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Denmark W vs Croatia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 81-61
22-15 18-16 26-16 15-14
Position#24
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game77.5
Denmark W 🏆
vs
Croatia W
Position#17
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Gentofte Sportspark
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#31
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A15/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H18/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
125-57
125
57
+68
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-13
28-12
14-14
20-21
18-16
15-23
16-16
15-19
12-12
19-25
16-19
22-18
4-8
17-22
15-18
21-26
15-22
17-23
19-27
7-22
17-22
21-25
13-6
21-18
19-21
18-19
20-21
29-23
13-19
21-25
26-10
24-27
26-24
21-21
12-25
29-21
27-12
27-12
42-12
152.8Avg total
77.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.877.5171.2+16.250%
Season at home (2)104.077.0181.0+27.050%
Season away (2)83.578.0161.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)77.575.3152.8+2.230%
Last 5 (5)86.677.0163.6+9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.584.9150.4-19.40%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.373.7152.0+4.767%
vs Weaker (13)89.257.2146.4+31.969%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
92-65
92
65
+27
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H15/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H18/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
21-23
27-18
18-21
25-18
18-18
16-25
16-21
12-14
19-19
29-20
19-16
25-10
26-11
13-8
16-19
10-19
17-21
19-19
28-10
12-23
23-29
19-13
25-21
10-26
19-17
25-15
19-15
20-8
23-22
26-16
27-20
22-15
148.7Avg total
79.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.572.5156.0+11.075%
Season at home (3)86.072.3158.3+13.767%
Season away (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.069.7148.7+9.370%
Last 5 (5)79.869.4149.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.277.5147.6-7.335%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.076.0149.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (10)82.765.4148.1+17.3100%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Denmark WCroatia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#31
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H18/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H11/03
European Championship Women
75.6Avg total
37.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.135.975.0+3.242%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.435.877.2+5.646%-
Last 30 away (13)36.836.072.8+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.875.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.943.877.7-9.910%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.041.777.7-5.70%-
vs Weaker (13)43.828.572.3+15.477%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H18/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H11/03
European Championship Women
78.6Avg total
43.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.477.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.737.677.2+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.837.377.1+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.578.6+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.276.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.239.475.6-3.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.338.076.3+0.333%-
vs Weaker (10)46.133.980.0+12.2100%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.017.7
39.3%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.4%
-20.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.3
65.3%
-10.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.813.8
39.7%
-27.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.8%
-34.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.8%
-13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark W
WLWLLLLLLW
Croatia W
WWLWWWLWWL
#24
League position
#17
-9.1
Net rating
+10.9
83.7
Offensive rating
99.9
92.8
Defensive rating
89.0
39.9%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
25.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.4%
3-point %
37.8%
65.8%
Assist %
74.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Denmark W   ■ Croatia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Denmark W wins
0
Croatia W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Croatia W v Denmark W77-89
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HNorth Macedonia W125-57
18/11/25HGreece W83-97
15/11/25ACroatia W89-77
12/11/25ANorth Macedonia W78-79
09/02/25HGreat Britain W58-75
06/02/25HSweden W72-98
10/11/24AEstonia W58-66
07/11/24AGreat Britain W62-75
12/11/23ASweden W69-76
09/11/23HEstonia W81-53
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HGreece W98-73
18/11/25HNorth Macedonia W83-55
15/11/25HDenmark W77-89
12/11/25AGreece W76-73
09/02/25HAustria W65-57
06/02/25ANetherlands W92-65
10/11/24ASpain W62-78
07/11/24AAustria W91-80
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game93.8104.083.5
Allowed / game77.577.078.0
Point differential+16.2+27.0+5.5
Avg total171.2181.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game83.586.076.0
Allowed / game72.572.373.0
Point differential+11.0+13.7+3.0
Avg total156.0158.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W440100%101.852.5+49.2
2 Poland W440100%76.850.8+26.0
3 Serbia W330100%84.358.7+25.7
4 Austria W440100%81.565.2+16.2
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Latvia W43175%80.859.8+21.0
8 Great Britain W43175%83.563.8+19.8
9 Luxembourg W43175%73.560.5+13.0
10 Croatia W43175%83.572.5+11.0
11 Netherlands W43175%81.874.0+7.8
12 Greece W53260%89.077.6+11.4
13 Denmark W42250%93.877.5+16.2
14 Montenegro W42250%77.565.0+12.5
15 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
16 Ukraine W42250%72.564.5+8.0
17 Slovakia W42250%67.060.0+7.0
18 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
19 Slovenia W42250%73.274.0-0.8
20 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
21 Romania W42250%61.874.0-12.2
22 Ireland W41325%76.578.5-2.0
23 Switzerland W41325%67.873.0-5.2
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W4040%58.279.0-20.8
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Estonia W4040%60.888.8-28.0
30 Norway W4040%45.876.5-30.8
31 Azerbaijan W4040%46.0115.8-69.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark W2218261581
Croatia W1516161461
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