15 21-14 20-13
Position#17
Record6-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#9
Record13-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2023-24
Meetings · LWD Basket v Circus Brussels
25 Jan 2025
LWD 74
CIRC83
09 Apr 2024
LWD 80
CIRC61
18 Mar 2022
LWD 75
CIRC85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 70
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
84-109
84
109
-25
66avg 70
H03/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
67avg 70
A10/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
101-82
101
82
+19
100avg 70
H17/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
92-106 OT
92
106
-14
83avg 70
H02/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
81-104
81
104
-23
67avg 70
A17/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 70
H24/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
84avg 70
A27/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 70
H30/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
74-103
74
103
-29
58avg 70
A06/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
22-15
19-26
26-23
25-30
18-31
24-28
17-20
15-21
24-25
17-17
15-16
26-26
25-19
18-17
32-20
21-24
22-27
22-19
22-17
26-30
15-33
22-23
18-18
22-20
27-15
18-17
24-19
22-23
16-25
30-18
24-19
22-18
18-23
15-20
16-24
10-27
17-31
32-23
15-22
175.9Avg total
84.7Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.885.0162.7-7.227%
Season at home (11)81.486.5167.8-5.127%
Season away (11)74.283.5157.6-9.327%
Last 10 (10)84.791.2175.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)81.889.6171.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.488.3166.7-9.916%
vs Similar (6)78.582.8161.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (4)78.277.0155.2+1.250%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
71avg 74
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 74
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 74
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 74
A17/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 74
A08/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
104-81
104
81
+23
109avg 74
H17/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 74
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 74
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 74
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-61
98
61
+37
106avg 74
H05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
27-10
19-12
12-20
20-21
21-24
11-21
24-17
23-22
13-14
14-25
17-19
26-22
25-10
20-19
17-25
18-23
19-18
21-24
17-15
30-26
33-15
23-22
18-18
14-17
20-27
13-10
25-24
17-14
10-19
16-20
19-18
28-21
20-28
22-19
21-17
25-13
24-20
29-20
20-8
156.5Avg total
81.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.476.6156.0+2.850%
Season at home (13)79.077.6156.6+1.446%
Season away (13)79.875.5155.3+4.254%
Last 10 (10)81.275.3156.5+5.950%
Last 5 (5)85.475.2160.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.773.8144.5-3.217%
vs Similar (18)77.675.8153.4+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.573.2157.7+11.367%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
LWD BasketCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H03/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H02/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A17/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A06/04
BNXT League
90.3Avg total
41.6Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.842.681.4-3.731%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.382.1-2.436%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.880.7-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.648.790.3-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.049.088.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.744.783.4-6.021%-
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker (4)43.232.575.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A27/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A17/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H17/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H27/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/04
BNXT League
81.4Avg total
43.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.477.6+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.576.3+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.538.378.9+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.081.4+5.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.334.572.8+3.867%-
vs Similar (18)39.338.577.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.537.281.7+7.350%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.6
54.1%
52.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
33.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
71.4%13.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.2
59.6%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
33.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
71.4%14.3
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
LLWWLLWLLW
Circus Brussels
WWLLWLWLLW
#17
League position
#9
-8.1
Net rating
+7.9
104.9
Offensive rating
111.5
113.0
Defensive rating
103.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
58.1%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
37.3%
57.8%
Assist %
58.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 111.5Defence113.0 · 103.6Shooting53.1% · 58.1%3-point %34.1% · 37.3%Ball care18.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LWD Basket wins
2
Circus Brussels wins
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AOkapi Aalst74-103
30/03/24HLeuven Bears71-85
27/03/24AKortrijk92-85
24/03/24HMechelen91-71
17/03/24ACircus Brussels81-104
02/03/24HBelfius Mons92-106 OT
17/02/24HLeiden101-82
10/02/24AZwolle71-79
03/02/24HDen Bosch84-109
28/01/24AQSTA Utd90-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HDen Helder98-61
03/04/24AFeyenoord91-85
27/03/24HQSTA Utd62-71
22/03/24ABelfius Mons72-78
17/03/24HLWD Basket104-81
08/03/24ALeuven Bears75-80
17/02/24ABelfius Mons88-76
09/02/24ALimburg67-80
04/02/24HOkapi Aalst76-83
27/01/24AMechelen79-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL27%
HomeLWLWL27%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game77.881.474.2
Allowed / game85.086.583.5
Point differential-7.2-5.1-9.3
Avg total162.7167.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %14%27%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%46%54%
Points / game79.479.079.8
Allowed / game76.677.675.5
Point differential+2.8+1.4+4.2
Avg total156.0156.6155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2523292%81.971.0+10.9
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2519676%82.172.3+9.8
4 Leiden2115671%77.470.2+7.1
5 Limburg2517868%77.172.4+4.6
6 Zwolle2112957%75.870.9+5.0
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels26131350%79.476.6+2.8
10 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
11 Mechelen26121446%76.877.1-0.3
12 BAL Weert2191243%71.474.7-3.3
13 Leuven Bears26111542%76.078.0-2.0
14 Belfius Mons26101638%77.281.2-3.9
15 Kortrijk27101737%78.280.7-2.4
16 Feyenoord2271532%73.381.1-7.8
17 Okapi Aalst2681831%77.280.5-3.3
18 QSTA Utd2261627%72.979.1-6.2
19 LWD Basket2261627%77.885.0-7.2
20 Den Helder2351822%66.981.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket1920212080
Circus Brussels1915141361
← all games of the day
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