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Denmark W vs Portugal W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 62-79
25-13 7-29 13-20 17-17
Position#24
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#26
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 1· Gentofte Sportspark
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#18
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A15/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H18/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
125-57
125
57
+68
H11/03
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H14/03
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A17/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
12-12
19-25
16-19
22-18
4-8
17-22
15-18
21-26
15-22
17-23
19-27
7-22
17-22
21-25
13-6
21-18
19-21
18-19
20-21
29-23
13-19
21-25
26-10
24-27
26-24
21-21
12-25
29-21
27-12
27-12
42-12
22-15
18-16
26-16
15-14
20-34
16-19
23-20
18-26
156.7Avg total
78.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.878.3167.2+10.550%
Season at home (3)96.371.7168.0+24.767%
Season away (3)81.385.0166.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)78.378.4156.7-0.130%
Last 5 (5)91.078.2169.2+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.586.2152.7-19.60%
vs Similar (4)79.070.5149.5+8.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.257.2146.4+31.969%
This opponent (Portugal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portugal WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia W
#34
W
76-43
76
43
+33
A10/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H09/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A19/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H20/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A22/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#2
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A15/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#30
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H18/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#2
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H14/03
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#30
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A17/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
19-10
19-8
16-13
16-17
13-12
13-11
18-17
12-14
16-13
14-11
15-2
14-15
11-25
11-26
16-15
11-19
8-21
18-17
15-16
14-11
16-13
18-12
15-13
12-23
19-13
12-16
8-25
19-14
36-12
25-25
20-19
12-22
21-17
11-18
14-14
19-14
11-17
17-21
13-10
125.2Avg total
62.9Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.270.0137.2-2.825%
Season at home (2)79.070.5149.5+8.550%
Season away (2)55.569.5125.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)62.962.3125.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)66.465.8132.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)55.071.0126.0-16.09%
vs Similar (4)59.561.5121.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (10)71.056.0127.0+15.080%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denmark WPortugal W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#18
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H18/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H11/03
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A17/03
European Championship Women
77.5Avg total
37.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.036.375.4+2.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.335.476.7+5.950%-
Last 30 away (14)36.837.274.0-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.877.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.144.678.7-10.59%-
vs Similar (4)37.039.076.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.828.572.3+15.477%-
This opponent (Portugal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portugal WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia W
#34
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A10/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H09/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A19/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
19-40
19
40
-21
H20/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A22/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A15/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#30
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H18/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/03
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#30
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A17/03
European Championship Women
63.5Avg total
32.1Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)30.231.361.5-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.829.860.5+1.058%-
Last 30 away (13)29.632.862.4-3.223%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.463.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.267.0+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)26.835.262.0-8.418%-
vs Similar (4)24.530.254.8-5.850%-
vs Weaker (10)36.127.563.6+8.660%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.017.7
39.3%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.4%
-20.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.3
65.3%
-10.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugal Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal W: 58.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.911.2
34.1%
-22.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.0
29.0%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws13.99.2
66.4%
-9.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/9 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark W
LWWLWLLLLL
Portugal W
LLWLWLLWWW
#24
League position
#26
-9.1
Net rating
+0.8
83.7
Offensive rating
79.8
92.8
Defensive rating
79.1
39.9%
Effective FG%
38.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
25.0%
Turnover %
22.1%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.4%
3-point %
29.0%
65.8%
Assist %
74.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Denmark W   ■ Portugal W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denmark W wins
0
Portugal W wins
No previous meetings.
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26AGreece W77-99
14/03/26HCroatia W81-61
11/03/26HNorth Macedonia W125-57
18/11/25HGreece W83-97
15/11/25ACroatia W89-77
12/11/25ANorth Macedonia W78-79
09/02/25HGreat Britain W58-75
06/02/25HSweden W72-98
10/11/24AEstonia W58-66
07/11/24AGreat Britain W62-75
Portugal Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26AIceland W60-62
14/03/26HSerbia W58-71
18/11/25HIceland W100-70
15/11/25ASerbia W51-77
22/06/25AMontenegro W63-49
20/06/25HCzech Republic W52-73
19/06/25ABelgium W52-81
09/02/25HSerbia W57-40
06/02/25HUkraine W60-57
10/11/24ANorth Macedonia W76-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game88.896.381.3
Allowed / game78.371.785.0
Point differential+10.5+24.7-3.7
Avg total167.2168.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portugal W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.279.055.5
Allowed / game70.070.569.5
Point differential-2.8+8.5-14.0
Avg total137.2149.5125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%104.057.0+47.0
2 Poland W660100%78.750.2+28.5
3 Serbia W550100%81.661.6+20.0
4 Israel W660100%88.069.8+18.2
5 Turkey W110100%79.062.0+17.0
6 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
7 Spain W110100%73.071.0+2.0
8 Bulgaria W76186%92.160.0+32.1
9 Latvia W76186%79.963.4+16.4
10 Great Britain W75271%77.469.3+8.1
11 Austria W75271%77.470.1+7.3
12 Slovakia W64267%70.356.5+13.8
13 Slovenia W64267%79.071.7+7.3
14 Montenegro W74357%76.662.9+13.7
15 Greece W74357%88.378.4+9.9
16 Croatia W74357%80.073.6+6.4
17 Denmark W63350%88.878.3+10.5
18 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
19 Ukraine W63350%71.565.7+5.8
20 Luxembourg W63350%69.866.5+3.3
21 Netherlands W63350%78.577.7+0.8
22 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
23 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
24 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
25 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
26 Portugal W41325%67.270.0-2.8
27 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
28 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
29 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
30 Czech Republic W1010%71.073.0-2.0
31 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
32 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
33 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
34 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
35 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 35 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark W257131762
Portugal W1329201779
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