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Den Bosch vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT League· Maaspoort
Other2026-27
Meetings · Den Bosch v Leiden
23 Dec 2026
DBO v LEI
upcoming
01 May 2026
DBO75
LEI93
05 Jun 2025
DBO86
LEI67
01 Jun 2025
DBO85
LEI72
26 Dec 2024
DBO69
LEI73
01 Jun 2024
DBO79
LEI65
28 May 2024
DBO89
LEI96
21 Jan 2024
DBO87
LEI72
07 Oct 2023
DBO78
LEI54
26 Dec 2022
DBO79
LEI74
27 May 2022
DBO61
LEI52
23 May 2022
DBO74
LEI90
11 Feb 2022
DBO80
LEI83
24 Sep 2021
DBO72
LEI64
25 May 2021
DBO82
LEI89
27 Mar 2021
DBO106
LEI90
04 Mar 2021
DBO88
LEI87
16 Apr 2020
DBO v LEI
upcoming
02 Nov 2019
DBO109
LEI83
02 Mar 2019
DBO65
LEI74
04 Nov 2018
DBO83
LEI91
31 Mar 2018
DBO86
LEI78
21 Jan 2018
DBO68
LEI60
23 Mar 2017
DBO71
LEI64
26 Nov 2016
DBO70
LEI67
09 Apr 2016
DBO65
LEI81
20 Dec 2015
DBO85
LEI66
11 Apr 2015
DBO91
LEI78
26 Dec 2014
DBO82
LEI77
09 Feb 2014
DBO80
LEI68
17 Oct 2013
DBO78
LEI67
01 Apr 2013
DBO88
LEI85
16 Dec 2012
DBO95
LEI93
24 May 2012
DBO65
LEI70
17 May 2012
DBO85
LEI70
29 Apr 2012
DBO89
LEI65
25 Mar 2012
DBO66
LEI68
12 Nov 2011
DBO80
LEI82
03 Mar 2011
DBO71
LEI72
21 Nov 2010
DBO72
LEI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Bosch win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
76avg 80
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
64-109
64
109
-45
52avg 80
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-57
107
57
+50
116avg 80
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 80
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
79-50
79
50
+29
80avg 80
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-125
86
125
-39
76avg 80
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 80
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 80
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
18-25
18-22
18-21
16-32
18-24
15-23
15-30
27-17
19-15
24-6
37-19
11-16
23-15
15-16
10-23
19-9
14-12
18-16
28-13
22-29
28-25
12-35
24-36
18-32
18-19
19-8
25-12
21-20
27-20
31-18
16-28
15-14
31-33
19-17
21-17
30-22
25-31
27-18
18-31
167.5Avg total
83.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.683.6167.1+0.057%
Season at home (4)86.585.5172.0+1.075%
Season away (3)79.781.0160.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)83.184.4167.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)89.493.0182.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)91.895.5187.3-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.488.6168.0-9.238%
vs Weaker (16)83.473.1156.5+10.475%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 74
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 74
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 74
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 74
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.485.3170.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (11)82.276.0158.2+6.273%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Den BoschLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A14/11
BNXT League
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.983.9-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.096.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.746.095.7+3.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.944.086.9-1.162%-
vs Weaker (16)39.139.678.7-0.431%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.242.782.9-2.433%-
vs Weaker (11)39.540.079.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
53.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
71.0%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Bosch
LWWWLWLWLL
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
#7
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
+2.4
91.2
Offensive rating
96.4
92.7
Defensive rating
94.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
33.0%
63.8%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 96.4Defence92.7 · 94.0Shooting52.9% · 52.5%3-point %33.6% · 33.0%Ball care18.7% · 15.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Den Bosch   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Den Bosch wins
5
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
01/05/26Den Bosch v Leiden75-93
27/12/25Leiden v Den Bosch89-95
05/06/25Den Bosch v Leiden86-67
03/06/25Leiden v Den Bosch63-90
01/06/25Den Bosch v Leiden85-72
15/02/25Leiden v Den Bosch95-81
26/12/24Den Bosch v Leiden69-73
11/09/24Leiden v Den Bosch87-58
04/06/24Leiden v Den Bosch92-81
01/06/24Den Bosch v Leiden79-65
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOkapi Aalst100-102
08/11/26HLeuven Bears86-81
30/10/26HMechelen95-86
23/10/26ACB Liege80-71
17/10/26HAntwerp Giants86-125
09/10/26HRotterdam79-50
04/10/26AZwolle59-70
09/05/26HBelfius Mons107-57
06/05/26ADen Helder64-109
01/05/26HLeiden75-93
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Bosch
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game83.686.579.7
Allowed / game83.685.581.0
Point differential+0.0+1.0-1.3
Avg total167.1172.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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