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Denver vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 57-68
28-30 29-38
Position#233
Record13-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#139
Record15-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)
21 Feb 2026
DENV82
ST. 80
08 Feb 2025
DENV76
ST. 79
10 Feb 2024
DENV94
ST. 77
04 Feb 2023
DENV57
ST. 68
22 Dec 2021
DENV75
ST. 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H31/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A06/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A07/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H13/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H14/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A20/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A21/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
61-102
61
102
-41
A27/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A29/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-29
37-51
25-47
46-34
25-37
49-54
34-43
36-47
37-34
41-37
31-30
44-30
34-37
27-39
39-43
22-59
30-27
30-43
41-22
33-22
145.1Avg total
68.6Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.475.1148.5-1.852%
Season at home (10)76.572.1148.6+4.470%
Season away (15)71.377.1148.4-5.940%
Last 10 (10)68.676.5145.1-7.930%
Last 5 (5)66.270.4136.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.484.7153.1-16.314%
vs Similar (17)74.573.4147.9+1.159%
vs Weaker (5)76.072.8148.8+3.260%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A30/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H08/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A13/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A21/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H27/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
49-50
27-32
37-39
47-25
34-46
38-35
42-33
32-33
28-48
30-38
39-43
28-23
28-37
32-29
28-25
26-35
41-46
44-44
45-39
145.2Avg total
71.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.670.7145.3+4.060%
Season at home (13)80.263.8144.0+16.392%
Season away (12)68.778.1146.8-9.425%
Last 10 (10)71.074.2145.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)68.271.8140.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.278.2140.5-16.00%
vs Similar (11)68.573.5142.0-4.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.869.7152.5+13.180%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -3.5-3.5
DenverSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H31/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A06/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A07/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H03/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
32.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.567.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.732.568.3+3.255%-
Last 30 away (19)32.834.166.9-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)32.134.967.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.866.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (17)32.831.864.6+1.159%-
vs Weaker (5)35.634.269.8+1.440%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/01
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A21/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H27/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
33.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.968.6+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.429.769.1+9.780%-
Last 30 away (15)32.036.268.2-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.667.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.865.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.538.568.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)31.133.564.5-2.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.731.171.8+9.767%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver wins
1
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HWestern Illinois74-44
29/01/23AUMKC60-70
27/01/23AOral Roberts61-102
21/01/23ASouth Dakota St.61-76
20/01/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes75-60
14/01/23HNorth Dakota78-71
13/01/23HNorth Dakota St70-90
07/01/23AWestern Illinois74-91
06/01/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)71-81
31/12/22HOral Roberts62-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23ANebraska O.89-83
29/01/23HSouth Dakota Coyotes67-81
27/01/23HSouth Dakota St.60-54
21/01/23AWestern Illinois56-60
15/01/23AOral Roberts69-81
13/01/23AUMKC60-81
08/01/23HNebraska O.80-68
06/01/23HDenver81-71
31/12/22ASouth Dakota St.64-71
30/12/22ASouth Dakota Coyotes84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %52%70%40%
Points / game73.476.571.3
Allowed / game75.172.177.1
Point differential-1.8+4.4-5.9
Avg total148.5148.6148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%10%7%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%92%25%
Points / game74.680.268.7
Allowed / game70.763.878.1
Point differential+4.0+16.3-9.4
Avg total145.3144.0146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%77%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oral Roberts2420483%85.270.5+14.8
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)25151060%74.670.7+4.0
3 South Dakota St.25131252%69.270.4-1.2
4 Denver25131252%73.475.1-1.8
5 South Dakota Coyotes25111444%68.973.8-4.9
6 UMKC24101442%66.466.6-0.2
7 North Dakota St24101442%72.873.5-0.7
8 North Dakota2581732%70.173.5-3.4
9 Nebraska O.2571828%68.976.8-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver282957
St. Thomas (Minn.)303868
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