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Leiden vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-81
30-16 13-18 19-23 33-24
Position#12
Record10-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.9
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record12-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Den Bosch
20 Mar 2027
LEI v DBO
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
LEI89
DBO95
03 Jun 2025
LEI63
DBO90
15 Feb 2025
LEI95
DBO81
11 Sep 2024
LEI87
DBO58
04 Jun 2024
LEI92
DBO81
30 May 2024
LEI83
DBO65
18 Jan 2024
LEI70
DBO58
23 Dec 2023
LEI55
DBO70
23 Oct 2022
LEI81
DBO88
29 May 2022
LEI74
DBO81
25 May 2022
LEI87
DBO68
21 May 2022
LEI83
DBO92
13 Feb 2022
LEI72
DBO77
09 Jan 2022
LEI85
DBO70
27 May 2021
LEI90
DBO74
23 May 2021
LEI112
DBO87
17 Apr 2021
LEI78
DBO86
31 Oct 2020
LEI v DBO
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
LEI78
DBO69
14 Dec 2019
LEI88
DBO78
20 Apr 2019
LEI89
DBO59
22 Dec 2018
LEI72
DBO67
10 Feb 2018
LEI79
DBO61
11 Nov 2017
LEI83
DBO81
21 Jan 2017
LEI62
DBO60
22 Oct 2016
LEI66
DBO56
20 Feb 2016
LEI64
DBO56
31 Oct 2015
LEI68
DBO58
11 Mar 2015
LEI65
DBO69
08 Nov 2014
LEI66
DBO67
01 Mar 2014
LEI83
DBO86
26 Dec 2013
LEI69
DBO78
26 Jan 2013
LEI80
DBO70
17 Nov 2012
LEI64
DBO59
27 May 2012
LEI61
DBO65
19 May 2012
LEI74
DBO77
15 May 2012
LEI79
DBO81
21 Apr 2012
LEI78
DBO77
11 Feb 2012
LEI67
DBO53
03 Dec 2011
LEI68
DBO76
15 Jan 2011
LEI66
DBO67
18 Nov 2010
LEI73
DBO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
116-57
116
57
+59
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 69
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 69
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 69
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 69
A07/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
24-23
18-24
19-15
28-14
37-12
23-16
28-15
26-25
18-28
19-20
20-18
18-17
20-21
13-21
15-12
26-19
14-15
17-16
16-19
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
153.4Avg total
78.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.679.9156.5-3.248%
Season at home (11)74.778.7153.5-4.036%
Season away (10)78.781.1159.8-2.460%
Last 10 (10)78.574.9153.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)75.676.0151.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.881.3152.2-10.523%
vs Similar (10)82.179.6161.7+2.570%
vs Weaker (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
78avg 77
H22/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
64avg 77
H26/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
no box
H04/01
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
72-51
72
51
+21
71avg 77
A11/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
72avg 77
A18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
102-98
102
98
+4
104avg 77
A23/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
85-57
85
57
+28
87avg 77
H26/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-73
94
73
+21
96avg 77
A31/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
96avg 77
H07/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 77
H11/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
18-14
21-29
18-19
19-26
15-14
16-17
19-16
25-16
20-21
25-16
18-16
16-12
16-17
17-9
23-13
27-19
17-18
11-20
14-15
25-16
20-19
27-30
30-33
28-13
22-18
21-6
14-20
18-16
36-14
22-20
18-23
20-31
24-16
29-10
18-27
22-28
16-20
26-17
20-15
157.8Avg total
83.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.880.6162.4+1.255%
Season at home (12)84.583.0167.5+1.550%
Season away (10)78.577.7156.2+0.860%
Last 10 (10)83.274.6157.8+8.670%
Last 5 (5)91.278.4169.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
vs Similar (15)78.480.3158.7-1.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.779.7166.4+7.070%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
LeidenDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
65-26
65
26
+39
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
78.2Avg total
40.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.076.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.178.2+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.636.975.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.378.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.074.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.140.877.9-3.831%-
vs Similar (10)40.637.177.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker (5)38.433.071.4+5.480%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H22/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H04/01
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A31/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/02
BNXT League
80.0Avg total
42.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.579.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.782.7+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.477.1+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.580.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.284.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.543.083.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (15)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.838.480.2+3.470%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.6
53.4%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws13.48.1
60.4%
71.9%8.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.6
57.3%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.3
40.4%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
71.9%14.8
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWLWWLLWL
Den Bosch
WWWWWLWWLL
#12
League position
#8
-4.3
Net rating
+10.1
101.2
Offensive rating
112.0
105.5
Defensive rating
101.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
58.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.9%
3-point %
40.4%
66.2%
Assist %
74.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 112.0Defence105.5 · 101.9Shooting51.2% · 58.7%3-point %31.9% · 40.4%Ball care19.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Leiden   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Leiden wins
4
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
26/12/24Den Bosch v Leiden69-73
11/09/24Leiden v Den Bosch87-58
04/06/24Leiden v Den Bosch92-81
01/06/24Den Bosch v Leiden79-65
30/05/24Leiden v Den Bosch83-65
28/05/24Den Bosch v Leiden89-96
21/01/24Den Bosch v Leiden87-72 OT
18/01/24Leiden v Den Bosch70-58
23/12/23Leiden v Den Bosch55-70
07/10/23Den Bosch v Leiden78-54
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74
26/12/24ADen Bosch73-69
21/12/24HCircus Brussels66-71
14/12/24AOostende83-91
11/12/24AVoorburg116-57
07/12/24HMechelen69-81
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25HBAL Weert84-80
07/02/25HAntwerp Giants91-84
31/01/25AFeyenoord94-73
26/01/25HLimburg85-57
23/01/25ADonar Groningen102-98
18/01/25AMechelen69-72
11/01/25ABAL Weert72-51
04/01/25HZwolle88-69
26/12/24HLeiden69-73
22/12/24HOostende78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%36%60%
Points / game76.674.778.7
Allowed / game79.978.781.1
Point differential-3.2-4.0-2.4
Avg total156.5153.5159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)33% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game81.884.578.5
Allowed / game80.683.077.7
Point differential+1.2+1.5+0.8
Avg total162.4167.5156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2018290%92.375.8+16.6
2 Kortrijk2016480%96.778.8+17.9
3 Mechelen2116576%80.674.2+6.4
4 Limburg2013765%79.774.4+5.3
5 Okapi Aalst2113862%83.378.0+5.4
6 Circus Brussels2113862%77.875.8+2.0
7 Leuven Bears2112957%80.174.2+6.0
8 Spirou Charleroi2112957%79.774.0+5.6
9 Den Bosch22121055%81.880.6+1.2
10 Belfius Mons21111052%80.678.9+1.8
11 LWD Basket21111052%81.782.4-0.7
12 Antwerp Giants21111052%79.380.1-0.8
13 Leiden21101148%76.679.9-3.2
14 Zwolle2171433%80.785.7-5.0
15 Den Helder2271532%70.683.0-12.4
16 Donar Groningen1961332%76.884.6-7.8
17 Feyenoord2161529%82.089.9-7.9
18 QSTA Utd2121910%77.089.6-12.6
19 BAL Weert2121910%68.784.7-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden3013193395
Den Bosch1618232481
← all games of the day
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