PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-80
0-0 37-39 0-0 45-41
Position#239
Record14-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game82.2
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
St. Thomas (Minn.)
USA
Position#42
Record21-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)
21 Feb 2026
DENV82
ST. 80
08 Feb 2025
DENV76
ST. 79
10 Feb 2024
DENV94
ST. 77
04 Feb 2023
DENV57
ST. 68
22 Dec 2021
DENV75
ST. 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H15/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H23/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H31/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A06/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
98-79
98
79
+19
A07/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H13/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A15/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
56-45
0-0
42-42
0-0
37-45
0-0
40-37
0-0
46-45
0-0
40-48
0-0
32-32
0-0
37-29
0-0
35-27
0-0
47-57
0-0
40-34
0-0
38-37
0-0
43-27
0-0
55-52
0-0
36-25
0-0
43-36
0-0
38-49
0-0
38-34
0-0
37-34
0-0
53-36
160.4Avg total
83.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.582.2165.7+1.248%
Season at home (13)90.680.2170.8+10.562%
Season away (16)77.783.9161.6-6.238%
Last 10 (10)83.377.1160.4+6.260%
Last 5 (5)84.272.8157.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.385.1161.4-8.836%
vs Similar (12)82.584.2166.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (5)85.673.0158.6+12.680%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A16/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A17/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H23/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
104-64
104
64
+40
A15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-36
0-0
54-44
0-0
35-34
0-0
30-34
0-0
33-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
37-39
0-0
53-39
0-0
43-35
0-0
37-46
0-0
52-25
0-0
47-39
0-0
31-28
0-0
46-34
0-0
39-36
0-0
53-39
0-0
42-47
0-0
52-51
0-0
43-29
0-0
61-35
160.5Avg total
86.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.972.7156.6+11.275%
Season at home (14)87.470.1157.6+17.393%
Season away (14)80.475.2155.6+5.257%
Last 10 (10)86.673.9160.5+12.770%
Last 5 (5)93.272.6165.8+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)67.769.3137.0-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.674.8159.4+9.876%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +7.6+7.6
DenverSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H15/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H23/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A07/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A15/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/02
NCAA
76.3Avg total
40.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.376.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.836.878.5+5.077%-
Last 30 away (17)35.839.575.2-3.724%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.376.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.872.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.941.677.5-5.718%-
vs Similar (12)37.337.674.9-0.258%-
vs Weaker (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.733.573.2+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.273.7+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)36.935.972.7+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.173.3+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.074.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)31.733.365.0-1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.034.074.0+6.072%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver wins
7
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver92-88
07/03/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver80-62
08/02/25Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)76-79
19/01/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver74-62
03/03/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver83-58
10/02/24Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)94-77
04/02/23Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)57-68
06/01/23St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver81-71
25/02/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver80-91
22/12/21Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)75-74
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes90-70
15/02/26ANebraska O.76-83
13/02/26HSouth Dakota St.79-61
07/02/26ANorth Dakota98-79
06/02/26ANorth Dakota St78-71
31/01/26HNebraska O.82-84
29/01/26AUMKC69-61
24/01/26HNorth Dakota86-93
23/01/26HNorth Dakota St77-82
15/01/26HOral Roberts98-87
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AUMKC104-64
13/02/26ANebraska O.94-98
08/02/26HOral Roberts92-75
05/02/26ASouth Dakota St.77-62
01/02/26HUMKC99-64
30/01/26HNorth Dakota80-81
24/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes90-78
23/01/26HSouth Dakota St.74-69
17/01/26ANorth Dakota St65-68
16/01/26ANorth Dakota91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %48%62%38%
Points / game83.590.677.7
Allowed / game82.280.283.9
Point differential+1.2+10.5-6.2
Avg total165.7170.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%54%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%93%57%
Points / game83.987.480.4
Allowed / game72.770.175.2
Point differential+11.2+17.3+5.2
Avg total156.6157.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%64%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St2923679%81.670.4+11.2
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)2821775%83.972.7+11.2
3 Nebraska O.29151452%77.876.9+0.9
4 North Dakota31161552%77.677.6-0.0
5 South Dakota Coyotes28141450%80.781.5-0.8
6 Denver29141548%83.582.2+1.2
7 South Dakota St.29131645%76.073.0+3.0
8 Oral Roberts2862221%71.778.9-7.1
9 UMKC2842414%69.983.9-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver03704582
St. Thomas (Minn.)03904180
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.