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Greece W vs Denmark W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-77
34-20 19-16 20-23 26-18
Position#16
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game77.6
Greece W 🏆
vs
Denmark W
Position#24
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Ivanofeio Sports Arena
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#21
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
87-65
87
65
+22
90avg 64
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
56-92
56
92
-36
44avg 64
A19/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
57avg 64
H21/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
101-84
101
84
+17
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A18/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
L
73-98
73
98
-25
no box
A11/03
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
101-47
101
47
+54
no box
H14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
16-19
14-20
15-27
16-20
10-17
13-11
25-19
19-19
27-13
18-12
23-21
17-21
20-23
10-20
9-28
21-17
14-26
24-19
13-21
21-17
19-19
10-28
23-12
23-23
36-16
22-20
20-25
27-24
24-26
21-21
25-12
22-23
16-26
20-27
15-22
29-7
20-15
28-5
24-20
156.6Avg total
79.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.077.6166.6+11.460%
Season at home (2)87.061.5148.5+25.550%
Season away (3)90.388.3178.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)79.077.6156.6+1.440%
Last 5 (5)89.077.6166.6+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.374.0139.3-8.725%
vs Similar (8)71.866.8138.5+5.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.771.6153.3+10.160%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sweden W
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
58-75
58
75
-17
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
L
78-79
78
79
-1
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
no box
H18/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
125-57
125
57
+68
no box
H11/03
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
H14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-16
15-23
16-16
15-19
12-12
19-25
16-19
22-18
4-8
17-22
15-18
21-26
15-22
17-23
19-27
7-22
17-22
21-25
13-6
21-18
19-21
18-19
20-21
29-23
13-19
21-25
26-10
24-27
26-24
21-21
12-25
29-21
27-12
27-12
42-12
22-15
18-16
26-16
15-14
153.6Avg total
77.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.274.2165.4+17.060%
Season at home (3)96.371.7168.0+24.767%
Season away (2)83.578.0161.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)77.576.1153.6+1.430%
Last 5 (5)91.274.2165.4+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.584.9150.4-19.40%
vs Similar (4)79.070.5149.5+8.575%
vs Weaker (13)89.257.2146.4+31.969%
This opponent (Greece W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
Greece WDenmark W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A19/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A18/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A11/03
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H14/03
European Championship Women
80.4Avg total
41.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.372.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.433.268.5+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)36.038.674.6-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.680.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.286.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.437.968.3-7.517%-
vs Similar (8)36.032.168.1+3.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.937.679.5+4.360%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H18/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H11/03
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
European Championship Women
76.1Avg total
37.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.135.774.9+3.444%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.335.476.7+5.950%-
Last 30 away (13)36.836.072.8+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.276.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.284.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.943.877.7-9.910%-
vs Similar (4)37.039.076.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker (13)43.828.572.3+15.477%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.819.0
44.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.7
31.5%
-17.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.4%
-12.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.017.7
39.3%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.4%
-20.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.3
65.3%
-10.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece W
WLWWLLLWLL
Denmark W
WWLWLLLLLL
#16
League position
#24
-5.0
Net rating
-9.1
92.1
Offensive rating
83.7
97.0
Defensive rating
92.8
45.2%
Effective FG%
39.9%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.5%
Turnover %
25.0%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.5%
3-point %
27.4%
71.2%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Greece W   ■ Denmark W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Greece W wins
0
Denmark W wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Denmark W v Greece W83-97
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HNorth Macedonia W101-47
11/03/26ACroatia W73-98
18/11/25ADenmark W97-83
15/11/25ANorth Macedonia W101-84
12/11/25HCroatia W73-76
21/06/25HTurkey W72-83
19/06/25AFrance W56-92
18/06/25HSwitzerland W87-65
09/02/25HGermany W64-67
06/02/25ACzech Republic W66-81
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HCroatia W81-61
11/03/26HNorth Macedonia W125-57
18/11/25HGreece W83-97
15/11/25ACroatia W89-77
12/11/25ANorth Macedonia W78-79
09/02/25HGreat Britain W58-75
06/02/25HSweden W72-98
10/11/24AEstonia W58-66
07/11/24AGreat Britain W62-75
12/11/23ASweden W69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game89.087.090.3
Allowed / game77.661.588.3
Point differential+11.4+25.5+2.0
Avg total166.6148.5178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denmark W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game91.296.383.5
Allowed / game74.271.778.0
Point differential+17.0+24.7+5.5
Avg total165.4168.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W550100%97.655.2+42.4
2 Poland W550100%76.450.6+25.8
3 Serbia W440100%81.058.5+22.5
4 Israel W550100%87.673.0+14.6
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Latvia W54180%79.260.6+18.6
7 Great Britain W54180%83.465.2+18.2
8 Austria W54180%79.468.8+10.6
9 Montenegro W53260%80.859.0+21.8
10 Denmark W53260%91.274.2+17.0
11 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
12 Greece W53260%89.077.6+11.4
13 Luxembourg W53260%69.263.6+5.6
14 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
15 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
16 Netherlands W53260%78.273.8+4.4
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
19 Ukraine W52340%71.267.8+3.4
20 Ireland W52340%77.478.4-1.0
21 Switzerland W52340%70.472.0-1.6
22 Romania W52340%59.474.2-14.8
23 Portugal W31233%69.772.7-3.0
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%69.288.4-19.2
27 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W5050%50.277.4-27.2
30 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
31 Azerbaijan W5050%43.8111.4-67.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece W3419202699
Denmark W2016231877
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