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Denver vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-59
47-31 33-28
Position#320
Record3-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.1
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
Position#345
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Denver v Sacramento State
04 Dec 2024
DENV80
SACR59
14 Nov 2022
DENV69
SACR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#95
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A04/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#540
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H15/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H17/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A25/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
45-39
22-38
40-47
46-29
51-51
34-36
31-38
38-33
48-30
47-33
32-45
24-38
49-45
33-48
27-41
29-39
25-29
30-39
40-31
153.1Avg total
73.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.080.1154.1-6.133%
Season at home (3)87.373.7161.0+13.7100%
Season away (6)67.383.3150.7-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.479.7153.1-6.330%
Last 5 (5)71.283.8155.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.882.2155.0-9.430%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.283.2162.4-4.139%
vs Weaker (2)91.571.5163.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
106-44
106
44
+62
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
40-35
35-32
39-37
38-42
33-32
53-13
53-31
37-30
20-34
24-35
30-29
43-32
26-47
33-40
44-43
22-33
41-28
22-33
38-33
137.1Avg total
70.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.465.9135.3+3.629%
Season at home (3)78.363.0141.3+15.333%
Season away (4)62.868.0130.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)70.366.8137.1+3.540%
Last 5 (5)64.670.6135.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.571.6138.1-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (9)60.265.1125.3-4.933%
vs Weaker (5)69.062.4131.4+6.640%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +1.5+1.5
DenverSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#95
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#540
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A25/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/12
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.739.474.1-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.237.977.2+1.350%-
Last 30 away (18)31.740.472.1-8.76%-
Last 10 (10)32.637.069.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.472.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.738.972.6-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.440.675.1-6.211%-
vs Weaker (2)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
53-13
53
13
+40
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H01/12
NCAA
65.8Avg total
33.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.763.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.031.766.7+3.354%-
Last 30 away (17)28.133.561.5-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.965.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.663.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.534.967.4-2.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)26.931.658.4-4.733%-
vs Weaker (5)34.027.861.8+6.240%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denver wins
2
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22Sacramento State v Denver87-85 OT
15/11/22Denver v Sacramento State69-73
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24APortland90-101 OT
26/11/24AUtah Tech54-68
25/11/24ACS Northridge60-89
25/11/24AMontana73-83
17/11/24HMontana State79-78
15/11/24HColorado Christian86-63
13/11/24AColorado State65-74
08/11/24HWestern Colorado97-80
04/11/24AStanford62-85
13/03/24ASouth Dakota St.68-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HMercyhurst Lakers60-66
27/11/24AAir Force63-61
24/11/24ACalifornia77-83
17/11/24HCS Northridge69-79
13/11/24AUC San Diego54-64
09/11/24AFresno State57-64
06/11/24HCalifornia Maritime106-44
13/03/24AMontana State71-74
10/03/24AEast. Washington74-69
10/03/24AIdaho72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.087.367.3
Allowed / game80.173.783.3
Point differential-6.1+13.7-16.0
Avg total154.1161.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%17%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game69.478.362.8
Allowed / game65.963.068.0
Point differential+3.6+15.3-5.2
Avg total135.3141.3130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.97278%80.667.4+13.1
2 South Dakota Coyotes107370%87.876.8+11.0
3 St. Thomas (Minn.)106460%83.972.8+11.1
4 North Dakota St95456%77.673.1+4.4
5 North Dakota73443%68.672.9-4.3
6 UMKC104640%79.563.2+16.3
7 Oral Roberts93633%76.874.8+2.0
8 Denver93633%74.080.1-6.1
9 Nebraska O.103730%70.675.5-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona96367%79.367.8+11.6
2 Montana85362%76.173.1+3.0
3 Northern Colorado106460%84.774.5+10.2
4 Portland State74357%85.383.4+1.9
5 Weber State84450%76.666.6+10.0
6 Montana State94544%76.167.7+8.4
7 Idaho94544%77.675.2+2.3
8 Idaho State83538%73.868.1+5.6
9 Sacramento State72529%69.465.9+3.6
10 East. Washington81712%73.082.2-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver473380
Sacramento State312859
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